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We study voter models defined on large sets. Through a perspective emphasizing the martingale property of voter density processes, we prove that in general, their convergence to the Wright-Fisher diffusion only involves certain averages of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-25 Yu-Ting Chen , Jihyeok Choi , J. Theodore Cox

Let $\{X_n\}$ be a stationary and ergodic time series taking values from a finite or countably infinite set ${\cal X}$. Assume that the distribution of the process is otherwise unknown. We propose a sequence of stopping times $\lambda_n$…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-06-19 G. Morvai , B. Weiss

In this brief paper we find computable exponential convergence rates for a large class of stochastically ordered Markov processes. We extend the result of Lund, Meyn, and Tweedie (1996), who found exponential convergence rates for…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-19 Julia Gaudio , Saurabh Amin , Patrick Jaillet

We study Lorentz processes in two different settings. Both cases are characterized by infinite expectation of the free-flight times, contrary to what happens in the classical Gallavotti-Spohn models. Under a suitable Boltzmann-Grad type…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-23 Lorenzo Facciaroni , Costantino Ricciuti , Enrico Scalas , Bruno Toaldo

Branching processes $(Z_n)_{n \ge 0}$ in a varying environment generalize the Galton-Watson process, in that they allow time-dependence of the offspring distribution. Our main results concern general criteria for a.s. extinction,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Götz Kersting

Consider a uniformly sampled random $d$-regular graph on $n$ vertices. If $d$ is fixed and $n$ goes to $\infty$ then we can relate typical (large probability) properties of such random graph to a family of invariant random processes (called…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-07 Ágnes Backhausz , Charles Bordenave , Balázs Szegedy

We consider a one-dimensional stochastic differential equation driven by a Wiener process, where the diffusion coefficient depends on an ergodic fast process. The averaging principle is satisfied: it is well-known that the slow component…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-30 Charles-Edouard Bréhier

A fundamental problem of non-equilibrium statistical mechanics is the derivation of macroscopic transport equations in the hydrodynamic limit. The rigorous study of such limits requires detailed information about rates of convergence to…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-05-30 Alexander Grigo , Konstantin Khanin , Domokos Szasz

We observe n possibly dependent random variables, the distribution of which is presumed to be stationary even though this might not be true, and we aim at estimating the stationary distribution. We establish a non-asymptotic deviation bound…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-10 Alexandre Lecestre

Extending recent work on stress fluctuations in complex fluids and amorphous solids we describe in general terms the ensemble average $v(\Delta t)$ and the standard deviation $\delta v(\Delta t)$ of the variance $v[\mathbf{x}]$ of time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-11-18 G. George , L. Klochko , A. N. Semenov , J. Baschnagel , J. P. Wittmer

This paper presents a general approach to linear stochastic processes driven by various random noises. Mathematically, such processes are described by linear stochastic differential equations of arbitrary order (the simplest non-trivial…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 Alon Drory

For a class of piecewise deterministic Markov processes we introduce a stochastic calculus which is a certain non-Gaussian counterpart to the classical Malliavin calculus. As an application we investigate the regularity of densities of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Jörg-Uwe Löbus

We study multiclass many-server queues for which the arrival, service and abandonment rates are all modulated by a common finite-state Markov process. We assume that the system operates in the "averaged" Halfin-Whitt regime, which means…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-15 Ari Arapostathis , Anirban Das , Guodong Pang , Yi Zheng

Semi-Markov processes play an important role in the effective description of partially accessible systems in stochastic thermodynamics. They occur, for instance, in coarse-graining procedures such as state lumping and when analyzing waiting…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-01-19 Alexander M. Maier , Jonas H. Fritz , Udo Seifert

We study the statistical inference of nonlinear stochastic approximation algorithms utilizing a single trajectory of Markovian data. Our methodology has practical applications in various scenarios, such as Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-21 Xiang Li , Jiadong Liang , Zhihua Zhang

Markov models are widely used to describe processes of stochastic dynamics. Here, we show that Markov models are a natural consequence of the dynamical principle of Maximum Caliber. First, we show that when there are different possible…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-28 Hao Ge , Steve Presse , Kingshuk Ghosh , Ken Dill

In this paper, we introduce a new method of sampling from transition densities of diffusion processes including those unknown in closed forms by solving a partial differential equation satisfied by the quotient of transition densities. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-04 Yasin Kikabi , Juma Kasozi

In this paper we introduce and analyze a class of diffusion type equations related to certain non-Markovian stochastic processes. We start from the forward drift equation which is made non-local in time by the introduction of a suitable…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 Antonio Mura , Murad S. Taqqu , Francesco Mainardi

We propose a piecewise deterministic Markovian jump process in Hilbert space such that the covariance matrix of this stochastic process solves the thermodynamic quantum master equation. The proposed stochastic process is particularly simple…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-03-09 Hans Christian Öttinger

This paper investigates the Gaussian quasi-likelihood estimation of an exponentially ergodic multidimensional Markov process, which is expressed as a solution to a L\'{e}vy driven stochastic differential equation whose coefficients are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-14 Hiroki Masuda