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We present a maximum-caliber method for inferring transition rates of a Markov State Model (MSM) with perturbed equilibrium populations, given estimates of state populations and rates for an unperturbed MSM. It is similar in spirit to…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2016-05-26 Vincent A. Voelz , Guangfeng Zhou , Hongbin Wan

More than ever, today we are left with the abundance of molecular data outpaced by the advancements of the phylogenomic methods. Especially in the case of presence of many genes over a set of species under the phylogeny question, more…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-29 Ali Amiryousefi

Predictability of behavior has emerged an an important characteristic in many fields including biology, medicine, and marketing. Behavior can be recorded as a sequence of actions performed by an individual over a given time period. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-13 Brian Vegetabile , Jenny Molet , Tallie Z. Baram , Hal Stern

Bistable biochemical switches are ubiquitous in gene regulatory networks and signal transduction pathways. Their switching dynamics, however, are difficult to study directly in experiments or conventional computer simulations, because…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-10 Rosalind J. Allen , Patrick B. Warren , Pieter Rein ten Wolde

We use large deviation methods to calculate rates of noise-induced transitions between states in multistable genetic networks. We analyze a synthetic biochemical circuit, the toggle switch, and compare the results to those obtained from a…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2013-05-29 David Marin Roma , Ruadhan A. O'Flanagan , Andrei E. Ruckenstein , Anirvan M. Sengupta , Ranjan Mukhopadhyay

We study the problem of approximate ranking from observations of pairwise interactions. The goal is to estimate the underlying ranks of $n$ objects from data through interactions of comparison or collaboration. Under a general framework of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-26 Chao Gao

A path information is defined in connection with the probability distribution of paths of nonequilibrium hamiltonian systems moving in phase space from an initial cell to different final cells. On the basis of the assumption that these…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Q. A. Wang

Dynamic processes on networks are fundamental to understanding modern-day phenomena such as information diffusion and opinion polarization on the internet or epidemics spreading through society. However, such processes are notoriously…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-07-15 Noam Abadi , Franco Ruzzenenti

We study transfer learning for estimation in latent variable network models. In our setting, the conditional edge probability matrices given the latent variables are represented by $P$ for the source and $Q$ for the target. We wish to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-07 Akhil Jalan , Arya Mazumdar , Soumendu Sundar Mukherjee , Purnamrita Sarkar

Spiking activity from populations of neurons display causal interactions and memory effects. Therefore, they are expected to show some degree of irreversibility in time. Motivated by the spike train statistics, in this paper we build a…

Biological Physics · Physics 2015-12-07 Rodrigo Cofre , Cesar Maldonado

Stochastic reaction networks are mathematical models frequently used in, but not limited to, biochemistry. These models are continuous-time Markov chains whose transition rates depend on certain parameters called rate constants, which…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-14 Daniele Cappelletti , Aidan Howells , Chuang Xu

Maximum entropy principle (MEP) offers an effective and unbiased approach to inferring unknown probability distributions when faced with incomplete information, while neural networks provide the flexibility to learn complex distributions…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-04 Wuyue Yang , Liangrong Peng , Guojie Li , Liu Hong

Graph embedding methods represent nodes in a continuous vector space, preserving information from the graph (e.g. by sampling random walks). There are many hyper-parameters to these methods (such as random walk length) which have to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-27 Sami Abu-El-Haija , Bryan Perozzi , Rami Al-Rfou , Alex Alemi

Schr\"odinger bridges have emerged as an enabling framework for unveiling the stochastic dynamics of systems based on marginal observations at different points in time. The terminology "bridge'' refers to a probability law that suitably…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-03-05 Olga Movilla Miangolarra , Asmaa Eldesoukey , Tryphon T. Georgiou

Simulations with an adaptive time-dependent bias, such as metadynamics, enable an efficient exploration of the conformational space of a system. However, the dynamic information of the system is altered by the bias. With infrequent…

We propose a new approach for estimating the finite dimensional transition matrix of a Markov chain using a large number of independent sample paths observed at random times. The sample paths may be observed as few as two times, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-20 Daphne Aurouet , Valentin Patilea

In this paper, we present a detailed framework to analyze the evolution of the random topology of a time-varying wireless network via the information theoretic notion of entropy rate. We consider a propagation channel varying over time with…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-11-08 Arta Cika , Mihai-Alin Badiu , Justin P. Coon , Shahriar Etemadi Tajbakhsh

Predicting the behavior of a wireless link in terms of, e.g., the frame delivery ratio, is a critical task for optimizing the performance of wireless industrial communication systems. This is because industrial applications are typically…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Gabriele Formis , Stefano Scanzio , Lukasz Wisniewski , Gianluca Cena

For a transition between two stable states, the committor is the probability that the dynamics leads to one stable state before the other. It can be estimated from trajectory data by minimizing an expression for the transition rate that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-09 Chatipat Lorpaiboon , Jonathan Weare , Aaron R. Dinner

Just as transition rates in a canonical ensemble must respect the principle of detailed balance, constraints exist on transition rates in driven steady states. I derive those constraints, by maximum information-entropy inference, and apply…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 R. M. L. Evans