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Estimating the parameters of compact binaries which coalesce and produce gravitational waves is a challenging Bayesian inverse problem. Gravitational-wave parameter estimation lies within the class of multifidelity problems, where a variety…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2024-05-31 Bassel Saleh , Aaron Zimmerman , Peng Chen , Omar Ghattas

We present and assess a Bayesian method to interpret gravitational wave signals from binary black holes. Our method directly compares gravitational wave data to numerical relativity simulations. This procedure bypasses approximations used…

A Bayesian treatment of the problem of detecting an unmodelled gravitational wave burst with a global network of gravitational wave observatories reveals that several previously proposed statistics have implicit biases that render them…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2008-11-26 Antony C Searle , Patrick J Sutton , Massimo Tinto , Graham Woan

When searching for gravitational waves in the data from ground-based gravitational wave detectors it is common to use a detection threshold to reduce the number of background events which are unlikely to be the signals of interest. However,…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2014-01-03 C. Messenger , J. Veitch

As the number of gravitational-wave transient detections grows, the inclusion of marginally significant events in gravitational-wave catalogs will lead to increasing contamination from false positives. In this paper, we address the question…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2020-10-28 Shanika Galaudage , Colm Talbot , Eric Thrane

Accurately estimating the parameters of the nanohertz gravitational-wave background is essential for understanding its origin. The background is typically modeled with a power-law spectrum, parametrized with an amplitude $A$, which…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2026-03-25 Valentina Di Marco , Andrew Zic , Ryan M. Shannon , Eric Thrane , Atharva D. Kulkarni

The article reviews the statistical theory of signal detection in application to analysis of deterministic gravitational-wave signals in the noise of a detector. Statistical foundations for the theory of signal detection and parameter…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2023-11-10 Piotr Jaranowski , Andrzej Królak

Using simple, intuitive arguments, we discuss the expected accuracy with which astrophysical parameters can be extracted from an observed gravitational wave signal. The observation of a chirp like signal in the data allows for measurement…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2023-09-18 Stephen Fairhurst , Charlie Hoy , Rhys Green , Cameron Mills , Samantha A. Usman

Identifying the source parameters from a gravitational-wave measurement alone is limited by our ability to discriminate signals from different sources and the accuracy of the waveform family employed in the search. Here we address both…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2013-08-21 Frank Ohme , Alex B. Nielsen , Drew Keppel , Andrew Lundgren

The detection of gravitational waves by the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA collaboration has ushered in a new era of observational astronomy, emphasizing the need for rapid and detailed parameter estimation and population-level analyses. Traditional…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2025-07-22 Bo Liang , He Wang

Nested sampling parameter estimation differs from evidence estimation, in that it incurs an additional source of uncertainty. This uncertainty affects estimates of parameter means and credible intervals in gravitational wave analyses and…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-11-05 Metha Prathaban , Will Handley

Estimating the parameters of gravitational wave signals detected by ground-based detectors requires an understanding of the properties of the detectors' noise. In particular, the most commonly used likelihood function for gravitational wave…

Tests of general relativity (GR) can be systematically biased when our waveform models are inaccurate. We here study systematic biases in tests of general relativity induced by neglecting lensing effects for millilensed gravitational-wave…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2024-10-30 Anna Liu , Rohit S. Chandramouli , Otto A. Hannuksela , Nicolás Yunes , Tjonnie G. F. Li

Inferring the properties of colliding black holes from gravitational-wave observations is subject to systematic errors arising from modelling uncertainties. Although the accuracy of each model can be calculated through comparison to…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2025-08-07 Charlie Hoy , Sarp Akcay , Jake Mac Uilliam , Jonathan E. Thompson

A number of pulsar timing arrays have recently reported preliminary evidence for the existence of a nanohertz frequency gravitational-wave background. These analyses rely on detailed noise analyses, which are inherently complex due to the…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2026-03-25 Valentina Di Marco , Andrew Zic , Ryan M. Shannon , Eric Thrane

Strong lensing of gravitational waves can produce several detectable images as repeated events in the upcoming observing runs, which can be detected with the posterior overlap analysis (Bayes factor). The choice of the binary black hole…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2025-09-26 Damon H. T. Cheung , Stefano Rinaldi , Martina Toscani , Otto A. Hannuksela

We consider drawing statistical inferences based on data subject to non-Gaussian measurement error. Unlike most existing methods developed under the assumption of Gaussian measurement error, the proposed strategy exploits hypercomplex…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-06 Nicholas W. Woolsey , Xianzheng Huang

Many searches for continuous gravitational waves face significant computational challenges due to the need to explore large parameter spaces characterized by unknown parameters. Parameter-space metrics are used to predict the relative loss…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2026-05-18 P. B. Covas , R. Prix

Gravitational-wave observations have revealed sources whose unusual properties challenge our understanding of compact-binary formation. Inferring the formation processes that are best able to reproduce such events may therefore yield key…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2023-09-08 Matthew Mould , Davide Gerosa , Marco Dall'Amico , Michela Mapelli

Confirmation bias, the tendency to interpret information in a way that aligns with one's preconceptions, can profoundly impact scientific research, leading to conclusions that reflect the researcher's hypotheses even when the observational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-09 Amnon Balanov , Tamir Bendory , Wasim Huleihel