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Ordered item response models that are in common use can be divided into three groups, cumulative, sequential and adjacent categories model. The derivation and motivation of the models is typically based on the assumed presence of latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-11 Gerhard Tutz

Study of time series data often involves measuring the strength of temporal dependence, on which statistical properties like consistency and central limit theorem are built. Historically, various dependence measures have been proposed. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-16 Fang Han , Weibiao Wu

An approach is proposed to determine structural shift in time-series assuming non-linear dependence of lagged values of dependent variable. Copulas are used to model non-linear dependence of time series components.

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-19 Henry Penikas

We study the time dependent cross correlations of stock returns, i.e. we measure the correlation as the function of the time shift between pairs of stock return time series using tick-by-tick data. We find a weak but significant effect…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 L. Kullmann , J. Kertesz , K. Kaski

We introduce an operator-theoretic framework for analyzing directional dependence in multivariate time series based on order-constrained spectral non-invariance. Directional influence is defined as the sensitivity of second-order dependence…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-10 Alejandro Rodriguez Dominguez

We propose a framework for determining whether the causal dependence of an outcome $Y$ on a covariate $X$ changes at a given time point, given confounders $\boldsymbol{Z}$. For instance, in financial markets, the effect of a market…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Shakeel Gavioli-Akilagun , Kieran Wood , Francesco Quinzan

Functional data often arise from measurements on fine time grids and are obtained by separating an almost continuous time record into natural consecutive intervals, for example, days. The functions thus obtained form a functional time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Siegfried Hörmann , Piotr Kokoszka

When using ordinal patterns, which describe the ordinal structure within a data vector, the problem of ties appeared permanently. So far, model classes were used which do not allow for ties; randomization has been another attempt to…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-24 Alexander Schnurr , Svenja Fischer

Paired comparison data, where users evaluate items in pairs, play a central role in ranking and preference learning tasks. While ordinal comparison data intuitively offer richer information than binary comparisons, this paper challenges…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-13 Shirong Xu , Jingnan Zhang , Junhui Wang

We propose a nonparametric test of spatial independence for data observed on irregular, non-lattice point clouds $\mathcal{V}_{n}\subset\mathbb{R}^{2}$. For each location $v\in\mathcal{V}_{n}$, we encode the local spatial configuration…

We address the problem of link reciprocity, the non-random presence of two mutual links between pairs of vertices. We propose a new measure of reciprocity that allows the ordering of networks according to their actual degree of correlation…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Diego Garlaschelli , Maria I. Loffredo

This paper explores the effectiveness of using ordinal pattern probabilities to evaluate antipersistency in the sign decomposition of long-range anti-correlated Gaussian fluctuations. It is numerically shown that ordinal patterns are able…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-03-18 Felipe Olivares

Investigation of the reversibility of the directional hierarchy in the interdependency among the notions of conditional independence, conditional mean independence, and zero conditional covariance, for two random variables X and Y given a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-24 Rajeshwari Majumdar

Observing a stationary time series, we propose a two-step procedure for the prediction of the next value of the time series. The first step follows machine learning theory paradigm and consists in determining a set of possible predictors as…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-04 Pierre Alquier , Olivier Wintenberger

Consider an experiment involving a potentially small number of subjects. Some random variables are observed on each subject: a high-dimensional one called the "observed" random variable, and a one-dimensional one called the "outcome" random…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-15 Tarun Yellamraju , Mireille Boutin

We conduct an empirical study using the quantile-based correlation function to uncover the temporal dependencies in financial time series. The study uses intraday data for the S\&P 500 stocks from the New York Stock Exchange. After…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-20 Thilo A. Schmitt , Rudi Schäfer , Holger Dette , Thomas Guhr

Ordinal regression (OR, also called ordinal classification) is classification of ordinal data, in which the underlying target variable is categorical and considered to have a natural ordinal relation for the underlying explanatory variable.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Ryoya Yamasaki

In this tutorial I will present how a combination of linear and dependent type can be useful to describe different properties about higher order programs. Linear types have been proved particularly useful to express properties of functions;…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2013-07-01 Marco Gaboardi

Identifying patterns of relations among the units of a complex system from measurements of their activities in time is a fundamental problem with many practical applications. Here, we introduce a method that detects dependencies of any…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-03-09 Andrea Civilini , Fabrizio de Vico Fallani , Vito Latora

The existence of forbidden patterns, i.e., certain missing sequences in a given time series, is a recently proposed instrument of potential application in the study of time series. Forbidden patterns are related to the permutation entropy,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Massimiliano Zanin