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Shot noise processes have been extensively studied due to their mathematical properties and their relevance in several applications. Here, we consider nonnegative shot noise processes and prove their weak convergence to L\'evy-driven…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-24 Massimiliano Tamborrino , Petr Lansky

We construct a least squares estimator for the drift parameters of a fractional Ornstein Uhlenbeck process with periodic mean function and long range dependence. For this estimator we prove consistency and asymptotic normality. In contrast…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-11 Herold Dehling , Brice Franke , Jeannette H. C. Woerner

We study the problem of sampling from a distribution $\mu$ with density $\propto e^{-V}$ for some potential function $V:\mathbb R^d\to \mathbb R$ with query access to $V$ and $\nabla V$. We start with the following standard assumptions: (1)…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Yuchen He , Zhehan Lei , Jianan Shao , Chihao Zhang

We study statistical inference of the drift parameters for the Volterra Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process on R in the ergodic regime. For continuous-time observations, we derive the corresponding maximum likelihood estimators and show that they…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Mohamed Ben Alaya , Martin Friesen , Jonas Kremer

The infinite (in both directions) sequence of the distributions $\mu^{(k)}$ of the stochastic integrals $\int_0^{\infty-}c^{-N_{t-}^{(k)}} dL_t^{(k)}$ for integers $k$ is investigated. Here $c>1$ and $(N_t^{(k)},L_t^{(k)})$, $t\geq0$, is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Alexander Lindner , Ken-iti Sato

This paper builds a multivariate L\'evy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process for the management of non-maturing deposits, that are a major source of funding for banks. The contribution of the paper is both theoretical and operational. On the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-28 Marina Marena , Andrea Romeo , Patrizia Semeraro

We consider the problem of static Bayesian inference for partially observed Levy-process models. We develop a methodology which allows one to infer static parameters and some states of the process, without a bias from the…

Computation · Statistics 2022-04-01 Hamza Ruzayqat , Ajay Jasra

Modern methods of generative modelling and unpaired data translation based on Schr\"odinger bridges and stochastic optimal control theory aim to transform an initial density to a target one in an optimal way. In the present paper, we assume…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Nikita Puchkin , Denis Suchkov , Alexey Naumov , Denis Belomestny

Given the observation of a high-dimensional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process in continuous time, we proceed to the inference of the drift parameter under a row-sparsity assumption. Towards that aim, we consider the negative log-likelihood of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-12 Stéphane Gaïffas , Gustaw Matulewicz

We consider the inverse problem of determining initial data in general Ornstein-Uhlenbeck equations on the Euclidean space from partial measurement localized on the so-called thick sets. Using the logarithmic convexity technique and recent…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-06-13 S. E. Chorfi , L. Maniar

Given a L\'evy process $L$, we consider the so-called statistical Skorohod embedding problem of recovering the distribution of an independent random time $T$ based on i.i.d. sample from $L_{T}.$ Our approach is based on the genuine use of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-04 Denis Belomestny , John Schoenmakers

This paper investigates the supervised learning problem with observations drawn from certain general stationary stochastic processes. Here by \emph{general}, we mean that many stationary stochastic processes can be included. We show that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-11 Hanyuan Hang , Yunlong Feng , Ingo Steinwart , Johan A. K. Suykens

The problem of estimating the L\'evy density of a partially observed multidimensional affine process from low-frequency and mixed-frequency data is considered. The estimation methodology is based on the log-affine representation of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-13 Denis Belomestny

Using a coupling for the weighted sum of independent random variables and the explicit expression of the transition semigroup of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes driven by compound Poisson processes, we establish the existence of a successful…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-18 René L. Schilling , Jian Wang

We consider the parameter estimation problem for the non-ergodic fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process defined as $dX_t=\theta X_tdt+dB_t,\ t\geq0$, with a parameter $\theta>0$, where $B$ is a fractional Brownian motion of Hurst index…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-01 Rachid Belfadli , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Youssef Ouknine

In this paper, we consider sampling an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process through a channel for remote estimation. The goal is to minimize the mean square error (MSE) at the estimator under a sampling frequency constraint when the channel…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-08-30 Yuchao Chen , Haoyue Tang , Jintao Wang , Pengkun Yang , Leandros Tassiulas

For a L\'evy process $\xi=(\xi_t)_{t\geq0}$ drifting to $-\infty$, we define the so-called exponential functional as follows \[{\rm{I}}_{\xi}=\int_0^{\infty}e^{\xi_t} dt.\] Under mild conditions on $\xi$, we show that the following…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-26 Pierre Patie , Juan Carlos Pardo Milan , Mladen Savov

This paper gives foundational results for the application of quasi-stationarity to Monte Carlo inference problems. We prove natural sufficient conditions for the quasi-limiting distribution of a killed diffusion to coincide with a target…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-07 Andi Q. Wang , Martin Kolb , Gareth O. Roberts , David Steinsaltz

Motivated by empirical evidence from the joint behavior of realized volatility time series, we propose to model the joint dynamics of log-volatilities using a multivariate fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. This model is a multivariate…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-19 Ranieri Dugo , Giacomo Giorgio , Paolo Pigato

We study nonparametric Bayesian statistical inference for the parameters governing a pure jump process of the form $$Y_t = \sum_{k=1}^{N(t)} Z_k,~~~ t \ge 0,$$ where $N(t)$ is a standard Poisson process of intensity $\lambda$, and $Z_k$ are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-02 Richard Nickl , Jakob Söhl