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We derive the first-passage-time statistics of a Brownian motion driven by an exponential time-dependent drift up to a threshold. This process corresponds to the signal integration in a simple neuronal model supplemented with an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-04-30 Eugenio Urdapilleta

Systems where resource availability approaches a critical threshold are common to many engineering and scientific applications and often necessitate the estimation of first passage time statistics of a Brownian motion (Bm) driven by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-04-05 Annalisa Molini , Peter Talkner , Gabriel G. Katul , Amilcare Porporato

In this paper we derive quantitative boundary H\"older estimates, with explicit constants, for the inhomogeneous Poisson problem in a bounded open set $D\subset \mathbb{R}^d$. Our approach has two main steps: firstly, we consider an…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-09 Iulian Cîmpean , Ionel Popescu , Arghir Zarnescu

The linear fractional stable motion generalizes two prominent classes of stochastic processes, namely stable L\'evy processes, and fractional Brownian motion. For this reason it may be regarded as a basic building block for continuous time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-17 Fabian Mies , Mark Podolskij

In this note, we prove a sharp $L^p$-rate of convergence of the number of upcrossings to the local time of the Brownian motion. In particular, it provides novel $p$-variation estimates ($2 < p < \infty$) for the number of upcrossings of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-26 Alberto Ohashi , Alexandre B. Simas

This paper studies, in dimensions greater than two, stationary diffusion processes in random environment which are small, isotropic perturbations of Brownian motion satisfying a finite range dependence. Such processes were first considered…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-01-26 Benjamin J. Fehrman

We consider the model of branching Brownian motion with a single catalytic point at the origin and binary branching. We establish some fine results for the asymptotic behaviour of the numbers of particles travelling at different speeds and…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-19 Sergey Bocharov

A new formula for the probability that a standard Brownian motion stays between two linear boundaries is proved. A simple algorithm is deduced. Uniform precision estimates are computed. Different implementations have been made available…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-20 Bernard Ycart , Rémy Drouilhet

This paper uses Lie symmetry methods to analyze boundary crossing probabilities for a large class of diffusion processes. We show that if Fokker--Planck--Kolmogorov equation has non-trivial Lie symmetry, then boundary crossing identity…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-27 Dmitry Muravey

We recently proposed a method for estimation of states and parameters in stochastic differential equations, which included intermediate time points between observations and used the Laplace approximation to integrate out these intermediate…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Uffe Høgsbro Thygesen

Consider non-intersecting Brownian motions on the line leaving from the origin and forced to two arbitrary points. Letting the number of Brownian particles tend to infinity, and upon rescaling, there is a point of bifurcation, where the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-18 Mark Adler , Nicolas Orantin , Pierre van Moerbeke

We state an exact simulation scheme for the first passage time of a Brownian motion to a symmetric linear boundary.

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-14 Jong Mun Lee , Taeho Lee

The behavior of the probability density function (PDF) transport equation at the limits of the probability space is studied from the point of view of fluid mechanics. Different boundary conditions are considered depending on the nature of…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-02-04 Luis Valiño , Juan Hierro

We study a model of $ N $ mutually repellent Brownian motions under confinement to stay in some bounded region of space. Our model is defined in terms of a transformed path measure under a trap Hamiltonian, which prevents the motions from…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Stefan Adams , Jean-Bernard Bru , Wolfgang Koenig

We consider the approximation of a convolution of possibly different probability measures by (compound) Poisson distributions and also by related signed measures of higher order. We present new total variation bounds having a better…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-08 Bero Roos

We consider a Markov-modulated Brownian motion $\{Y(t), \rho(t)\}$ with two boundaries at $0$ and $b > 0$, and allow for the controlling Markov chain $\{\rho(t)\}$ to instantaneously undergo a change of phase upon hitting either of the two…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-08 Guy Latouche , Giang T. Nguyen

The boundary crossing probability of a Poisson process with $n$ jumps is a fundamental quantity with numerous applications. We present a fast $O(n^2 \log n)$ algorithm to calculate this probability for arbitrary upper and lower boundaries.

Computation · Statistics 2019-09-16 Amit Moscovich , Boaz Nadler

We consider a Markovian jumping process with two absorbing barriers, for which the waiting-time distribution involves a position-dependent coefficient. We solve the Fokker-Planck equation with boundary conditions and calculate the mean…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-10-16 A. Kamińska , T. Srokowski

We construct the least-square estimator for the unknown drift parameter in the multifractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model and establish its strong consistency in the non-ergodic case. The proofs are based on the asymptotic bounds with…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-19 Marco Dozzi , Yuriy Kozachenko , Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

We present an approximation to the Brunet--Derrida model of supercritical branching Brownian motion on the real line with selection of the $N$ right-most particles, valid when the population size $N$ is large. It consists of introducing a…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-05 Pascal Maillard