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We show existence of a non-trivial phase transition for the contact process, a simple model for infection without immunity, on a network which reacts dynamically to the infection trying to prevent an epidemic. This network initially has the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-12 John Fernley , Peter Mörters , Marcel Ortgiese

We investigate the expected time to extinction in the susceptible-infectious-susceptible (SIS) model of disease spreading. Rather than using stochastic simulations, or asymptotic calculations in network models, we solve the extinction time…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-12-26 Petter Holme , Liubov Tupikina

We study the supercritical contact process on Galton-Watson trees and periodic trees. We prove that if the contact process survives weakly then it dominates a supercritical Crump-Mode-Jagers branching process. Hence the number of infected…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-12 Xiangying Huang

Motivated by a model of an area-wide integrated pest management, we develop an interacting particle system evolving in a random environment. It is a generalised contact process in which the birth rate takes two possible values, determined…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-27 Kevin Kuoch

The regular tree corresponds to the random regular graph as its local limit. For this reason the famous double phase transition of the contact process on regular tree has been seen to correspond to a phase transition on the large random…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-14 John Fernley

This article is concerned with a version of the contact process with sexual reproduction on a graph with two levels of interactions modeling metapopulations. The population is spatially distributed into patches and offspring are produced in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-08 Eric Foxall , Nicolas Lanchier

In this paper we are concerned with contact processes with random vertex weights on oriented lattices. In our model, we assume that each vertex x of Z^d takes i. i. d. positive random value \rho(x). Vertex y infects vertex x at rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-04 Xiaofeng Xue

We present general results for the contact process by a method which applies to all transitive graphs of bounded degree, including graphs of exponential growth. The model's infection rates are varied through a control parameter, for which…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-09-29 Michael Aizenman , Paul Jung

We introduce a process where a connected rooted multigraph evolves by splitting events on its vertices, occurring randomly in continuous time. When a vertex splits, its incoming edges are randomly assigned between its offspring and a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-05 Agelos Georgakopoulos , John Haslegrave

In this paper we study threshold-one contact processes on lattices and regular trees. The asymptotic behavior of the critical infection rates as the degrees of the graphs growing to infinity are obtained. Defining \lambda_c as the supremum…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-02 Xiaofeng Xue

We study spreading processes in temporal graphs, i. e., graphs whose connections change over time. These processes naturally model real-world phenomena such as infectious diseases or information flows. More precisely, we investigate how…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-07-21 Hendrik Molter , Malte Renken , Philipp Zschoche

Propagation of contagion in networks depends on the graph topology. This paper is concerned with studying the time-asymptotic behavior of the extended contact processes on static, undirected, finite-size networks. This is a contact process…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-07-03 June Zhang , José M. F. Moura

The contact process with an asymptomatic state, introduced in [Belhadji, Lanchier and Mercer, Stochastic Process. Appl., 176:104417, 2024], is a natural variant of the basic contact process that distinguishes between asymptomatic (state 1)…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-27 Nicolas Lanchier

We study degree-penalized contact processes on Galton-Watson trees (GW) and the configuration model. The model we consider is a modification of the usual contact process on a graph. In particular, each vertex can be either infected or…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Zsolt Bartha , Júlia Komjáthy , Daniel Valesin

We study the metastability of the ferromagnetic Ising model on a random $r$-regular graph in the zero temperature limit. We prove that in the presence of a small positive external field the time that it takes to go from the all minus state…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-23 Sander Dommers

In this paper we introduce a contact process in an evolving random environment (CPERE) on a connected and transitive graph with bounded degree, where we assume that this environment is described through an ergodic spin systems with finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-18 Marco Seiler , Anja Sturm

The contact process, or SIS epidemic, is a continuous-time Markov process used to model the spread of infection on a graph. Each vertex is either healthy or infected, and each infected vertex independently infects each of its healthy…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-09 Shirshendu Chatterjee , David Sivakoff , Matthew Wascher

The contact process is a particular case of birth-and-death processes on infinite particle configurations. We consider the contact models on locally compact separable metric spaces. We prove the existence of a one-parameter set of invariant…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Sergey Pirogov , Elena Zhizhina

We consider the propagation of a contagion process (epidemic) on a network and study the problem of dynamically allocating a fixed curing budget to the nodes of the graph, at each time instant. For bounded degree graphs, we provide a lower…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-10-22 Kimon Drakopoulos , Asuman Ozdaglar , John N. Tsitsiklis

In this paper we will consider the contact process in a very simple type of random environment that physicists call the random dilution model. We start with the contact process on a graph, here either $\mathbb{Z}^d$, a $d$-dimensional torus…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-02 Rick Durrett