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We investigate the large population dynamics of a family of stochastic particle systems with three-state cyclic individual behaviour and parameter-dependent transition rates. On short time scales, the dynamics turns out to be approximated…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-10 Julien Barré , Bastien Fernandez , Grégoire Panel

This paper extends classical probabilistic results to the broader class of demimartingales and demisubmartingales. We establish variants of Doob's-type optional sampling theorem under minimal structural conditions on stopping times, relying…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Milto Hadjikyriakou , B. L. S Prakasa Rao

The paper deals with a question of robustness of inferences, carried out on a continuous-time stationary process contaminated by a small trend, to this departure from stationarity. We show that a smoothed periodogram approach to parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-27 M. S. Ginovyan , A. A. Sahakyan

We provide a general theorem on the asymptotic behavior of stochastic processes that conform to a relaxed supermartingale condition. The distinguishing feature of our result is that it provides quantitative convergence guarantees at a much…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-11 Morenikeji Neri , Nicholas Pischke , Thomas Powell

We provide asymptotic results and develop high frequency statistical procedures for time-changed L\'evy processes sampled at random instants. The sampling times are given by first hitting times of symmetric barriers whose distance with…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-20 Mathieu Rosenbaum , Peter Tankov

In this paper, change-point problems for long memory stochastic volatility models are considered. A general testing problem which includes various alternative hypotheses is discussed. Under the hypothesis of stationarity the limiting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-21 Annika Betken , Rafał Kulik

The work [8] established memory loss in the time-dependent (non-random) case of uniformly expanding maps of the interval. Here we find conditions under which we have convergence to the normal distribution of the appropriately scaled…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-03-25 Peter Nandori , Domokos Szasz , Tamas Varju

We study the autocovariance functions of moving average random fields over the integer lattice $\mathbb{Z}^d$ from an algebraic perspective. These autocovariances are parametrized polynomially by the moving average coefficients, hence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-09 Carlos Améndola , Viet Son Pham

This paper addresses the asymptotic analysis of sojourn functionals of spatiotemporal Gaussian random fields with long-range dependence (LRD) in time also known as long memory. Specifically, reduction theorems are derived for local…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-20 N. N. Leonenko , M. D. Ruiz-Medina

Moving from univariate to bivariate jointly dependent long-memory time series introduces a phase parameter $(\gamma)$, at the frequency of principal interest, zero; for short-memory series $\gamma=0$ automatically. The latter case has also…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-11-07 P. M. Robinson

We observe a length-$n$ sample generated by an unknown,stationary ergodic Markov process (\emph{model}) over a finite alphabet $\mathcal{A}$. Given any string $\bf{w}$ of symbols from $\mathcal{A}$ we want estimates of the conditional…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-06-11 Meysam Asadi , Ramezan Paravi Torghabeh , Narayana P. Santhanam

This paper is devoted to the analysis of the finite-dimensional distributions and asymptotic behavior of extremal Markov processes connected to the Kendall convolution. In particular, based on its stochastic representation, we provide…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-10 Marek Arendarczyk , Barbara Jasiulis-Gołdyn , Edward Omey

A classical limit theorem of stochastic process theory concerns the sample cumulative distribution function (CDF) from independent random variables. If the variables are uniformly distributed then these centered CDFs converge in a suitable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Lawrence D. Brown

In this paper we consider the growth, large fluctuations and memory properties of an affine stochastic functional differential equation with an average functional where the contributions of the average and instantaneous terms are…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-10 John A. D. Appleby , John A. Daniels

We study the asymptotic of the spectral distribution for large empirical covariance matrices composed of independent Multifractal Random Walk processes. The asymptotic is taken as the observation lag shrinks to 0. In this setting, we show…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-26 Romain Allez , Rémi Rhodes , Vincent Vargas

Using multiple stochastic integrals and the Malliavin calculus, we analyze the asymptotic behavior of quadratic variations for a specific non-Gaussian self-similar process, the Rosenblatt process. We apply our results to the design of…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-21 Ciprian Tudor , Frederi Viens

We consider a class of semi-linear differential Volterra equations with polynomial-type potentials that incorporates the effects of memory while being subjected to random perturbations via an additive Gaussian noise. Our main study is the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Nathan E. Glatt-Holtz , Vincent R. Martinez , Hung D. Nguyen

In prevalent cohort studies where subjects are recruited at a cross-section, the time to an event may be subject to length-biased sampling, with the observed data being either the forward recurrence time, or the backward recurrence time, or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-05 Pourab Roy , Jason P. Fine , Michael R. Kosorok

We study how the round-off (or discretization) error changes the statistical properties of a Gaussian long memory process. We show that the autocovariance and the spectral density of the discretized process are asymptotically rescaled by a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Gabriele La Spada , Fabrizio Lillo

It is well-known that random-coefficient AR(1) process can have long memory depending on the index $\beta$ of the tail distribution function of the random coefficient, if it is a regularly varying function at unity. We discuss estimation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-23 Remigijus Leipus , Anne Philippe , Vytaute Pilipauskaite , Donatas Surgailis