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A novel multi-task Gaussian process (GP) framework is proposed, by using a common mean process for sharing information across tasks. In particular, we investigate the problem of time series forecasting, with the objective to improve…

Computation · Statistics 2022-05-25 Arthur Leroy , Pierre Latouche , Benjamin Guedj , Servane Gey

We provide some equations for the Variance Gamma process due to the fact that we do not consider only the definition as a time-changed Brownian motion. This brings us to a new non-local equation, even true in the drifted case, involving…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-19 Fausto Colantoni

In this paper we introduce a new approach to model-free path-dependent option pricing. We first introduce a general duality result for linear optimisation problems over signed measures introduced in [3] and show how the the problem of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-01-16 Raphael Hauser , Sergey Shahverdyan

This study introduces computation of option sensitivities (Greeks) using the Malliavin calculus under the assumption that the underlying asset and interest rate both evolve from a stochastic volatility model and a stochastic interest rate…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-18 Bilgi Yilmaz

This paper deals with the identification of the multivariate fractional Brownian motion, a recently developed extension of the fractional Brownian motion to the multivariate case. This process is a $p$-multivariate self-similar Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-16 Pierre-Olivier Amblard , Jean-François Coeurjolly

The enhanced group classification of a semi-linear generalization of a general bond-pricing equation is carried out by employing the underlying equivalence and additional equivalence transformations. The knowledge of the sub classes with…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-01-29 Y. Bozhkov , S. Dimas

We apply multilevel Monte Carlo for option pricing problems using exponential L\'{e}vy models with a uniform timestep discretisation to monitor the running maximum required for lookback and barrier options. The numerical results demonstrate…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-31 Mike Giles , Yuan Xia

This paper presents a new prediction model for time series data by integrating a time-varying Geometric Brownian Motion model with a pricing mechanism used in financial engineering. Typical time series models such as Auto-Regressive…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-01 Abdullah AlShelahi , Jingxing Wang , Mingdi You , Eunshin Byon , Romesh Saigal

Species sampling processes have long served as the fundamental framework for modeling random discrete distributions and exchangeable sequences. However, data arising from distinct but related sources require a broader notion of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Beatrice Franzolini , Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster , Giovanni Rebaudo

We introduce Generalized Integrated Gradients (GIG), a formal extension of the Integrated Gradients (IG) (Sundararajan et al., 2017) method for attributing credit to the input variables of a predictive model. GIG improves IG by explaining a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-10 John Merrill , Geoff Ward , Sean Kamkar , Jay Budzik , Douglas Merrill

Off-the-shelf Gaussian Process (GP) covariance functions encode smoothness assumptions on the structure of the function to be modeled. To model complex and non-differentiable functions, these smoothness assumptions are often too…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-12 Roberto Calandra , Jan Peters , Carl Edward Rasmussen , Marc Peter Deisenroth

A statistical method for the elicitation of priors in Bayesian generalised linear models (GLMs) and extensions is proposed. Probabilistic predictions are elicited from the expert to parametrise a multivariate t prior distribution for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-21 Geoffrey R. Hosack

Hierarchical models with gamma hyperpriors provide a flexible, sparse-promoting framework to bridge $L^1$ and $L^2$ regularizations in Bayesian formulations to inverse problems. Despite the Bayesian motivation for these models, existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-30 Shiv Agrawal , Hwanwoo Kim , Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Alexander Strang

The paper focuses on pricing European-style options on several underlying assets under the Black-Scholes model represented by a nonstationary partial differential equation. The proposed method combines the Galerkin method with…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-11-28 Dana Černá , Kateřina Fiňková

Replacing Black-Scholes' driving process, Brownian motion, with fractional Brownian motion allows for incorporation of a past dependency of stock prices but faces a few major downfalls, including the occurrence of arbitrage when implemented…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-12 Daniel Conus , Mackenzie Wildman

This paper develops a model for the bid and ask prices of a European type asset by formulating a stochastic control problem. The state process is governed by a modified geometric Brownian motion whose drift and diffusion coefficients depend…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-07 Engel John C. Dela Vega , Robert J. Elliott

The paper introduces a generalization for known probabilistic models such as log-linear and graphical models, called here multiplicative models. These models, that express probabilities via product of parameters are shown to capture…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Ydo Wexler , Christopher Meek

In this study we define a three-step procedure to relate the self-decomposability of the stationary law of a generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process to the law of the increments of such processes. Based on this procedure and the results of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-25 Piergiacomo Sabino

The present paper contains two interrelated developments. First, are proposed new generalized Verma modules. They are called k-Verma modules, k\in N, and coincide with the usual Verma modules for k=1. As a vector space a k-Verma module is…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2015-06-26 V. K. Dobrev

The extragradient (EG), introduced by G. M. Korpelevich in 1976, is a well-known method to approximate solutions of saddle-point problems and their extensions such as variational inequalities and monotone inclusions. Over the years,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-31 Quoc Tran-Dinh