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We consider the problem of parameter estimation for the partially observed linear stochastic differential equation. We assume that the unobserved Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process depends on some unknown parameter and estimate the unobserved…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-25 Yury A. Kutoyants

The phenomenon of intermittency has been widely discussed in physics literature. This paper provides a model of intermittency based on L\'evy driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) type processes. Discrete superpositions of these processes can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-12 Danijel Grahovac , Nikolai N. Leonenko , Alla Sikorskii , Irena Tešnjak

In this paper we develop a framework for estimating Probability of Default (PD) based on stochastic models governing an appropriate asset value processes. In particular, we build upon a L\'evy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and consider…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-25 Kyriakos Georgiou , Athanasios N. Yannacopoulos

Statistical inference for stochastic processes based on high-frequency observations has been an active research area for more than a decade. One of the most well-known and widely studied problems is that of estimation of the quadratic…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-03 B. Cooper Boniece , José E. Figueroa-López , Yuchen Han

We propose a parsimonious stochastic model for characterising the distributional and temporal properties of rainfall. The model is based on an integrated Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by the Hougaard L\'evy process. We derive properties…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-27 Ragnhild C. Noven , Almut E. D. Veraart , Axel Gandy

Let $X=(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ be a known process and $T$ an unknown random time independent of $X$. Our goal is to derive the distribution of $T$ based on an iid sample of $X_T$. Belomestny and Schoenmakers (2015) propose a solution based the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-27 Viktor Schulmann

We obtain strong consistency and asymptotic normality of a least squares estimator of the drift coefficient for complex-valued Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes disturbed by fractional noise, extending the result of Y. Hu and D. Nualart,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-27 Yong Chen , Yaozhong Hu , Zhi Wang

Inverse statistical physics aims at inferring models compatible with a set of empirical averages estimated from a high-dimensional dataset of independently distributed equilibrium configurations of a given system. However, in several…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2021-02-12 Edwin Rodriguez Horta , Alejandro Lage , Martin Weigt , Pierre Barrat-Charlaix

Consider the linear stochastic differential equation (SDE) on $\mathbb{R}^n$: \[\mathrm {d}{X}_t=AX_t\,\mathrm{d}t+B\,\mathrm{d}L_t,\] where $A$ is a real $n\times n$ matrix, $B$ is a real $n\times d$ real matrix and $L_t$ is a L\'{e}vy…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-06 Feng-Yu Wang

The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process is interpreted as Brownian motion in a harmonic potential. This Gaussian Markov process has a bounded variance and admits a stationary probability distribution, in contrast to the standard Brownian motion. It…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-06-07 Pece Trajanovski , Petar Jolakoski , Kiril Zelenkovski , Alexander Iomin , Ljupco Kocarev , Trifce Sandev

In this article, we introduce a non Gaussian long memory process constructed by the aggregation of independent copies of a fractional L\'evy Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with random coefficients. Several properties and a limit theorem are…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-22 Héctor Araya , Johanna Garzón , Rolando Rubilar

The study of distributed order calculus usually concerns about fractional derivatives of the form $\int_0^1 \partial^\alpha u \, m(d\alpha)$ for some measure $m$, eventually a probability measure. In this paper an approach based on L\'evy…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-20 Bruno Toaldo

We consider the extreme value statistics of correlated random variables that arise from a Langevin equation. Recently, it was shown that the extreme values of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process follow a different distribution than those…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-17 Lior Zarfaty , Eli Barkai , David A. Kessler

In recent years there have been many proposals as flexible alternatives to Gaussian based continuous time stochastic volatility models. A great deal of these models employ positive L\'evy processes. Among these are the attractive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Lancelot F. James

The aim of this paper is to establish the uniform convergence of the densities of a sequence of random variables, which are functionals of an underlying Gaussian process, to a normal density. Precise estimates for the uniform distance are…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-08-30 Yaozhong Hu , Fei Lu , David Nualart

For a bivariate \Levy process $(\xi_t,\eta_t)_{t\geq 0}$ the generalised Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (GOU) process is defined as \[V_t:=e^{\xi_t}(z+\int_0^t e^{-\xi_{s-}}\ud \eta_s), t\ge0,\]where $z\in\mathbb{R}.$ We present conditions on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-05 Damien Bankovsky

In this article, we first review the connection between L\'evy processes and infinitely divisible random variables, and the classification of infinitely divisible distributions. Using this connection and the L\'evy-Khinchine representation…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-06 Neelesh S Upadhye , Kalyan Barman

We examine a mean-reverting Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process that perturbs an unknown Lipschitz-continuous drift and aim to estimate the drift's value at a predetermined time horizon by sampling the path of the process. Due to the time varying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-20 Enrico Bernardi , Alberto Lanconelli , Christopher S. A. Lauria , Berk Tan Perçin

The purpose of this article is a set-indexed extension of the well-known Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. The first part is devoted to a stationary definition of the random field and ends up with the proof of a complete characterization by its…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-08-29 Paul Balança , Erick Herbin

In the present paper we consider the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process of the second kind defined as solution to the equation $dX_{t} = -\alpha X_{t}dt+dY_{t}^{(1)}, \ \ X_{0}=0$, where $Y_{t}^{(1)}:=\int_{0}^{t}e^{-s}dB^H_{a_{s}}$ with…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-19 Maoudo Faramba Balde , Rachid Belfadli , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy
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