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Wide-area data and algorithms in large power systems are creating new opportunities for implementation of measurement-based dynamic load modeling techniques. These techniques improve the accuracy of dynamic load models, which are an…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-24 Phylicia Cicilio , Eduardo Cotilla-Sanchez

This paper develops a difference-in-differences (DiD) estimation method that selects the optimal length of pre-trends by minimizing the mean squared error (MSE). Conventional DiD regression models, such as the two-way fixed effects model or…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-07 Yamato Igarashi

We define two minimum distance estimators for dependent data by minimizing some approximated Maximum Mean Discrepancy distances between the true empirical distribution of observations and their assumed (parametric) model distribution. When…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-19 Pierre Alquier , Jean-David Fermanian , Benjamin Poignard

The ideas of model averaging are used to find weights in peak-over-threshold problems using a possible range of thresholds. A range of the largest observations are chosen and considered as possible thresholds, each time performing…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2014-10-30 J. Martin van Zyl

We investigate the accuracy of the two most common estimators for the maximum expected value of a general set of random variables: a generalization of the maximum sample average, and cross validation. No unbiased estimator exists and we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-03-04 Hado van Hasselt

In this work, we consider a multivariate regression model with one-sided errors. We assume for the regression function to lie in a general H\"{o}lder class and estimate it via a nonparametric local polynomial approach that consists of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-11 Leonie Selk , Charles Tillier , Orlando Marigliano

When the individual studies assembled for a meta-analysis report means ($\mu_C$, $\mu_T$) for their treatment (T) and control (C) arms, but those data are on different scales or come from different instruments, the customary measure of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-18 Elena Kulinskaya , David C. Hoaglin

In the present study, we propose a new estimator for population mean of the study variable y in the case of stratified random sampling using the information based on auxiliary variable x. Expression for the mean squared error (MSE) of the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-07-25 Sachin Malik , Viplav Kumar Singh , Rajesh Singh

Modern causal inference methods allow machine learning to be used to weaken parametric modeling assumptions. However, the use of machine learning may result in complications for inference. Doubly-robust cross-fit estimators have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-11 Paul N Zivich , Alexander Breskin

We consider ordinary least squares estimation and variations on least squares estimation such as penalized (regularized) least squares and spectral shrinkage estimates for problems with p > n and associated problems with prediction of new…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-19 Ronald Christensen

Sensitivity analysis for measurement error can be applied in the absence of validation data by means of regression calibration and simulation-extrapolation. These have not been compared for this purpose. A simulation study was conducted…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-09 Linda Nab , Rolf H. H. Groenwold

It is well-known that trimmed sample means are robust against heavy tails and data contamination. This paper analyzes the performance of trimmed means and related methods in two novel contexts. The first one consists of estimating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-03 Roberto I. Oliveira , Lucas Resende

In this work, we propose a mean-squared error-based risk that enables the comparison and optimization of estimators of squared calibration errors in practical settings. Improving the calibration of classifiers is crucial for enhancing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-24 Sebastian G. Gruber , Francis Bach

In real-world classification problems, the class balance in the training dataset does not necessarily reflect that of the test dataset, which can cause significant estimation bias. If the class ratio of the test dataset is known, instance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-22 Marthinus Du Plessis , Masashi Sugiyama

Accurately measuring discrimination is crucial to faithfully assessing fairness of trained machine learning (ML) models. Any bias in measuring discrimination leads to either amplification or underestimation of the existing disparity.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-09 Sami Zhioua , Rūta Binkytė

The common practice in difference-in-difference (DiD) designs is to check for parallel trends prior to treatment assignment, yet typical estimation and inference does not account for the fact that this test has occurred. I analyze the…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-05-03 Jonathan Roth

When data contains measurement errors, it is necessary to make assumptions relating the observed, erroneous data to the unobserved true phenomena of interest. These assumptions should be justifiable on substantive grounds, but are often…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-24 Noam Finkelstein , Roy Adams , Suchi Saria , Ilya Shpitser

This paper addresses the problem of inverse covariance (also known as precision matrix) estimation in high-dimensional settings. Specifically, we focus on two classes of estimators: linear shrinkage estimators with a target proportional to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-21 Lucas Morisset , Adrien Hardy , Alain Durmus

Uncertainty quantification is a central challenge in reliable and trustworthy machine learning. Naive measures such as last-layer scores are well-known to yield overconfident estimates in the context of overparametrized neural networks.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-24 Lucas Clarté , Bruno Loureiro , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

We use tools from geometric statistics to analyze the usual estimation procedure of a template shape. This applies to shapes from landmarks, curves, surfaces, images etc. We demonstrate the asymptotic bias of the template shape estimation…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-02-03 Nina Miolane , Susan Holmes , Xavier Pennec
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