Related papers: On the predictability of rogue events
Rogue waves (RWs) are unexpectedly strong excitations emerging from an otherwise tranquil background. The nonlinear Schr\"odinger equation (NLSE), a ubiquitous model with wide applications to fluid mechanics, optics and plasmas, exhibits…
We investigate the problem of monitoring partially observable systems with nondeterministic and probabilistic dynamics. In such systems, every state may be associated with a risk, e.g., the probability of an imminent crash. During runtime,…
We explore extreme event occurrence in the integrable turbulence with self-similar asymptotics. We posit that rogue waves in such systems manifest themselves as giant fluctuations away from average self-similar dynamics of the system. We…
Extreme events gain the attention of researchers due to their utmost importance in various contexts ranging from finance to climatology. This brings such recurrent events to the limelight of attention in interdisciplinary research. A…
We propose an alternative to the standard mechanisms for the formation of rogue waves in a non-conservative, nonlinear lattice dynamical system. We consider an ODE system that features regular periodic bursting arising from forced symmetry…
General higher order rogue waves of a vector nonlinear Schrodinger equation (Manakov system) are derived using a Darboux-dressing transformation with an asymptotic expansion method. The Nth order semi-rational solutions containing 3N free…
We consider the problem of short-term prediction of rare, extreme water waves in unidirectional fields, a critical topic for ocean structures and naval operations. One possible mechanism for the occurrence of such rare, unusually-intense…
Modeling Lagrangian turbulence remains a fundamental challenge due to its multiscale, intermittent, and non-Gaussian nature. Recent advances in data-driven diffusion models have enabled the generation of realistic Lagrangian velocity…
Extensive dynamical simulations are used to explore the possible existence of sudden sufficiently large energy or rogue fluctuations (RF) at late times and across short time windows in the {\it strongly nonlinear regime} of the…
We report numerical investigations of wave turbulence in a vibrating plate. The possibility to implement advanced measurement techniques and long time numerical simulations makes this system extremely valuable for wave turbulence studies.…
Nonlinear waves are a robust phenomenon observed in complex systems ranging from mechanics to ecology. Fronts are fundamental due to their robustness against perturbations and capacity to propagate one state over another. Controlling and…
Rogue wave formation and enhancement over coastal areas have been documented over the last decade. However, this recent knowledge is in apparent contradiction with the established observation of sub-Gaussian wave statistics near shallow…
In this paper, we numerically show and discuss the existence and characteristics of rogue heat and diffusion waves. More specifically, we use two different nonlinear heat (diffusion) models and show that modulation instability leads to the…
The financial rogue waves are reported analytically in the nonlinear option pricing model due to Ivancevic, which is nonlinear wave alternative of the Black-Scholes model. These solutions may be used to describe the possible physical…
The numerical simulation of the nonlinear dynamics of the sea surface has shown that the collision of two groups of relatively low waves with close but noncollinear wave vectors (two or three waves in each group with a steepness of about…
We present a statistical analysis based on the height and return time probabilities of high amplitude wave events in both focusing and defocusing Manakov systems. We find that analytical rational/semirational solutions, associated with…
We demonstrate a simple cascade mechanism that drives the formation and emergence of rogue waves in the generalized non-linear Schr\"{o}dinger equation with third-order dispersion. This conceptually novel generation mechanism is based on…
Multistability is a phenomenon prevalent in many natural systems. In climate, for example, it allows the possibility of irreversible consequences on planetary scale as a result of climate change. Indeed, a climate ``tipping element'' is a…
The spatiotemporal complexity induced by perturbed initial excitations through the development of modulational instability in nonlinear lattices with or without disorder, may lead to the formation of very high amplitude, localized transient…
We present a numerical study of the evolution dynamics of ``optical rogue waves'', statistically-rare extreme red-shifted soliton pulses arising from supercontinuum generation in photonic crystal fiber [D. R. Solli et al. Nature Vol. 450,…