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We consider prediction theory for stationary stochastic processes in continuous time. We discuss prediction using the whole (infinite) past, and using only a finite section of the past. The solutions to both these classical problems have…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-17 N. H. Bingham

Let $\{X_n\}$ be a stationary and ergodic time series taking values from a finite or countably infinite set ${\cal X}$. Assume that the distribution of the process is otherwise unknown. We propose a sequence of stopping times $\lambda_n$…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-06-19 G. Morvai , B. Weiss

In this paper, we adopt a Bayesian point of view for predicting real continuous-time processes. We give two equivalent definitions of a Bayesian predictor and study some properties: admissibility, prediction sufficiency, non-unbiasedness,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-31 Delphine Blanke , Denis Bosq

In this paper, a control scheme for stochastic predefined-time stabilization is proposed, which improves the control effect compared with stochastic finite-time or fixed-time stabilization. The stochastic predefined-time stabilization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-11 Tianliang Zhang , Shengyuan Xu

A functional method for calculating averages of the time-ordered exponential of a continuous isotropic random $N\times N$ matrix process is presented. The process is not assumed to be Gaussian. In particular, the Lyapunov exponents and…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-05-04 Anton S. Il'yn , Valeria A. Sirota , Kirill P. Zybin

This paper considers the problem of testing if a sequence of means $(\mu_t)_{t =1,\ldots ,n }$ of a non-stationary time series $(X_t)_{t =1,\ldots ,n }$ is stable in the sense that the difference of the means $\mu_1$ and $\mu_t$ between the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-08 Holger Dette , Weichi Wu

For a stationary sequence that is regularly varying and associated we give conditions which guarantee that partial sums of this sequence, under normalization related to the exponent of regular variation, converge in distribution to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-29 Adam Jakubowski

Dilative stability generalizes the property of selfsimilarity for infinitely divisible stochastic processes by introducing an additional scaling in the convolution exponent. Inspired by results of Igl\'oi, we will show how dilatively stable…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-15 Thorsten Bhatti , Peter Kern

Dilative semistability extends the notion of semi-selfsimilarity for infinitely divisible stochastic processes by introducing an additional scaling in the convolution exponent. It is shown that this scaling relation is a natural extension…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-14 Peter Kern , Lina Wedrich

This paper considers regression tasks involving high-dimensional multivariate processes whose structure is dependent on some {known} graph topology. We put forth a new definition of time-vertex wide-sense stationarity, or joint stationarity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-09 Andreas Loukas , Nathanaël Perraudin

This paper introduces the class of ambiguity sparse processes, containing subsets of popular nonstationary time series such as locally stationary, cyclostationary and uniformly modulated processes. The class also contains aggregations of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-19 Sofia Olhede

Motivated by data on coauthorships in scientific publications, we analyze a team formation process that generalizes matching models and network formation models, allowing for overlapping teams of heterogeneous size. We apply different…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-11-29 Leonardo Boncinelli , Alessio Muscillo , Paolo Pin

Stochastic feedback systems give rise to a variety of notions of stability. The conditions for the stability of the median, mean, and variance stability conditions differ. These conditions can be stated explicitly for scalar discrete-time…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-19 Roy S. Smith , Bassam Bamieh

For the partial sums $(S_n)$ of independent random variables we define a stochastic process $s_n(t):=(1/d_n)\sum_{k \le [nt]} ({S_k}/{k}-\mu)$ and prove that $$(1/{\log N})\sum_{n\le N}(1/n)\mathbf {I}\left\{s_n(t)\le x\right\} \to…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-21 Khurelbaatar Gonchigdanzan , Kamil Marcin Kosiński

To describe the nonequilibrium states of a system we introduce a new thermodynamic parameter - the lifetime of a system. The statistical distributions which can be obtained out of the mesoscopic description characterizing the behaviour of a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 V. V. Ryazanov

We show that if a numerical method is posed as a sequence of operators acting on data and depending on a parameter, typically a measure of the size of discretization, then consistency, convergence and stability can be related by a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2007-09-27 John Jossey , Anil N. Hirani

We formulate and prove a new criterion for stability of e-processes. It says that any e-process which is averagely bounded and concentrating is asymptotically stable. In the second part, we show how this general result applies to some shell…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2011-07-27 H. Bessaih , R. Kapica , T. Szarek

A set $P\subset \mathbb N$ is called predictive if for any zero entropy finite-valued stationary process $(X_i)_{i\in \mathbb Z}$, $X_0$ is measurable with respect to $(X_i)_{i\in P}$. We know that $\mathbb N$ is a predictive set. In this…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-10-13 Nishant Chandgotia , Benjamin Weiss

This paper provides the basis for new methods of inference for max-stable processes \xi\ on general spaces that admit a certain incremental representation, which, in important cases, has a much simpler structure than the max-stable process…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-12 Sebastian Engelke , Alexander Malinowski , Marco Oesting , Martin Schlather

For any real-valued stochastic process X with c\`adl\`ag paths we define non-empty family of processes, which have finite total variation, have jumps of the same order as the process X and uniformly approximate its paths: This allows to…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-03 Rafał M. Łochowski
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