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In this paper we study approximations for boundary crossing probabilities for the moving sums of i.i.d. normal random variables. We propose approximating a discrete time problem with a continuous time problem allowing us to apply developed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-30 Jack Noonan , Anatoly Zhigljavsky

We investigate a moving boundary problem for a Brownian particle on the semi-infinite line in which the boundary moves by a distance proportional to the time between successive collisions of the particle and the boundary. Phenomenologically…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-14 B. De Bruyne , J. Randon-Furling , S. Redner

We derive explicit formulas for probabilities of Brownian motion with jumps crossing linear or piecewise linear boundaries in any finite interval. We then use these formulas to approximate the boundary crossing probabilities for general…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-16 Jinghai Shao , Liqun Wang

Motivated by the result of invariance of regular-boundary open sets in \cite{CannarsaDaPratoFrankowska2009} and multi-stability issues in gene networks, our paper focuses on three closely related aims. First, we give a necessary local…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-08-14 Dan Goreac

We calculate crossing probabilities and one-sided last exit time densities for a class of moving barriers on an interval $[0,T]$ via Schwartz distributions. We derive crossing probabilities and first hitting time densities for another class…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-08-28 Nabil Kahale

Starting from the hyperbolic Brownian motion as a time-changed Brownian motion, we explore a set of probabilistic models--related to the SABR model in mathematical finance--which can be obtained by geometry-preserving transformations, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-19 Archil Gulisashvili , Blanka Horvath , Antoine Jacquier

We propose an approach to compute the boundary crossing probabilities for a class of diffusion processes which can be expressed as piecewise monotone (not necessarily one-to-one) functionals of a standard Brownian motion. This class…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Liqun Wang , Klaus Pötzelberger

We consider the boundary crossing problem for time-homogeneous diffusions and general curvilinear boundaries. Bounds are derived for the approximation error of the one-sided (upper) boundary crossing probability when replacing the original…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-08-28 A. N. Downes , K. Borovkov

Under some weak conditions, the first-passage time of the Brownian motion to a continuous curved boundary is an almost surely finite stopping time. Its probability density function (pdf) is explicitly known only in few particular cases.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-22 Samuel Herrmann , Etienne Tanré

We revisit a result of Uchiyama (1980): given that a certain integral test is satisfied, the rate of the probability that Brownian motion remains below the moving boundary $f$ is asymptotically the same as for the constant boundary. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-22 Frank Aurzada , Tanja Kramm

We propose a discrete time discrete space Markov chain approximation with a Brownian bridge correction for computing curvilinear boundary crossing probabilities of a general diffusion process on a finite time interval. For broad classes of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-13 Vincent Liang , Konstantin Borovkov

An explicit formula for the probability that a continuous local martingale crosses a one or two-sided random constant boundary in a finite time interval is derived. We obtain that the boundary crossing probability of a continuous local…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-04 Yoann Potiron

In this paper we investigate the boundary non-crossing probabilities of a fractional Brownian motion considering some general deterministic trend function. We derive bounds for non-crossing probabilities and discuss the case of a large…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-01 Enkelejd Hashorva , Yuliya Mishura , Oleg Seleznjev

In this paper we study approximations for the boundary crossing probabilities of moving sums of i.i.d. normal r.v. We approximate a discrete time problem with a continuous time problem allowing us to apply established theory for stationary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-06 Jack Noonan , Anatoly Zhigljavsky

Finding the first time a fluctuating quantity reaches a given boundary is a deceptively simple-looking problem of vast practical importance in physics, biology, chemistry, neuroscience, economics and industry. Problems in which the bound to…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-05 Thibaud Taillefumier , Marcelo O. Magnasco

We study the random acceleration model, which is perhaps one of the simplest, yet nontrivial, non-Markov stochastic processes, and is key to many applications. For this non-Markov process, we present exact analytical results for the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-09-04 Satya N. Majumdar , Alberto Rosso , Andrea Zoia

We consider the first-crossing-time problem through a constant boundary for a Wiener process perturbed by random jumps driven by a counting process. On the base of a sample-path analysis of the jump-diffusion process we obtain explicit…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-20 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Elvira Di Nardo , Luigi M. Ricciardi

We analyze here different forms of fractional relaxation equations of order {\nu}\in(0,1) and we derive their solutions both in analytical and in probabilistic forms. In particular we show that these solutions can be expressed as crossing…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-14 Luisa Beghin

We prove that the random empirical measure of appropriately rescaled particle trajectories of the interchange process on path graphs converges weakly to the deterministic measure of stationary Brownian motion on the unit interval. This is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-03 Mustazee Rahman , Balint Virag

The first-passage-time problem for a Brownian motion with alternating infinitesimal moments through a constant boundary is considered under the assumption that the time intervals between consecutive changes of these moments are described by…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-28 A. Di Crescenzo , E. Di Nardo , L. M. Ricciardi
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