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Epidemics are inherently stochastic, and stochastic models provide an appropriate way to describe and analyse such phenomena. Given temporal incidence data consisting of, for example, the number of new infections or removals in a given time…
I propose a new procedure to estimate the False Alarm Probability, the measure of significance for peaks of periodograms. The key element of the new procedure is the use of generalized extreme-value distributions, the limiting distribution…
We consider a directed random walk making either 0 or $+1$ moves and a Brownian bridge, independent of the walk, conditioned to arrive at point $b$ on time $T$. The Hamiltonian is defined as the sum of the square of increments of the bridge…
In this paper, we consider a stochastic system described by a differential equation admitting a spatially varying random coefficient. The differential equation has been employed to model various static physics systems such as elastic…
Extreme values geostatistics make it possible to model the asymptotic behaviors of random phenomena which depends on space or time parameters. In this paper, we propose new models of the extremal coefficient within a spatial stationary…
A random walk in random scenery $(Y_n)_{n\in\mathbb{N}}$ is given by $Y_n=\xi_{S_n}$ for a random walk $(S_n)_{n\in\mathbb{N}}$ and iid random variables $(\xi_n)_{n\in\mathbb{Z}}$. In this paper, we will show the weak convergence of the…
We consider an empirical process based upon ratio of selected pair of the non-overlapping $m$-spacings generated by independent samples of arbitrary sizes. As a main result, we show that when both samples are uniformly distributed on…
The aim of this paper is first the detection of multiple abrupt changes of the long-range dependence (respectively self-similarity, local fractality) parameters from a sample of a Gaussian stationary times series (respectively time series,…
Statistical methods for inference on spatial extremes of large datasets are yet to be developed. Motivated by standard dimension reduction techniques used in spatial statistics, we propose an approach based on empirical basis functions to…
Under an appropriate regular variation condition, the affinely normalized partial sums of a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables converges weakly to a non-Gaussian stable random variable. A functional version…
We consider parametric inference for an ergodic and stationary diffusion process, when the data are high-frequency observations of the integral of the diffusion process. Such data are obtained via certain measurement devices, or if…
We consider the problem of conditioning a Markov process on a rare event and of representing this conditioned process by a conditioning-free process, called the effective or driven process. The basic assumption is that the rare event used…
We establish tightness of graph-based stochastic processes in the space $D[0+\epsilon,1-\epsilon]$ with $\epsilon >0$ that allows for discontinuities of the first kind. The graph-based stochastic processes are based on statistics…
We study the estimation of the ATE in randomized controlled trials under a dynamically evolving interference structure. This setting arises in applications such as ride-sharing, where drivers move over time, and social networks, where…
We study a classical Bayesian statistics problem of sequentially testing the sign of the drift of an arithmetic Brownian motion with the $0$-$1$ loss function and a constant cost of observation per unit of time for general prior…
The Kaplan-Meier product-limit estimator is a simple and powerful tool in time to event analysis. An extension exists for populations stratified into cohorts where a population survival curve is generated by weighted averaging of…
We investigate the limiting behaviour of the path of random bridges treated as random sets in $\mathbb{R}^{d}$ with the Euclidean metric and the dimension $d$ increasing to infinity. The main result states that, in the square integrable…
The extreme event statistics plays a very important role in the theory and practice of time series analysis. The reassembly of classical theoretical results is often undermined by non-stationarity and dependence between increments.…
We develop an asymptotic statistical theory for parameter estimation from a class of non-i.i.d. periodic binary event-detection processes subject to nonparalyzable dead time and gating, which we call "dead-time event detection" (DED)…
We consider certain noncolliding interacting particle systems driven by Brownian noise. A key example is drifted Brownian motions conditioned not to intersect and related models of eigenvalues of Hermitian random matrices. We establish…