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Ordinal pattern dependence is a multivariate dependence measure based on the co-movement of two time series. In strong connection to ordinal time series analysis, the ordinal information is taken into account to derive robust results on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-09 Ines Nüßgen , Alexander Schnurr

We propose new concepts in order to analyze and model the dependence structure between two time series. Our methods rely exclusively on the order structure of the data points. Hence, the methods are stable under monotone transformations of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-02 Alexander Schnurr , Herold Dehling

The ordinal patterns of a fixed number of consecutive values in a time series is the spatial ordering of these values. Counting how often a specific ordinal pattern occurs in a time series provides important insights into the properties of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-06 Annika Betken , Giorgio Micali , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

Ordinal pattern dependence has been introduced in order to capture co-monotonic behavior between two time series. This concept has several features one would intuitively demand from a dependence measure. It was believed that ordinal pattern…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-29 Angelika Silbernagel , Alexander Schnurr

We analyze the ordinal structure of long-range dependent time series. To this end, we use so called ordinal patterns which describe the relative position of consecutive data points. We provide two estimators for the probabilities of ordinal…

In this article, we show that the recently introduced ordinal pattern dependence fits into the axiomatic framework of general multivariate dependence measures, i.e., measures of dependence between two multivariate random objects.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-27 Annika Betken , Herold Dehling , Nüßgen , Alexander Schnurr

This short note suggests a heuristic method for detecting the dependence of random time series that can be used in the case when this dependence is relatively weak and such that the traditional methods are not effective. The method requires…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-02-03 Nikolai Dokuchaev

We introduce a general framework for testing temporal symmetries in time series based on the distribution of ordinal patterns. While previous approaches have focused on specific forms of asymmetry, such as time reversal, our method provides…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Annika Betken , Giorgio Micali , Manuel Ruiz Marín

The use of ordinal patterns (OPs) for analyzing the dependence structure of univariate and continuously distributed processes has gained popularity in recent years. This research goes one step further and considers the transcripts being…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Christian H. Weiß , José M. Amigó

Ordinal Patterns are a time-series data analysis tool used as a preliminary step to construct the Permutation Entropy which itself allows the same characterization of dynamics as chaotic or regular as more theoretical constructs such as the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2021-02-24 I. Gunther , Arjendu K. Pattanayak , Andrés Aragoneses

In the past decade, the use of ordinal patterns in the analysis of time series and dynamical systems has become an important and rich tool. Ordinal patterns (otherwise known as a permutation patterns) are found in time series by taking $n$…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2014-12-03 Sergi Elizalde , Megan Martinez

This paper introduces a novel methodology that utilizes latency to unveil time-series dependence patterns. A customized statistical test detects memory dependence in event sequences by analyzing their inter-event time distributions.…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-22 Fabio Vanni , David Lambert

Assessing the predictive power of both data and models holds paramount significance in time-series machine learning applications. Yet, preparing time series data accurately and employing an appropriate measure for predictive power seems to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-22 Martin Winistörfer , Ivan Zhdankin

Discrimination between non-stationarity and long-range dependency is a difficult and long-standing issue in modelling financial time series. This paper uses an adaptive spectral technique which jointly models the non-stationarity and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-12 Nick James , Roman Marchant , Richard Gerlach , Sally Cripps

Time irreversibility is a common signature of nonlinear processes, and a fundamental property of non-equilibrium systems driven by non-conservative forces. A time series is said to be reversible if its statistical properties are invariant…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-12-08 Johann H. Martínez , José L. Herrera-Diestra , Mario Chavez

Ordinal measurements are common outcomes in studies within psychology, as well as in the social and behavioral sciences. Choosing an appropriate regression model for analysing such data poses a difficult task. This paper aims to facilitate…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Stefan Inerle , Markus Pauly , Moritz Berger

This paper considers a general class of nonparametric time series regression models where the regression function can be time-dependent. We establish an asymptotic theory for estimates of the time-varying regression functions. For this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Ting Zhang , Wei Biao Wu

Ordinal time series analysis is based on the idea to map time series to ordinal patterns, i.e., order relations between the values of a time series and not the values themselves, as introduced in 2002 by C. Bandt and B. Pompe. Despite a…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2023-02-03 Klaus Lehnertz

Two numerical methods are proposed for detection of coupling between multiple time series generated by deterministic nonlinear systems. The first detects interdependence or the existence of coupling between time series. The second…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-05-07 Timothy Sauer , George Sugihara

The detection of serial dependence in binary or binomial valued time series is difficult using standard time series methods, particularly when there are regression effects to be modelled. In this paper we derive score-type tests for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-06 W. T. M. Dunsmuir , J. Y. He
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