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We study high-dimensional drift estimation for L\'evy-driven Ornstein--Uhlenbeck processes based on discrete observations. Assuming sparsity of the drift matrix, we analyze Lasso and Slope estimators constructed from approximate likelihoods…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-09 Niklas Dexheimer , Natalia Jeszka

We discuss nonparametric estimation of linear multiplier in a trend coefficient in models governed by an $\alpha$-stable small noise.

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-22 B. L. S. Prakasa Rao

This paper aims at semi-parametrically estimating the input process to a L\'evy-driven queue by sampling the workload process at Poisson times. We construct a method-of-moments based estimator for the L\'evy process' characteristic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-31 Liron Ravner , Onno Boxma , Michel Mandjes

The linear fractional stable motion generalizes two prominent classes of stochastic processes, namely stable L\'evy processes, and fractional Brownian motion. For this reason it may be regarded as a basic building block for continuous time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-17 Fabian Mies , Mark Podolskij

Partial differential equations with random inputs have become popular models to characterize physical systems with uncertainty coming from, e.g., imprecise measurement and intrinsic randomness. In this paper, we perform asymptotic rare…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-17 Xiaoou Li , Jingchen Liu , Jianfeng Lu , Xiang Zhou

The goal of the paper is to analytically examine escape probabilities for dynamical systems driven by symmetric $\alpha$-stable L\'evy motions. Since escape probabilities are solutions of a type of integro-differential equations (i.e.,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-18 Huijie Qiao , Jinqiao Duan

A subthreshold signal is transmitted through a channel and may be detected when some noise -- with known structure and proportional to some level -- is added to the data. There is an optimal noise level, called stochastic resonance, that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Stefano M. Iacus

A parameter estimation problem is considered, in which dispersed sensors transmit to the statistician partial information regarding their observations. The sensors observe the paths of continuous semimartingales, whose drifts are linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-01 Georgios Fellouris

We consider a process $X^\ve$ that solves a stochastic Volterra equation with an unknown parameter $\theta^\star$ in the drift function. The Volterra kernel is singular, and includes as an example, $K\_0(u)=c u^{\alpha-1/2} \id{u>0}$ with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Arnaud Gloter , Nakahiro Yoshida

We address estimation of parametric coefficients of a pure-jump L\'evy driven univariate stochastic differential equation (SDE) model, which is observed at high frequency over a fixed time period. It is known from the previous study Masuda…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-18 Hiroki Masuda

We analyze a simple prefiltered variation of the least squares estimator for the problem of estimation with biased, semi-parametric noise, an error model studied more broadly in causal statistics and active learning. We prove an oracle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-05 Max Simchowitz , Ross Boczar , Benjamin Recht

We present a sample- and time-efficient differentially private algorithm for ordinary least squares, with error that depends linearly on the dimension and is independent of the condition number of $X^\top X$, where $X$ is the design matrix.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-25 Gavin Brown , Jonathan Hayase , Samuel Hopkins , Weihao Kong , Xiyang Liu , Sewoong Oh , Juan C. Perdomo , Adam Smith

Presented is a new algorithm for estimating the frequency of a single-tone noisy signal using linear least squares (LLS). Frequency estimation is a nonlinear problem, and typically, methods such as Nonlinear Least Squares (NLS) (batch) or a…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-04-17 Solomon Davis , Izhak Bucher

Networked systems usually face different random uncertainties that make the performance of the least-squares (LS) linear filter decline significantly. For this reason, great attention has been paid to the search for other kinds of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-26 Raquel Caballero-Águila , Josefa Linares-Pérez

In this article, a study of the mean-square error (MSE) performance of linear echo-state neural networks is performed, both for training and testing tasks. Considering the realistic setting of noise present at the network nodes, we derive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-28 Romain Couillet , Gilles Wainrib , Harry Sevi , Hafiz Tiomoko Ali

In this paper, we study the problem of estimating a Markov chain $X$(signal) from its noisy partial information $Y$, when the transition probability kernel depends on some unknown parameters. Our goal is to compute the conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Anastasia Papavasiliou

We consider a slow-fast stochastic differential system with L\'evy noise. We will employ the perturbed test function method to study the normal deviation of the slow-fast system. Our main result states that the deviation can be approximated…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-13 Xiaoyu Yang , Yong Xu , Ruifang Wang , Zhe Jiao

In this paper, an alternative approximation to the innovation method is introduced for the parameter estimation of diffusion processes from partial and noisy observations. This is based on a convergent approximation to the first two…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-19 J. C. Jimenez

Estimating parameters of drift and diffusion coefficients for multidimensional stochastic delay equations with small noise are considered. The delay structure is written as an integral form with respect to a delay measure. Our contrast…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-21 Hiroki Nemoto , Yasutaka Shimizu

In this paper, we analyze the finite sample complexity of stochastic system identification using modern tools from machine learning and statistics. An unknown discrete-time linear system evolves over time under Gaussian noise without…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-22 Anastasios Tsiamis , George J. Pappas