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Problem definition: Accurately modeling consumer behavior in energy operations is challenging due to uncertainty, behavioral heterogeneity, and limited empirical data-particularly in low-frequency, high-impact events. While generative AI…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Cong Chen , Omer Karaduman , Xu Kuang

We pose an active perception problem where an autonomous agent actively interacts with a second agent with potentially adversarial behaviors. Given the uncertainty in the intent of the other agent, the objective is to collect further…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-09-20 Macheng Shen , Jonathan P How

We present a new method to compute free energies at a quantum mechanical (QM) level of theory from molecular simulations using cheap reference potential energy functions, such as force fields. To overcome the poor overlap between the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-11-13 Andrea Rizzi , Paolo Carloni , Michele Parrinello

We study a dynamic model of Bayesian persuasion in sequential decision-making settings. An informed principal observes an external parameter of the world and advises an uninformed agent about actions to take over time. The agent takes…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Jiarui Gan , Rupak Majumdar , Goran Radanovic , Adish Singla

This paper develops generalizations of empowerment to continuous states. Empowerment is a recently introduced information-theoretic quantity motivated by hypotheses about the efficiency of the sensorimotor loop in biological organisms, but…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-02-01 Tobias Jung , Daniel Polani , Peter Stone

As artificial agents become increasingly capable, what internal structure is *necessary* for an agent to act competently under uncertainty? Classical results show that optimal control can be *implemented* using belief states or world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Aran Nayebi

Infants often exhibit goal-directed behaviors, such as reaching for a sensory stimulus, even when no external reward criterion is provided. These intrinsically motivated behaviors facilitate spontaneous exploration and learning of the body…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Dongmin Kim , Hoshinori Kanazawa , Naoto Yoshida , Yasuo Kuniyoshi

This paper presents a meta-theory of the usage of the free energy principle (FEP) and examines its scope in the modelling of physical systems. We consider the so-called `map-territory fallacy' and the fallacious reification of model…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2025-06-24 Maxwell J D Ramstead , Dalton A R Sakthivadivel , Karl J Friston

Sensory inference under conditions of uncertainty is a major problem in both machine learning and computational neuroscience. An important but poorly understood aspect of sensory processing is the role of active sensing. Here, we present a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-08-12 Sheeraz Ahmad , Angela Yu

Sensory inference under conditions of uncertainty is a major problem in both machine learning and computational neuroscience. An important but poorly understood aspect of sensory processing is the role of active sensing. Here, we present a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-05-30 Sheeraz Ahmad , Angela J. Yu

This work studies how brain-inspired neural ensembles equipped with local Hebbian plasticity can perform active inference (AIF) in order to control dynamical agents. A generative model capturing the environment dynamics is learned by a…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2023-06-23 Ali Safa , Tim Verbelen , Lars Keuninckx , Ilja Ocket , André Bourdoux , Francky Catthoor , Georges Gielen , Gert Cauwenberghs

Collision avoidance -- involving a rapid threat detection and quick execution of the appropriate evasive maneuver -- is a critical aspect of driving. However, existing models of human collision avoidance behavior are fragmented, focusing on…

The free energy principle (FEP), along with the associated constructs of Markov blankets and ontological potentials, have recently been presented as the core components of a generalized modeling method capable of mathematically describing…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-03-03 Jeff Beck , Maxwell J. D. Ramstead

It is well known that reinforcement learning can be cast as inference in an appropriate probabilistic model. However, this commonly involves introducing a distribution over agent trajectories with probabilities proportional to exponentiated…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-10-07 David Tolpin , Tomer Dobkin

Handling heterogeneity and unpredictability are two core problems in pervasive computing. The challenge is to seamlessly integrate devices with varying computational resources in a dynamic environment to form a cohesive system that can…

This book chapter is an introduction to and an overview of the information-theoretic, task independent utility function "Empowerment", which is defined as the channel capacity between an agent's actions and an agent's sensors. It quantifies…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-10-09 Christoph Salge , Cornelius Glackin , Daniel Polani

Complex behaviors are often driven by an internal model, which integrates sensory information over time and facilitates long-term planning. Inferring an agent's internal model is a crucial ingredient in social interactions (theory of mind),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-13 Zhengwei Wu , Paul Schrater , Xaq Pitkow

Agent-Based Models (ABM) are computational scenario-generators, which can be used to predict the possible future outcomes of the complex system they represent. To better understand the robustness of these predictions, it is necessary to…

General Economics · Economics 2022-08-08 Karl Naumann-Woleske , Max Sina Knicker , Michael Benzaquen , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We develop a novel data-driven approach to the inverse problem of classical statistical mechanics: given experimental data on the collective motion of a classical many-body system, how does one characterise the free energy landscape of that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-03-01 Peter Yatsyshin , Serafim Kalliadasis , Andrew B. Duncan

Integrating theoretical neuroscience, decision theory, and probabilistic inference offers a promising route to understanding human cognition, yet concrete methodological bridges between agentic AI models and behavioral data analysis remain…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-01 Dirk Ostwald , Rasmus Bruckner , Franziska Usée , Belinda Fleischmann , Joram Soch , Sean Mulready