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Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are general purpose models for time-series data widely used across the sciences because of their flexibility and elegance. However fitting HMMs can often be computationally demanding and time consuming,…

Computation · Statistics 2021-09-15 Marnus Stoltz , Gene Stoltz , Kazushige Obara , Ting Wang , David Bryant

Stochastic processes abound in nature and accurately modeling them is essential across the quantitative sciences. They can be described by hidden Markov models (HMMs) or by their quantum extensions (QHMMs). These models explain and give…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-12-18 Magdalini Zonnios , Alec Boyd , Felix C. Binder

The hidden Markov model (HMM) provides a powerful framework for inference in time-varying environments, where the underlying state evolves according to a Markov chain. To address the optimal filtering problem in general dynamic settings, we…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-10 Dongyan Sui , Haotian Pu , Siyang Leng , Stefan Vlaski

In this paper, we give random matrix theory approach to the quantum mechanics using the quantum Hamilton-Jacobi formalism. We show that the bound state problems in quantum mechanics are analogous to solving Gaussian unitary ensemble of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-01-28 K. V. S. Shiv Chaitanya

We present an implementation of Quantum Computing for a Markov Chain Monte Carlo method with an application to cosmological functions, to derive posterior distributions from cosmological probes. The algorithm proposes new steps in the…

RNA secondary structure is modeled with the novel arbitrary-order hidden Markov model ({\alpha}-HMM). The {\alpha}-HMM extends over the traditional HMM with capability to model stochastic events that may be in influenced by historically…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2024-01-09 Sixiang Zhang , Aaron J. Yang , Liming Cai

Transition probabilities are an important and useful tool in quantum mechanics. However, in their present form, they are limited in scope and only apply to pure quantum states. In this article we extend their applicability to mixed states…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-04-02 Stan Gudder

The hidden-variables premise is shown to be equivalent to the existence of generic filters for algebras of commuting propositions and for certain more general propositional systems. The significance of this equivalence is interpreted in…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Robert A. Van Wesep

Pairwise Markov Models (PMMs) extend the wellknown Hidden Markov Models (HMMs). Being significantly more general, PMMs enable several types of processing, like Bayesian filtering or smoothing, similar to those used in HMMs. In this paper,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-13 Marc Escudier , Ikram Abdelkefi , Clément Fernandes , Wojciech Pieczynski

I describe a new Markov chain method for sampling from the distribution of the state sequences in a non-linear state space model, given the observation sequence. This method updates all states in the sequence simultaneously using an…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Radford M. Neal

A continuous-time Markov chain rate change formula for simulation, model selection, filtering and theory is proven. It is used to develop Markov chain importance sampling, rejection sampling, branching particle filtering algorithms and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-14 Michael A. Kouritzin

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) and partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) provide useful tools for modeling dynamical systems. They are particularly useful for representing the topology of environments such as road networks…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-06-06 L. P. Kaelbling , H. Shatkay

We study a novel large dimensional approximate factor model with regime changes in the loadings driven by a latent first order Markov process. By exploiting the equivalent linear representation of the model, we first recover the latent…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-04 Matteo Barigozzi , Daniele Massacci

Not all entangled states can exhibit quantum steering, and determining whether a given entangled state is steerable is a crucial problem in quantum information theory. The main challenge lies in verifying the existence of a local…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-12-29 Yanning Jia , Fenzhuo Guo , Mengyan Li , Haifeng Dong , Fei Gao

This paper explores the application of Hidden Markov Models (HMM) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural networks for economic forecasting, focusing on predicting CPI inflation rates. The study explores a new approach that integrates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Guhan Sivakumar

Computing smoothing distributions, the distributions of one or more states conditional on past, present, and future observations is a recurring problem when operating on general hidden Markov models. The aim of this paper is to provide a…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-15 Randal Douc , Aurélien Garivier , Eric Moulines , Jimmy Olsson

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) and their extensions have proven to be powerful tools for classification of observations that stem from systems with temporal dependence as they take into account that observations close in time are likely…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-22 Sofia Ruiz-Suarez , Vianey Leos-Barajas , Juan Manuel Morales

Tensor network algorithms seek to minimize correlations to compress the classical data representing quantum states. Tensor network algorithms and similar tools---called tensor network methods---form the backbone of modern numerical methods…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-04-08 Andrey Kardashin , Alexey Uvarov , Jacob Biamonte

We search for digital biomarkers from Parkinson's Disease by observing approximate repetitive patterns matching hypothesized step and stride periodic cycles. These observations were modeled as a cycle of hidden states with randomness…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-11-15 Avinash Bukkittu , Baihan Lin , Trung Vu , Itsik Pe'er

We consider two-state Non-Homogeneous Hidden Markov Models (NHHMMs) for forecasting univariate time series. Given a set of predictors, the time series are modeled via predictive regressions with state dependent coefficients and time-varying…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-31 Constandina Koki , Loukia Meligkotsidou , Ioannis Vrontos