Related papers: The Uniform Integrability of Martingales. On a Que…
Confidence sequences, anytime p-values (called p-processes in this paper), and e-processes all enable sequential inference for composite and nonparametric classes of distributions at arbitrary stopping times. Examining the literature, one…
We give new proofs of certain equivalent conditions for the existence of generalized moments of a L\'evy process $(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$; in particular, the existence of a generalized $g$-moment is equivalent to the uniform integrability of…
Lions and Musiela (2007) give sufficient conditions to verify when a stochastic exponential of a continuous local martingale is a martingale or a uniformly integrable martingale. Blei and Engelbert (2009) and Mijatovi\'c and Urusov (2012c)…
We propose a method to bound the expectation of the supremum of the price process in stochastic volatility models. It can be applied, for example, to the rough Bergomi model, avoiding the need to discuss finiteness of higher moments. Our…
The space of H1 martingales is interesting because of its duality with the space of BMO martingales. It is straightforward to show that every H1 martingale is a uniformly integrable martingale. However, the converse is not true. That is to…
We develop a class of exponential bounds for the probability that a martingale sequence crosses a time-dependent linear threshold. Our key insight is that it is both natural and fruitful to formulate exponential concentration inequalities…
Given a sequence $(M^n)^{\infty}_{n=1}$ of nonnegative martingales starting at $M^n_0=1$, we find a sequence of convex combinations $(\widetilde{M}^n)^{\infty}_{n=1}$ and a limiting process $X$ such that…
Assume that $X$ is a continuous square integrable process with zero mean, defined on some probability space $(\Omega,\mathrm {F},\mathrm {P})$. The classical characterization due to P. L\'{e}vy says that $X$ is a Brownian motion if and only…
We present a short and self-contained proof of the following result: a random time is an honest time that avoids all stopping times if and only if it coincides with the (last) time of maximum of a nonnegative local martingale with zero…
Let $\{X_n\}$ be a stationary and ergodic time series taking values from a finite or countably infinite set ${\cal X}$. Assume that the distribution of the process is otherwise unknown. We propose a sequence of stopping times $\lambda_n$…
Positive $T$-martingales were developed as a general framework that extends the positive measure-valued martingales and are meant to model intermittent turbulence. We extend their scope by allowing the martingale to take complex values. We…
We propose a sequential, anytime-valid method to test the conditional independence of a response $Y$ and a predictor $X$ given a random vector $Z$. The proposed test is based on e-statistics and test martingales, which generalize likelihood…
We give a theory of sublinear expectations and martingales in discrete time. Without assuming the existence of a dominating probability measure, we derive the extensions of classical results on uniform integrability, optional stopping of…
This note studies the martingale property of a nonnegative, continuous local martingale Z, given as a nonanticipative functional of a solution to a stochastic differential equation. The condition states that Z is a (uniformly integrable)…
We develop the self similarity argument known as sparse domination in an abstract martingale setting, using a continuous time parameter. With this method, we prove a sharp weighted L^p estimate for the maximal operator Y^* of Y with respect…
The following conditions are necessary and sufficient for an arbitrary c\`adl\`ag local martingale to be a uniformly integrable martingale: (i) The weak tail of the supremum of its modulus is zero; (ii) its jumps at the first-exit times…
We find a countable partition $P$ on\textbf{} a Lebesgue space, labeled $\{1,2,3...$\}, for any non-periodic measure preserving transformation $T$ such that $P$ generates $T$ and for the $T,P$ process, if you see an $n$ on time -1 then you…
Given a random sample from a random variable $T$ which is bounded from above, $T\le\tau$ a.s., we define processes that are positive supermartingales if $E(T)\ge\mu$. Such processes are called test martingales. Tests of the supermartingale…
On a probability space $(\Omega,\mathcal{A},\mathbb{Q})$ we consider two filtrations $\mathbb{F}\subset \mathbb{G}$ and a $\mathbb{G}$ stopping time $\theta$ such that the $\mathbb{G}$ predictable processes coincide with $\mathbb{F}$…
Let $(\Omega, \A, \mu)$ be a Lebesgue space and $T$ an ergodic measure preserving automorphism on $\Omega$ with positive entropy. We show that there is a bounded and strictly stationary martingale difference sequence defined on $\Omega$…