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Generalized Polya urn models can describe the dynamics of finite populations of interacting genotypes. Three basic questions these models can address are: Under what conditions does a population exhibit growth? On the event of growth, at…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Michel Benaim , Sebastian J. Schreiber , Pierre Tarres

In this paper, we consider a multi-drawing urn model with random addition. At each discrete time step, we draw a sample of m balls. According to the composition of the drawn colors, we return the balls together with a random number of balls…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-14 Rafik Aguech , Nabil Lasmar , Olfa Selmi

We collect, survey and develop methods of (one-dimensional) stochastic approximation in a framework that seems suitable to handle fairly broad generalizations of Polya urns. To show the applicability of the results we determine the limiting…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-02-22 Henrik Renlund

In order to study how well a finite group might be generated by repeated random multiplications, P. Diaconis suggested the following urn model. An urn contains some balls labeled by elements which generate a group G. Two are drawn at random…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Aaron Abrams , Henry Landau , Zeph Landau , James Pommersheim , Eric Zaslow

Motivated by mathematical tissue growth modelling, we consider the problem of approximating the dynamics of multicolor P\'olya urn processes that start with large numbers of balls of different colors and run for a long time. Using strong…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-01 Konstantin Borovkov

We study an urn process with two urns, initialized with a ball each. Balls are added sequentially, the urn being chosen independently with probability proportional to the $\alpha^{th}$ power $(\alpha >1)$ of the existing number of balls. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Svante Janson , Subhabrata Sen , Joel Spencer

We consider an urn model, whose replacement matrix has all entries nonnegative and is balanced, that is, has constant row sums. We obtain the rates of the counts of balls corresponding to each color for the strong laws to hold. The analysis…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-05 Amites Dasgupta , Krishanu Maulik

The random self-reinforcement mechanism, characterized by the principle of ``the rich get richer'', has demonstrated significant utility across various domains. One prominent model embodying this mechanism is the random reinforcement urn…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-18 Li Yang , Jiang Hu , Jianghao Li , Zhidong Bai

This paper explores the distribution of indistinguishable balls into distinct urns with varying capacity constraints, a foundational issue in combinatorial mathematics with applications across various disciplines. We present a comprehensive…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-07 Jingwei Li , Thomas G. Robertazzi

Let $f:[0,1)^d \to {\mathbb R}$ be an integrable function. An objective of many computer experiments is to estimate $\int_{[0,1)^d} f(x) dx$ by evaluating f at a finite number of points in [0,1)^d. There is a design issue in the choice of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-07 Wei-Liem Loh

Given a finite connected graph G, place a bin at each vertex. Two bins are called a pair if they share an edge of G. At discrete times, a ball is added to each pair of bins. In a pair of bins, one of the bins gets the ball with probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Michel Benaim , Itai Benjamini , Jun Chen , Yuri Lima

Consider an urn model whose replacement matrix is triangular, has all entries nonnegative and the row sums are all equal to one. We obtain the strong laws for the counts of balls corresponding to each color. The scalings for these laws…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-27 Arup Bose , Amites Dasgupta , Krishanu Maulik

This article describes a purely analytic approach to urn models of the generalized or extended P\'olya-Eggenberger type, in the case of two types of balls and constant ``balance,'' that is, constant row sum. The treatment starts from a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Philippe Flajolet , Joaquim Gabarro , Helmut Pekari

We construct an independent increments Gaussian process associated to a class of multicolor urn models. The construction uses random variables from the urn model which are different from the random variables for which central limit theorems…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Gopal K Basak , Amites Dasgupta

We consider the problem of efficient inference of the Average Treatment Effect in a sequential experiment where the policy governing the assignment of subjects to treatment or control can change over time. We first provide a central limit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-05 Thomas Cook , Alan Mishler , Aaditya Ramdas

Generalized Friedman urn is one of the simplest and most useful models considered in probability theory. Since Athreya and Ney (1972) showed the almost sure convergence of urn proportions in a randomized urn model with irreducible…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-12 Li-Xin Zhang

This study analyzes pass networks in football (soccer) using a stochastic model known as the P\'olya urn. By focusing on preferential selection, it theoretically demonstrates that the time evolution of networks can be characterized by a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-19 Ken Yamamoto

In this work we introduce a new type of urn model with infinite but countable many colors indexed by an appropriate infinite set. We mainly consider the indexing set of colors to be the $d$-dimensional integer lattice and consider balanced…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-09 Antar Bandyopadhyay , Debleena Thacker

The randomized play-the-winner (RPW) model is a generalized P\'olya Urn process with broad applications ranging from clinical trials to molecular evolution. We derive an exact expression for the variance of the RPW model by transforming the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-02 Ivan Specht , Michael Mitzenmacher

Stochastic approximation algorithm is a useful technique which has been exploited successfully in probability theory and statistics for a long time. The step sizes used in stochastic approximation are generally taken to be deterministic and…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-25 Ujan Gangopadhyay , Krishanu Maulik