A finite-sample Borel--Cantelli inequality under $m$-dependence
Abstract
We prove an explicit finite-sample version of the Borel--Cantelli lemma under -dependence. Given any -dependent sequence of events , we show that The proof splits the index set into residue classes modulo , so that each class consists of mutually independent events, and then applies an elementary product--to--exponential bound. We further derive a quantitative windowed corollary: if the partial sums satisfy for all , then for every and , Finally, we present a complementary second-order refinement involving local pairwise intersection probabilities. These results complement the asymptotic and rate results of Lu, Shi and Zhao (2026) by providing explicit finite- bounds and a simple comparison framework for the baseline and second-order estimates.
Cite
@article{arxiv.2604.07750,
title = {A finite-sample Borel--Cantelli inequality under $m$-dependence},
author = {Chatchawan Panraksa},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2604.07750},
year = {2026}
}
Comments
8 pages