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The conditional mean is a fundamental and important quantity whose applications include the theories of estimation and rate-distortion. It is also notoriously difficult to work with. This paper establishes novel bounds on the differential…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-11-23 Arda Atalik , Alper Köse , Michael Gastpar

In Bayesian nonparametric inference, random discrete probability measures are commonly used as priors within hierarchical mixture models for density estimation and for inference on the clustering of the data. Recently, it has been shown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-26 Stefano Favaro , Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster

Bayesian predictive densities when the observed data $x$ and the target variable $y$ to be predicted have different distributions are investigated by using the framework of information geometry. The performance of predictive densities is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-27 Fumiyasu Komaki

In this paper we compare and contrast the behavior of the posterior predictive distribution to the risk of the maximum a posteriori estimator for the random features regression model in the overparameterized regime. We will focus on the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-30 Youngsoo Baek , Samuel I. Berchuck , Sayan Mukherjee

Sample size criteria are often expressed in terms of the concentration of the posterior density, as controlled by some sort of error bound. Since this is done pre-experimentally, one can regard the posterior density as a function of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 B. Clarke , Ao Yuan

This is a review of asymptotic and non-asymptotic behaviour of Bayesian methods under model specification. In particular we focus on consistency, i.e. convergence of the posterior distribution to the point mass at the best parametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-21 Natalia Bochkina

We make use of an entropic property to establish a convergence theorem (Main Theorem), which reveals that the conditional entropy measures the asymptotic Gaussianity. As an application, we establish the {\it entropic conditional central…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-17 Zhi-Ming Ma , Liu-Quan Yao , Shuai Yuan , Hua-Zi Zhang

Frequentist-style large-sample properties of Bayesian posterior distributions, such as consistency and convergence rates, are important considerations in nonparametric problems. In this paper we give an analysis of Bayesian asymptotics…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-02 Ryan Martin , Liang Hong

Weighted Updating generalizes Bayesian updating, allowing for biased beliefs by weighting the likelihood function and prior distribution with positive real exponents. I provide a rigorous foundation for the model by showing that…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-09 Jesse Aaron Zinn

The paper studies the asymptotic behaviour of weighted functionals of long-range dependent data over increasing observation windows. Various important statistics, including sample means, high order moments, occupation measures can be given…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-27 Tareq Alodat , Andriy Olenko

Contemporary focus on selective inference has renewed interest in the theory of selection models. In this paper, we analyze the asymptotic properties of selection models built on independent and identically distributed observations. We show…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Daniel G. Rasines , G. Alastair Young

In this work, we derive sharp non-asymptotic deviation bounds for weighted sums of Dirichlet random variables. These bounds are based on a novel integral representation of the density of a weighted Dirichlet sum. This representation allows…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-07 Denis Belomestny , Pierre Menard , Alexey Naumov , Daniil Tiapkin , Michal Valko

Delattre et al. (2013) investigated asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator of the population parameters of the random effects associated with n independent stochastic differential equations (SDEs) assuming that the SDEs…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-12 Trisha Maitra , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Following [1], the aim of this paper is to analyze the relative weighted entropy involving the central moments weight functions. We compare the standard relative entropy with the weighted case in two particular forms of Gaussian…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-23 Salimeh Yasaei Sekeh , Adriano Polpo

We derive the asymptotic distribution of ordinal-pattern frequencies under weak dependence conditions and investigate the long-run covariance matrix not only analytically for moving-average, Gaussian, and the novel generalized coin-tossing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Angelika Silbernagel , Christian Weiß

In this article we investigate consistency and asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood and the posterior distribution of the parameters in the context of state space stochastic differential equations (SDEs). We then extend our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-13 Trisha Maitra , Sourabh Bhattacharya

In modern deep learning, there is a recent and growing literature on the interplay between large-width asymptotic properties of deep Gaussian neural networks (NNs), i.e. deep NNs with Gaussian-distributed weights, and Gaussian stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-27 Stefano Favaro , Sandra Fortini , Stefano Peluchetti

An informative sampling design leads to the selection of units whose inclusion probabilities are correlated with the response variable of interest. Model inference performed on the resulting observed sample will be biased for the population…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-29 Matthew R. Williams , Terrance D. Savitsky

Approximate Bayesian computation allows for statistical analysis in models with intractable likelihoods. In this paper we consider the asymptotic behaviour of the posterior distribution obtained by this method. We give general results on…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-09 David T. Frazier , Gael M. Martin , Christian P. Robert , Judith Rousseau

In this article we study weighted sums of $n$ i.i.d. Gamma($\alpha$) random variables with nonnegative weights. We show that for $n \geq 1/\alpha$ the sum with equal coefficients maximizes differential entropy when variance is fixed. As a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-12 Maciej Bartczak , Piotr Nayar , Szymon Zwara
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