Related papers: A conditional Berry-Esseen bound and a conditional…
The problem of binary hypothesis testing between two probability measures is considered. New sharp bounds are derived for the best achievable error probability of such tests based on independent and identically distributed observations.…
We show that paradoxical consequences of violations of Bell's inequality are induced by the use of an unsuitable probabilistic description for the EPR-Bohm-Bell experiment. The conventional description (due to Bell) is based on a…
Let $\{Z_n, n\geq 0\}$ be a supercritical branching process in an independent and identically distributed random environment. We prove Cram\'{e}r moderate deviations and Berry-Esseen bounds for $\ln (Z_{n+n_0}/Z_{n_0})$ % under the annealed…
We consider a Bayesian problem of estimating of probability of success in a series of conditionally independent trials with binary outcomes. We study the asymptotic behaviour of differential entropy for posterior probability density…
The asymptotic tail behaviour of sums of independent subexponential random variables is well understood, one of the main characteristics being the principle of the single big jump. We study the case of dependent subexponential random…
In this paper we introduce a new measure of conditional dependence between two random vectors ${\boldsymbol X}$ and ${\boldsymbol Y}$ given another random vector $\boldsymbol Z$ using the ball divergence. Our measure characterizes…
We propose a general new method, the conditional permutation test, for testing the conditional independence of variables $X$ and $Y$ given a potentially high-dimensional random vector $Z$ that may contain confounding factors. The proposed…
We study the problem of testing, using only a single sample, between mean field distributions (like Curie-Weiss, Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi) and structured Gibbs distributions (like Ising model on sparse graphs and Exponential Random Graphs). Our…
The probability that the sum of independent, centered, identically distributed, heavy-tailed random variables achieves a very large value is asymptotically equal to the probability that there exists a single summand equalling that value. We…
We study the inhomogeneous Curie-Weiss model with external field, where the inhomogeneity is introduced by adding a positive weight to every vertex and letting the interaction strength between two vertices be proportional to the product of…
Homogeneous normalized random measures with independent increments (hNRMIs) represent a broad class of Bayesian nonparametric priors and thus are widely used. In this paper, we obtain the strong law of large numbers, the central limit…
In this paper, we consider partial sums of triangular martingale differences weighted by random variables drawn uniformly on the sphere, and globally independent of the martingale differences. Starting from the so-called principle of…
A Bayesian non-parametric framework for studying time-to-event data is proposed, where the prior distribution is allowed to depend on an additional random source, and may update with the sample size. Such scenarios are natural, for…
In a Bayesian network, we wish to evaluate the marginal probability of a query variable, which may be conditioned on the observed values of some evidence variables. Here we first present our "border algorithm," which converts a BN into a…
We prove an explicit finite-sample version of the Borel--Cantelli lemma under $m$-dependence. Given any $m$-dependent sequence of events $(A_k)_{1\leq k\leq N}$, we show that \[ \mathbb{P}\Bigl(\bigcup_{k=1}^N A_k\Bigr) \ge 1 -…
A Chernoff-type distribution is a nonnormal distribution defined by the slope at zero of the greatest convex minorant of a two-sided Brownian motion with a polynomial drift. While a Chernoff-type distribution is known to appear as the…
Many enumeration problems in combinatorics, including such fundamental questions as the number of regular graphs, can be expressed as high-dimensional complex integrals. Motivated by the need for a systematic study of the asymptotic…
This paper studies the asymptotics of resampling without replacement in the proportional regime where dimension $p$ and sample size $n$ are of the same order. For a given dataset $(X,y)\in \mathbb{R}^{n\times p}\times \mathbb{R}^n$ and…
Distinguishing causal connections from correlations is important in many scenarios. However, the presence of unobserved variables, such as the latent confounder, can introduce bias in conditional independence testing commonly employed in…
A fractional binomial distribution, introduced by Hino and Namba (2024) via the generalized binomial theorem, is a fractional variant of the classical binomial distribution. Building upon previous work that established limit theorems, such…