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In this paper we consider a Bayesian framework for making inferences about dynamical systems from ergodic observations. The proposed Bayesian procedure is based on the Gibbs posterior, a decision theoretic generalization of standard…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-28 Kevin McGoff , Sayan Mukherjee , Andrew Nobel

Marshall and Olkin (1997, Biometrika, 84, 641 - 652) introduced a very powerful method to introduce an additional parameter to a class of continuous distribution functions and hence it brings more flexibility to the model. They have…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-20 Debasis Kundu , Vahid Nekoukhou

We develop new flexible univariate models for light-tailed and heavy-tailed data, which extend a hierarchical representation of the generalized Pareto (GP) limit for threshold exceedances. These models can accommodate departure from…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-14 Rishikesh Yadav , Raphaël Huser , Thomas Opitz

We present an approach for pricing European call options in presence of proportional transaction costs, when the stock price follows a general exponential L\'{e}vy process. The model is a generalization of the celebrated work of Davis,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-18 Nicola Cantarutti , João Guerra , Manuel Guerra , Maria do Rosário Grossinho

Stochastic processes are a flexible and widely used family of models for statistical modeling. While stochastic processes offer attractive properties such as inclusion of uncertainty properties, their inference is typically intractable,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Teemu Härkönen , Simo Särkkä

Generalized additive models (GAMs) are a widely used class of models of interest to statisticians as they provide a flexible way to design interpretable models of data beyond linear models. We here propose a scalable and well-calibrated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-31 Vincent Adam , Nicolas Durrande , ST John

We develop an approach to training generative models based on unrolling a variational auto-encoder into a Markov chain, and shaping the chain's trajectories using a technique inspired by recent work in Approximate Bayesian computation. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-03 Philip Bachman , Doina Precup

In this paper we develop numerical pricing methodologies for European style Exchange Options written on a pair of correlated assets, in a market with finite liquidity. In contrast to the standard multi-asset Black-Scholes framework, trading…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-16 Kevin S. Zhang , Traian A. Pirvu

We consider asset price models whose dynamics are described by linear functions of the (time extended) signature of a primary underlying process, which can range from a (market-inferred) Brownian motion to a general multidimensional…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-28 Christa Cuchiero , Guido Gazzani , Sara Svaluto-Ferro

We present gauge invariant, self adjoint Einstein operators for mixed symmetry higher spin theories. The result applies to multi-forms, multi-symmetric forms and mixed antisymmetric and symmetric multi-forms. It also yields explicit action…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2010-03-19 D. Cherney , E. Latini , A. Waldron

Recent empirical studies suggest that the volatility of an underlying price process may have correlations that decay slowly under certain market conditions. In this paper, the volatility is modeled as a stationary process with long-range…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-17 Josselin Garnier , Knut Solna

We propose a convolution-FFT method for pricing European options under the Heston model that leverages a continuously differentiable representation of the joint characteristic function. Unlike existing Fourier-based methods that rely on…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-08 Xiang Gao , Cody Hyndman

Via the adjunction $ - \boldsymbol{\cdot} 1 \dashv \mathcal V(1,-) \colon \mathsf{Span}(\mathcal V) \to \mathcal V \text{-} \mathsf{Mat} $ and a cartesian monad $ T $ on an extensive category $ \mathcal V $ with finite limits, we construct…

Category Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-02 Rui Prezado , Fernando Lucatelli Nunes

Modeling counterparty risk is computationally challenging because it requires the simultaneous evaluation of all the trades with each counterparty under both market and credit risk. We present a multi-Gaussian process regression approach,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-18 Stéphane Crépey , Matthew Dixon

We present a new numerical method to price vanilla options quickly in time-changed Brownian motion models. The method is based on rational function approximations of the Black-Scholes formula. Detailed numerical results are given for a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-02 Martijn Pistorius , Johannes Stolte

Pricing of high-dimensional options is one of the most important problems in Mathematical Finance. The objective of this manuscript is to present an original self-contained treatment of the multidimensional pricing. During the past decades…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-27 Alexander Kushpel

The CEV model subsumes some of the previous option pricing models. An important parameter in the model is the parameter b, the elasticity of volatility. For b=0, b=-1/2, and b=-1 the CEV model reduces respectively to the BSM model, the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-23 Evangelos Melas

We develop an automated variational method for inference in models with Gaussian process (GP) priors and general likelihoods. The method supports multiple outputs and multiple latent functions and does not require detailed knowledge of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-06 Edwin V. Bonilla , Karl Krauth , Amir Dezfouli

We extend multi-way, multivariate ANOVA-type analysis to cases where one covariate is the view, with features of each view coming from different, high-dimensional domains. The different views are assumed to be connected by having paired…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2009-12-17 Ilkka Huopaniemi , Tommi Suvitaival , Janne Nikkilä , Matej Orešič , Samuel Kaski

In this study we consider the pricing of energy derivatives when the evolution of spot prices is modeled with a normal tempered stable driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. Such processes are the generalization of normal inverse Gaussian…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-10 Piergiacomo Sabino