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We derive simple but nearly tight upper and lower bounds for the binomial lower tail probability (with straightforward generalization to the upper tail probability) that apply to the whole parameter regime. These bounds are easy to compute…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-04 Huangjun Zhu , Zihao Li , Masahito Hayashi

We consider the tail probabilities of stock returns for a general class of stochastic volatility models. In these models, the stochastic differential equation for volatility is autonomous, time-homogeneous and dependent on only a finite…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-21 Henrik O. Rasmussen , Paul Wilmott

Given a graph $F$, the random Tur\'an problem asks to determine the maximum number of edges in an $F$-free subgraph of $G_{n,p}$. Prior to this work, the only bipartite graphs $F$ with known tight bounds included certain classes of complete…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2026-04-03 Sean Longbrake , Sam Spiro

In this paper we present a method for obtaining tail-bounds for random variables satisfying certain probabilistic recurrences that arise in the analysis of randomized parallel divide and conquer algorithms. In such algorithms, some…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-04-10 Joseph Tassarotti

Exact pattern matching in labeled graphs is the problem of searching paths of a graph $G=(V,E)$ that spell the same string as the given pattern $P[1..m]$. This basic problem can be found at the heart of more complex operations on variation…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2019-02-12 Massimo Equi , Roberto Grossi , Alexandru I. Tomescu , Veli Mäkinen

Consider first passage percolation with identical and independent weight distributions and first passage time ${\rm T}$. In this paper, we study the upper tail large deviations $\mathbb{P}({\rm T}(0,nx)>n(\mu+\xi))$, for $\xi>0$ and $x\neq…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-02 Clément Cosco , Shuta Nakajima

Correcting for skewness can result in more accurate tail probability approximations in the central limit theorem for sums of independent random variables. In this paper, we extend the theory to sums of local statistics of independent random…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-05 Xiao Fang , Li Luo , Qi-Man Shao

Let $\Psi_1,\Psi_2,...$ be a sequence of i.i.d. random Lipschitz functions on a complete separable metric space with unbounded metric $d$ and forward iterations $X_n$. Suppose that $X_n$ has a stationary distribution. We study the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-28 Gerold Alsmeyer

We consider the tail behavior of random variables $R$ which are solutions of the distributional equation $R\stackrel{d}{=}Q+MR$, where $(Q,M)$ is independent of $R$ and $|M|\le 1$. Goldie and Gr\"{u}bel showed that the tails of $R$ are no…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-02-08 Paweł Hitczenko , Jacek Wesołowski

Let H be a graph, and let C_H(G) be the number of (subgraph isomorphic) copies of H contained in a graph G. We investigate the fundamental problem of estimating C_H(G). Previous results cover only a few specific instances of this general…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-02-20 Martin Furer , Shiva Prasad Kasiviswanathan

This article is devoted to the study of tail index estimation based on i.i.d. multivariate observations, drawn from a standard heavy-tailed distribution, i.e. of which 1-d Pareto-like marginals share the same tail index. A multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-10 Stéphan Clémençon , Antoine Dematteo

In this note we prove bounds on the upper and lower probability tails of sums of independent geometric or exponentially distributed random variables. We also prove negative results showing that our established tail bounds are asymptotically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-11 Yaonan Jin , Yingkai Li , Yining Wang , Yuan Zhou

Grebinski and Kucherov (1998) and Alon et al. (2004-2005) study the problem of learning a hidden graph for some especial cases, such as hamiltonian cycle, cliques, stars, and matchings. This problem is motivated by problems in chemical…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Hamid Kameli

We compute the stationary in-degree probability, $P_{in}(k)$, for a growing network model with directed edges and arbitrary out-degree probability. In particular, under preferential linking, we find that if the nodes have a light tail…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-10-21 Daniel Fraiman

In this paper, we estimate the sparse dependence structure in the tail region of a multivariate random vector, potentially of high dimension. The tail dependence is modeled via a graphical model for extremes embedded in the H\"usler-Reiss…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-15 Phyllis Wan , Chen Zhou

We consider a statistical model for the problem of finding subgraphs with specified topology in an otherwise random graph. This task plays an important role in the analysis of social and biological networks. In these types of networks,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-24 Hamid Javadi , Andrea Montanari

We suggest approximating the distribution of the sum of independent and identically distributed random variables with a Pareto-like tail by combining extreme value approximations for the largest summands with a normal approximation for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-05 Ulrich K. Mueller

We consider two independent Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graphs, with possibly different parameters, and study two isomorphism problems, a graph embedding problem and a common subgraph problem. Under certain conditions on the graph parameters…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-06-25 Dimitris Diamantidis , Takis Konstantopoulos , Linglong Yuan

Many complex networks in natural and social phenomena have often been characterized by heavy-tailed degree distributions. However, due to rapidly growing size of network data and concerns on privacy issues about using these data, it becomes…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-19 Young-Ho Eom , Hang-Hyun Jo

The chromatic threshold $\delta_\chi(H,p)$ of a graph $H$ with respect to the random graph $G(n,p)$ is the infimum over $d > 0$ such that the following holds with high probability: the family of $H$-free graphs $G \subset G(n,p)$ with…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2016-08-15 Peter Allen , Julia Böttcher , Simon Griffiths , Yoshiharu Kohayakawa , Robert Morris