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Related papers: Performance Indicators of Wind Energy Production

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The prediction of wind speed is very important when dealing with the production of energy through wind turbines. In this paper, we show a new nonparametric model, based on semi-Markov chains, to predict wind speed. Particularly we use an…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-12-16 Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni , Flavio Prattico

The prediction of wind speed is one of the most important aspects when dealing with renewable energy. In this paper we show a new nonparametric model, based on semi-Markov chains, to predict wind speed. Particularly we use an indexed…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-15 Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni , Flavio Prattico

The computation of the dependability measures is a crucial point in the planning and development of a wind farm. In this paper we address the issue of energy production by wind turbine by using an indexed semi-Markov chain as a model of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-11-27 Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni , Flavio Prattico

The increasing interest in renewable energy, particularly in wind, has given rise to the necessity of accurate models for the generation of good synthetic wind speed data. Markov chains are often used with this purpose but better models are…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-09-10 Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni , Flavio Prattico

Using a method for stochastic data analysis, borrowed from statistical physics, we analyze synthetic data from a Markov chain model that reproduces measurements of wind speed and power production in a wind park in Portugal. We first show…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-11 Frank Raischel , Teresa Scholz , Vitor V. Lopes , Pedro G. Lind

In this paper we consider the problem of wind energy production by using a second order semi-Markov chain in state and duration as a model of wind speed. The model used in this paper is based on our previous work where we have showed the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-01-08 Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni , Flavio Prattico

In this paper a general second order semi-Markov reward model is presented. Equations for the higher order moments of the reward process are presented for the first time and applied to wind energy production. The application is executed by…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-04-22 Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni , Flavio Prattico

The increasing interest in renewable energy, particularly in wind, has given rise to the necessity of accurate models for the generation of good synthetic wind speed data. Markov chains are often used with this purpose but better models are…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-05 Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni , Flavio Prattico

Wind speed statistics is generally modeled using the Weibull distribution. This distribution is convenient since it fully characterizes analytically with only two parameters (the shape and scale parameters) the shape of distribution and the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2012-11-19 Philippe Drobinski , Corentin Coulais

Wind energy is becoming a top contributor to the renewable energy mix, which raises potential reliability issues for the grid due to the fluctuating nature of its source. To achieve adequate reserve commitment and to promote market…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-10-14 Teresa Scholz , Vitor V. Lopes , Ana Estanqueiro

We study the optimal trading policies for a wind energy producer who aims to sell the future production in the open forward, spot, intraday and adjustment markets, and who has access to imperfect dynamically updated forecasts of the future…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-17 Zongjun Tan , Peter Tankov

In this paper, a model predictive control scheme for wind farms is presented. Our approach considers wake dynamics including their influence on local wind conditions and allows to track a given power reference. In detail, a Gaussian wake…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-22 Arnold Sterle , Christian A. Hans , Jörg Raisch

We study short-term prediction of wind speed and wind power (every 10 minutes up to 4 hours ahead). Accurate forecasts for these quantities are crucial to mitigate the negative effects of wind farms' intermittent production on energy…

Generation and load balance is required in the economic scheduling of generating units in the smart grid. Variable energy generations, particularly from wind and solar energy resources, are witnessing a rapid boost, and, it is anticipated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-04-07 Mohamed Abuella , Badrul Chowdhury

We consider an energy storage problem involving a wind farm with a forecasted power output, a stochastic load, an energy storage device, and a connection to the larger power grid with stochastic prices. Electricity prices and wind power…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Joseph L. Durante , Juliana Nascimento , Warren B. Powell

This paper addresses the problem of predicting a wind farm's power generation when no or few statistical data is available. The study is based on a time-series wind speed model and on a simple dynamic model of a DFIG wind turbine including…

Applications · Statistics 2008-12-18 Herman Bayem , Yannick Phulpin , Philippe Dessante , Julien Bect

In this paper, the highly acknowledged advantages of the Model Predictive Control (MPC) approach are utilized to regulate the wind turbines' output power in the partial load region. In this region, the purpose of the designed controller is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-11 Kamyar Ghanbarpour , Farhad Bayat , Abolfazl Jalilvand

The ever-growing use of wind energy makes necessary the optimization of turbine operations through pitch angle controllers and their maintenance with early fault detection. It is crucial to have accurate and robust models imitating the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-28 Alfonso Gijón , Ainhoa Pujana-Goitia , Eugenio Perea , Miguel Molina-Solana , Juan Gómez-Romero

We present a new stochastic approach to describe and remodel the conversion process of a wind farm at a sampling frequency of 1Hz. When conditioning on various wind direction sectors, the dynamics of the conversion process appear as a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-09-11 Patrick Milan , Matthias Wächter , Joachim Peinke

The rapid growth of the wind energy sector underscores the urgent need to optimize turbine operations and ensure effective maintenance through early fault detection systems. While traditional empirical and physics-based models offer…

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