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An infinite convergent sum of independent and identically distributed random variables discounted by a multiplicative random walk is called perpetuity, because of a possible actuarial application. We give three disjoint groups of sufficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-01 Dariusz Buraczewski , Piotr Dyszewski , Alexander Iksanov , Alexander Marynych

The probabilistic study of the value-distributions of zeta-functions is one of the modern topics in analytic number theory. In this paper, we study a certain probability measure related to the value-distribution of the Lerch zeta-function.…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-19 Masahiro Mine

Consider bivariate observations $(X_1,Y_1), \ldots, (X_n,Y_n) \in \mathbb{R}\times \mathbb{R}$ with unknown conditional distributions $Q_x$ of $Y$, given that $X = x$. The goal is to estimate these distributions under the sole assumption…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-31 Alexandre Mösching , Lutz Duembgen

We introduce a new distribution with support on (0,1) called unifed. It can be used as the response distribution for a GLM and it is suitable for data aggregation. We make a comparison to the beta regression. A link to an R package for…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-24 Oscar Alberto Quijano Xacur

In this paper we use a well know method in statistics, the $\delta$-method, to provide an asymptotic distribution for the Mutual Information, and construct and independence test based on it. Interesting connections are found with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-26 Marius Marinescu , Costel Balcau

Probabilistic modeling is cyclical: we specify a model, infer its posterior, and evaluate its performance. Evaluation drives the cycle, as we revise our model based on how it performs. This requires a metric. Traditionally, predictive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-25 Alp Kucukelbir , David M. Blei

How should social scientists understand and communicate the uncertainty of statistically estimated causal effects? I propose we utilize the posterior distribution of a causal effect and present the probability of the effect being greater…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-15 Akisato Suzuki

Let X,Y,B be three independent random variables such that $X$ has the same distribution function as Y B. Assume that B is a Beta random variable with positive parameters a,b and Y has distribution function H. Pakes and Navarro (2007) show…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-14 Enkelejd Hashorva , Anthony Pakes

We show that for any family of distributions with support on [0,1] with strictly monotonic cumulative distribution function that has no jumps and is quantile-identifiable (i.e., any two distinct quantiles identify the distribution), knowing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-20 Mohsen Sadatsafavi , Tae Yoon Lee , John Petkau

We introduce a new class of multiplications of distributions in one dimension merging together two different regularizations of distributions. Some of the features of these multiplications are discussed in a certain detail. We use our…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-04-02 F. Bagarello

Motivated by applications in Bayesian analysis we introduce a multidimensional beta distribution in an ordered simplex. We study properties of this distribution and connect them with the generalized incomplete beta function. This function…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-02 Mayad Al-Saidi , Alexey Kuznetsov , Mikhail Nediak

This paper introduces and reviews some of the principles and methods used in Bayesian reliability. It specifically discusses methods used in the analysis of success/no-success data and then reminds the reader of a simple Monte Carlo…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-10 Carsten H. Botts

Given a chain complex with the only modification that each cell of the complex has a probability distribution assigned. We will call this complex - a random complex and what should be understood in practice, is that we have a classical…

Algebraic Topology · Mathematics 2016-11-25 Todor Todorov

The probability leakage of model M with respect to evidence E is defined. Probability leakage is a kind of model error. It occurs when M implies that events $y$, which are impossible given E, have positive probability. Leakage does not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-01-18 William M. Briggs

Consider the problem of finding a population or a probability distribution amongst many with the largest mean when these means are unknown but population samples can be simulated or otherwise generated. Typically, by selecting largest…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-11 Peter Glynn , Sandeep Juneja

The Beta Rank Function (BRF) $x(u) =A(1-u)^b/u^a$, where $u$ is the normalized and continuous rank of an observation $x$, has wide applications in fitting real-world data from social science to biological phenomena. The underlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-15 Oscar Fontanelli , Pedro Miramontes , Ricardo Mansilla , Germinal Cocho , Wentian Li

Given the cost and duration of phase III and phase IV clinical trials, the development of statistical methods for go/no-go decisions is vital. In this paper, we introduce a Bayesian methodology to compute the probability of success based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-27 Ethan M. Alt , Matthew A. Psioda , Joseph G. Ibrahim

Decisions are often based on imprecise, uncertain or vague information. Likewise, the consequences of an action are often equally unpredictable, thus putting the decision maker into a twofold jeopardy. Assuming that the effects of an action…

General Economics · Economics 2022-05-03 Stefan Rass , Sandra König , Stefan Schauer

Consider a set of order statistics that arise from sorting samples from two different populations, each with their own, possibly different distribution function. The probability that these order statistics fall in disjoint, ordered…

Computation · Statistics 2007-06-26 Deborah H. Glueck , Anis Karimpour-Fard , Jan Mandel , Keith E. Muller

Any power series with nonnegative coefficients has an associated family of probability distributions supported on the nonnegative integers. There is a close connection between the function theoretic properties of the power series and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-09 Alicia Cantón , José L. Fernández , Pablo Fernández , Víctor J. Maciá
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