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It is widely known that the tube method, or equivalently the Euler characteristic heuristic, provides a very accurate approximation for the tail probability that the supremum of a smooth Gaussian random field exceeds a threshold value $c$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-17 Satoshi Kuriki , Evgeny Spodarev

In this paper we provide an upper bound for the conjunction probability of independent Gaussian smooth processes and then we prove that this bound is a good approximation with exponentially smaller error. Our result confirms the heuristic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Viet-Hung Pham

In this paper, we use the concept of excursion sets for the extrapolation of stationary random fields. Doing so, we define excursion sets for the field and its linear predictor, and then minimize the expected volume of the symmetric…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-15 Abhinav Das , Vitalii Makogin , Evgeny Spodarev

Let $\{X_i(t),t\ge0\}, 1\le i\le n$ be independent centered stationary Gaussian processes with unit variance and almost surely continuous sample paths. For given positive constants $u,T$, define the set of conjunctions $C_{[0,T],u}:=\{t\in…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-08 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji , Kamil Tabis

The goal of this paper is to give confidence regions for the excursion set of a spatial function above a given threshold from repeated noisy observations on a fine grid of fixed locations. Given an asymptotically Gaussian estimator of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-29 Max Sommerfeld , Stephen Sain , Armin Schwartzman

Studying the geometry generated by Gaussian and Gaussian- related random fields via their excursion sets is now a well developed and well understood subject. The purely non-Gaussian scenario has, however, not been studied at all. In this…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-12-28 Robert J. Adler , Gennady Samorodnitsky , Jonathan E. Taylor

Let $\{X(\mathbf{t}):\mathbf{t}=(t_1, t_2, \ldots, t_d)\in[0,\infty)^d\}$ be a centered stationary Gaussian field with almost surely continuous sample paths, unit variance and correlation function $r$ satisfying conditions $r(\mathbf{t})<1$…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-14 Natalia Soja-Kukieła

The full moments expansion of the joint probability distribution of an isotropic random field, its gradient and invariants of the Hessian is presented in 2 and 3D. It allows for explicit expression for the Euler characteristic in ND and…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2014-11-20 Dmitri Pogosyan , Christophe Gay , Christophe Pichon

Depending on a parameter $h\in (0,1]$, let $\{X_h(\mathbf{t})$, $\mathbf{t}\in\mathcal{M}_h\}$ be a class of centered Gaussian fields indexed by compact manifolds $\mathcal{M}_h$. For locally stationary Gaussian fields $X_h$, we study the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-15 Wanli Qiao

We present a new method to compute the first crossing distribution in excursion set theory for the case of correlated random walks. We use a combination of the path integral formalism of Maggiore & Riotto, and the integral equation solution…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2014-02-18 Arya Farahi , Andrew J. Benson

We give an overview of the recent asymptotic results on the geometry of excursion sets of stationary random fields. Namely, we cover a number of limit theorems of central type for the volume of excursions of stationary (quasi--, positively…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-24 Evgeny Spodarev

We consider the Gaussian free field $\varphi$ on $\mathbb{Z}^d$, for $d\geq3$, and give sharp bounds on the probability that the radius of a finite cluster in the excursion set $\{\varphi \geq h\}$ exceeds a large value $N$, for any height…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-19 Subhajit Goswami , Pierre-François Rodriguez , Franco Severo

We study the probability distribution $F(u)$ of the maximum of smooth Gaussian fields defined on compact subsets of $\R^d$ having some geometric regularity. Our main result is a general formula for the density of $F$. Even though this is an…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Jean-Marc Azaïs Mario Wschebor

We study the high excursion probability of a centered Gaussian field on a square. Writing \(\sigma\) and \(r\) for its standard deviation and correlation function, we assume that \(\sigma\) has a unique maximum at the corner…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Svyatoslav Novikov

Let $\{X(s,t):s,t\geqslant 0\}$ be a centered homogeneous Gaussian field with a.s. continuous sample paths and correlation function $r(s,t)=Cov(X(s,t),X(0,0))$ such that…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-11 Krzysztof Dębicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Natalia Soja-Kukieła

Consider the point process (in $\mathbb{R}^d$) of local maxima of smooth Gaussian fields, with sufficient decay of correlation at infinity, above a level $u$. We show that this point process, rescaled appropriately, converges weakly to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-25 Dmitry Beliaev , Akshay Hegde

Let $\{X_i(t),t\ge0\}, 1\le i\le n$ be independent copies of a stationary process $\{X(t), t\ge0\}$. For given positive constants $u,T$, define the set of $r$th conjunctions $ C_{r,T,u}:= \{t\in [0,T]: X_{r:n}(t) > u\}$ with $X_{r:n}(t)$…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-07 Krzysztof Debicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji , Chengxiu Ling

Researching elliptic analogues for equalities and formulas is a new trend in enumerative combinatorics which has followed the previous trend of studying $q$-analogues. Recently Schlosser proposed a lattice path model in the square lattice…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2018-06-11 Hiroya Baba , Makoto Katori

The excursion set theory, where density perturbations evolve stochastically with the smoothing scale, provides a method for computing the dark matter halo mass function. The computation of the mass function is mapped into the so-called…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2012-01-05 Andrea De Simone , Michele Maggiore , Antonio Riotto

We consider the Gumbel or extreme value statistics describing the distribution function p_G(x_max) of the maximum values of a random field x within patches of fixed size. We present, for smooth Gaussian random fields in two and three…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-27 S. Colombi , O. Davis , J. Devriendt , S. Prunet , J. Silk