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In this paper we estimate both the Hurst and the stable indices of a H-self-similar stable process. More precisely, let $X$ be a $H$-sssi (self-similar stationary increments) symmetric $\alpha$-stable process. The process $X$ is observed at…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-19 Thi To Nhu Dang , Jacques Istas

We consider the time-dependent nonlinear system $\dot q(t)=u(t)X(q(t))+(1-u(t))Y(q(t))$, where $q\in\R^2$, $X$ and $Y$ are two %$C^\infty$ smooth vector fields, globally asymptotically stable at the origin and $u:[0,\infty)\to\{0,1\}$ is an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Ugo Boscain , Grégoire Charlot , Mario Sigalotti

In decentralized stochastic control (or stochastic team theory) and game theory, if there is a pre-defined order in a system in which agents act, the system is called \textit{sequential}, otherwise it is non-sequential. Much of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-05 Omar Mrani-Zentar , Ryan Simpson , Serdar Yüksel

This paper generalizes the notion of stochastic order to a relation between probability measures over arbitrary measurable spaces. This generalization is motivated by the observation that for the stochastic ordering of two stationary Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-06-24 Lasse Leskelä

Forecasting the evolution of complex systems is one of the grand challenges of modern data science. The fundamental difficulty lies in understanding the structure of the observed stochastic process. In this paper, we show that every…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

Iksanov and Pilipenko (2023) defined a skew stable L\'{e}vy process as a scaling limit of a sequence of perturbed at $0$ symmetric stable L\'{e}vy processes (continuous-time processes). Here, we provide a simpler construction of the skew…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-12 Congzao Dong , Oleksandr Iksanov , Andrey Pilipenko

The fraction r(t) of spins which have never flipped up to time t is studied within a linear diffusion approximation to phase ordering. Numerical simulations show that, even in this simple context, r(t) decays with time like a power-law with…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 Bernard Derrida , Vincent Hakim , Reuven Zeitak

This paper is devoted to the prediction problem in extreme value theory. Our main result is an explicit expression of the regular conditional distribution of a max-stable (or max-infinitely divisible) process $\{\eta(t)\}_{t\in T}$ given…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-15 Clément Dombry , Frédéric Eyi-Minko

In this work a method for statistical analysis of time series is proposed, which is used to obtain solutions to some classical problems of mathematical statistics under the only assumption that the process generating the data is stationary…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-04-05 Daniil Ryabko , Boris Ryabko

Under a complex technical condition, similar to such used in extreme value theory, we find the rate q(\epsilon)^{-1} at which a stochastic process with stationary increments \xi should be sampled, for the sampled process \xi(\lfloor\cdot…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 J. M. P. Albin

We introduce a multistable subordinator, which generalizes the stable subordinator to the case of time-varying stability index. This enables us to define a multifractional Poisson process. We study properties of these processes and…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-05 Ilya Molchanov , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

Statistical thermodynamics delivers the probability distribution of the equilibrium state of matter through the constrained maximization of a special functional, entropy. Its elegance and enormous success have led to numerous attempts to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-06-22 Themis Matsoukas

The fractional stable motion is a prototypical stochastic process exhibiting both heavy tails and long-range dependence, parameterized via a stability index $\alpha$ and a Hurst exponent $H$. We consider a nonstationary extension where the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-01 Fabian Mies , Duuk Sikkens

The class of Levy processes for which overshoots are almost surely constant quantities is precisely characterized.

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-24 Matija Vidmar

We deal with the problem of the mean square optimal estimation of linear transformations of the unobserved values of a continuous time stochastic process with periodically correlated increments. Estimates are based on observations of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-12 Maksym Luz , Mikhail Moklyachuk

Gaussian couplings of partial sum processes are derived for the high-dimensional regime $d=o(n^{1/3})$. The coupling is derived for sums of independent random vectors and subsequently extended to nonstationary time series. Our inequalities…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-08 Fabian Mies , Ansgar Steland

A stabilized finite element method is introduced for the simulation of time-periodic creeping flows, such as those found in the cardiorespiratory systems. The new technique, which is formulated in the frequency rather than time domain,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-11-30 Mahdi Esmaily

We present two linear relations between an arbitrary (real tempered second order) generalized stochastic process over $\mathbb{R}^{d}$ and White Noise processes over $\mathbb{R}^{d}$. The first is that any generalized stochastic process can…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-04 R. Carrizo Vergara

Continuous time stochastic processes are useful models especially for financial and insurance purposes. The numerical simulation of such models is dependant of the time discrete discretization, of the parametric estimation and of the choice…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-01-13 Frédéric Planchet , Pierre-Emanuel Thérond

A continuous time mixed state branching process is constructed as the scaling limits of two-type Galton-Watson processes. The process can also be obtained by the pathwise unique solution to a stochastic equation system. From the stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-28 Shukai Chen , Zenghu Li