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The relationship between a time-dependent covariate and survival times is usually evaluated via the Cox model. Time-dependent covariates are generally available as longitudinal data collected regularly during the course of the study. A…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Jean-François Dupuy , Ion Grama , Mounir Mesbah

A class of Fleming-Viot processes with decaying sampling rates and $\alpha$-stable motions that correspond to distributions with growing populations are introduced and analyzed. Almost sure long-time scaling limits for these processes are…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-12 Michael A. Kouritzin , Khoa Lê

We consider high-frequency sampled continuous-time autoregressive moving average (CARMA) models driven by finite-variance zero-mean L\'evy processes. An L^2-consistent estimator for the increments of the driving L\'evy process without order…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-01 Vincenzo Ferrazzano , Florian Fuchs

Let $\{S_n=(X_n,W_n)\}_{n\ge0}$ be a random walk with $X_n\in \mathbb{R}$ and $W_n\in \mathbb{R}^m$. Let $\tau=\tau_a=\inf\{n:X_n>a\}$. The main results presented are two term asymptotic expansions for the joint distribution of $S_{\tau}$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Robert Keener

We consider a simple mean reverting diffusion process, with piecewise constant drift and diffusion coefficients, discontinuous at a fixed threshold. We discuss estimation of drift and diffusion parameters from discrete observations of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-12 Sara Mazzonetto , Paolo Pigato

Variational inference has had great success in scaling approximate Bayesian inference to big data by exploiting mini-batch training. To date, however, this strategy has been most applicable to models of independent data. We propose an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-19 Tom Ryder , Dennis Prangle , Andrew Golightly , Isaac Matthews

A random coefficient autoregressive process is deeply investigated in which the coefficients are correlated. First we look at the existence of a strictly stationary causal solution, we give the second-order stationarity conditions and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-29 Frédéric Proïa , Marius Soltane

In this paper, we aim to study the asymptotic behaviour for a class of McKean-Vlasov stochastic partial differential equations with slow and fast time-scales. Using the variational approach and classical Khasminskii time discretization, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-21 Wei Hong , Shihu Li , Wei Liu

We introduce a persistent random walk model for the stochastic transport of particles involving self-reinforcement and a rest state with Mittag-Leffler distributed residence times. The model involves a system of hyperbolic partial…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-11-16 Daniel Han , Dmitri V. Alexandrov , Anna Gavrilova , Sergei Fedotov

We study a scenario under which variable step random walks give anomalous statistics. We begin by analyzing the Martingale Central Limit Theorem to find a sufficient condition for the limit distribution to be non-Gaussian. We note that the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 Gemunu H. Gunaratne , Joseph L. McCauley , Matthew Nicol , Andrei Torok

Consider compound Poisson processes with negative drift and no negative jumps, which converge to some spectrally positive L\'evy process with non-zero L\'evy measure. In this paper we study the asymptotic behavior of the local time process,…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-24 Amaury Lambert , Florian Simatos

Ordinal pattern dependence is a multivariate dependence measure based on the co-movement of two time series. In strong connection to ordinal time series analysis, the ordinal information is taken into account to derive robust results on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-09 Ines Nüßgen , Alexander Schnurr

In this paper we study the convergence to fractional Brownian motion for long memory time series having independent innovations with infinite second moment. For the sake of applications we derive the self-normalized version of this theorem.…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-25 Magda Peligrad , Hailin Sang

We consider continuous-time Markov chains on integers which allow transitions to adjacent states only, with alternating rates. We give explicit formulas for probability generating functions, and also for means, variances and state…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-30 Luisa Beghin , Claudio Macci , Barbara Martinucci

Based on the ratio of two block maxima, we propose a large sample test for the length of memory of a stationary symmetric $\alpha$-stable discrete parameter random field. We show that the power function converges to one as the sample-size…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-29 Ayan Bhattacharya , Parthanil Roy

We study the asymptotic properties of the GLS estimator in multivariate regression with heteroskedastic and autocorrelated errors. We derive Wald statistics for linear restrictions and assess their performance. The statistics remains robust…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-19 Koichiro Moriya , Akihiko Noda

We consider a continuous-time random walk which is defined as an interpolation of a random walk on a point process on the real line. The distances between neighboring points of the point process are i.i.d. random variables in the normal…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-08 Alessandra Bianchi , Marco Lenci , Françoise Pène

The aim of this paper is to get asymptotic deviation bounds via a Large Deviation Principle (LDP) for cumulative processes also known as compound renewal processes or renewal-reward processes. These processes cumulate independent random…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Patrick Cattiaux , Laetitia Colombani , Manon Costa

We propose a variety of models of random walk, discrete in space and time, suitable for simulating stable random variables of arbitrary index $\alpha$ ($0< \alpha \le 2$), in the symmetric case. We show that by properly scaled transition to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Rudolf Gorenflo , Gianni De Fabritiis , Francesco Mainardi

We analyse large deviations of time-averaged quantities in stochastic processes with long-range memory, where the dynamics at time t depends itself on the value q_t of the time-averaged quantity. First we consider the elephant random walk…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-08-05 Robert L. Jack , Rosemary J. Harris