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Regime-switching models, in particular Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) where the switching is driven by an unobservable Markov chain, are widely-used in financial applications, due to their tractability and good econometric properties. In this…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-18 Vikram Krishnamurthy , Elisabeth Leoff , Jörn Sass

We introduce the notion of hidden quantum correlations. We present the mean values of observables depending on one classical random variable described by the probability distribution in the form of correlation functions of two (three, etc.)…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-07-23 Margarita A. Man'ko , Vladimir I. Man'ko

MQuantum algorithms of matrix operations are of great significance in many fields in science and technology. In this paper, by leveraging multi-qubit Toffoli gates and basic single-qubit operations, the quantum algorithms of matrix…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-08-26 Yu-Hang Liu , Yuan-Hong Tao , jing-Run Lan , Shao-Ming Fei

We consider the task of learning mappings from sequential data to real-valued responses. We present and evaluate an approach to learning a type of hidden Markov model (HMM) for regression. The learning process involves inferring the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Keith Noto , Mark Craven

We explore the use of traditional and contemporary hidden Markov models (HMMs) for sequential physiological data analysis and sepsis prediction in preterm infants. We investigate the use of classical Gaussian mixture model based HMM, and a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-31 Antoine Honore , Dong Liu , David Forsberg , Karen Coste , Eric Herlenius , Saikat Chatterjee , Mikael Skoglund

Many problems of practical interest rely on Continuous-time Markov chains~(CTMCs) defined over combinatorial state spaces, rendering the computation of transition probabilities, and hence probabilistic inference, difficult or impossible…

Fundamental matrix operations and solving linear systems of equations are ubiquitous in scientific investigations. Using the "Sender-Receiver" model, we propose quantum algorithms for matrix operations such as matrix-vector product,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-03-11 Wentao Qi , Alexandr I. Zenchuk , Asutosh Kumar , Junde Wu

The Baum-Welsh algorithm together with its derivatives and variations has been the main technique for learning Hidden Markov Models (HMM) from observational data. We present an HMM learning algorithm based on the non-negative matrix…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-01-11 George Cybenko , Valentino Crespi

We propose a framework to model the distribution of sequential data coming from a set of entities connected in a graph with a known topology. The method is based on a mixture of shared hidden Markov models (HMMs), which are jointly trained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-02 Diogo Pernes , Jaime S. Cardoso

Accurate models for open quantum systems -- quantum states that have non-trivial interactions with their environment -- may aid in the advancement of a diverse array of fields, including quantum computation, informatics, and the prediction…

In this paper we study various properties of finite stochastic systems or hidden Markov chains as they are alternatively called. We discuss their construction following different approaches and we also derive recursive filtering formulas…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Peter Spreij

We consider Markov models of stochastic processes where the next-step conditional distribution is defined by a kernel density estimator (KDE), similar to Markov forecast densities and certain time-series bootstrap schemes. The KDE Markov…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-31 Gustav Eje Henter , Arne Leijon , W. Bastiaan Kleijn

We introduce an extension of finite mixture models by incorporating skew-normal distributions within a Hidden Markov Model framework. By assuming a constant transition probability matrix and allowing emission distributions to vary according…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-25 Andrea Nigri , Marco Forti , Han Lin Shang

We address the problem of detecting an anomalous process among a large number of processes. At each time t, normal processes are in state zero (normal state), while the abnormal process may be in either state zero (normal state) or state…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-23 Levli Citron , Kobi Cohen , Qing Zhao

Scripts have been proposed to model the stereotypical event sequences found in narratives. They can be applied to make a variety of inferences including filling gaps in the narratives and resolving ambiguous references. This paper proposes…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-09-12 J. Walker Orr , Prasad Tadepalli , Janardhan Rao Doppa , Xiaoli Fern , Thomas G. Dietterich

The technological applications of hidden Markov models have been extremely diverse and successful, including natural language processing, gesture recognition, gene sequencing, and Kalman filtering of physical measurements. HMMs are highly…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2012-09-04 Andrew J. Critch

With the symbolic framework of Probability Bracket Notation (PBN), the Markov Sequence Projector (MSP) is introduced to expand the evolution formula of Homogeneous Markov Chains (HMCs). The well-known weather example, a Visible Markov Model…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-02-21 Xing M. Wang

The stock market presents a challenging environment for accurately predicting future stock prices due to its intricate and ever-changing nature. However, the utilization of advanced methodologies can significantly enhance the precision of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-02 Luigi Catello , Ludovica Ruggiero , Lucia Schiavone , Mario Valentino

A stochastic hybrid system, also known as a switching diffusion, is a continuous-time Markov process with state space consisting of discrete and continuous parts. We consider parametric estimation of theQmatrix for the discrete state…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-14 Masaaki Fukasawa

Two major tasks in applications of hidden Markov models are to (i) compute distributions of summary statistics of the hidden state sequence, and (ii) decode the hidden state sequence. We describe finite Markov chain imbedding (FMCI) and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-22 Zenia Elise Damgaard Bæk , Moisès Coll Macià , Laurits Skov , Asger Hobolth