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This paper considers large families of Markov chains (MCs) that are defined over a set of parameters with finite discrete domains. Such families occur in software product lines, planning under partial observability, and sketching of…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-03-27 Milan Ceska , Nils Jansen , Sebastian Junges , Joost-Pieter Katoen

Markov chains are the de facto finite-state model for stochastic dynamical systems, and Markov decision processes (MDPs) extend Markov chains by incorporating non-deterministic behaviors. Given an MDP and rewards on states, a classical…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-11-13 Krishnendu Chatterjee , Laurent Doyen

We study continuous-time Markov chains on the non-negative integers under mild regularity conditions (in particular, the set of jump vectors is finite and both forward and backward jumps are possible). Based on the so-called flux balance…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-26 Mads Chr Hansen , Carsten Wiuf , Chuang Xu

We present a new stochastic framework for studying ship capsize. It is a synthesis of two strands of transition state theory. The first is an extension of deterministic transition state theory to dissipative non-autonomous systems, together…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-05-14 Manuela L. Bujorianu , Robert S. MacKay , Tobias Grafke , Shibabrat Naik , Evangelos Boulougouris

The Nummellin's split chain construction allows to decompose a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) trajectory into i.i.d. "excursions". RegenerativeMCMC algorithms based on this technique use a random number of samples. They have been proposed…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-18 Krzysztof Latuszynski , Blazej Miasojedow , Wojciech Niemiro

This article analyses a new class of advanced particle Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms recently introduced by Andrieu, Doucet, and Holenstein (2010). We present a natural interpretation of these methods in terms of well known…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-28 P. Del Moral , R. Kohn , F. Patras

This paper introduces a decentralized state-dependent Markov chain synthesis (DSMC) algorithm for finite-state Markov chains. We present a state-dependent consensus protocol that achieves exponential convergence under mild technical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-29 Samet Uzun , Nazim Kemal Ure , Behcet Acikmese

Markov processes are used in a wide range of disciplines, including finance. The transition densities of these processes are often unknown. However, the conditional characteristic functions are more likely to be available, especially for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-04 Song X. Chen , Liang Peng , Cindy L. Yu

The main aim of the present paper is to prove the existence of a phase transition in quantum Markov chain (QMC) scheme for the Ising type models on a Cayley tree. Note that this kind of models do not have one-dimensional analogous, i.e. the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2016-05-17 Farrukh Mukhamedov , Abdessatar Barhoumi , Abdessatar Souissi

The paper considers a stochastic differential equation of Duffing type with Markov coefficients. The existence of unpredictable solutions is considered. The unpredictability is a property of bounded functions characterized by unbounded…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2023-03-31 Marat Akhmet , Madina Tleubergenova , Akylbek Zhamanshin

In this paper, we continue development of the theory of contractive Markov systems (CMS) initiated in \cite{Wer1}. Also, this work can be seen as a small contribution to the theory of equilibrium states. We construct an energy function on…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ivan Werner

This project is going to work with one example of stochastic matrix to understand how Markov chains evolve and how to use them to make faster and better decisions only looking to the present state of the system.

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-12-24 Ricardo Frumento

We consider Markov chains that obey the following general non-linear state space model: $\Phi_{k+1} = F(\Phi_k, \alpha(\Phi_k, U_{k+1}))$ where the function $F$ is $C^1$ while $\alpha$ is typically discontinuous and $\{U_k: k \in…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-07 Alexandre Chotard , Anne Auger

Structural Causal Models (SCMs) provide a popular causal modeling framework. In this work, we show that SCMs are not flexible enough to give a complete causal representation of dynamical systems at equilibrium. Instead, we propose a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-08-07 Tineke Blom , Stephan Bongers , Joris M. Mooij

We develop a systematic matrix-analytic approach, based on intertwinings of Markov semigroups, for proving theorems about hitting-time distributions for finite-state Markov chains -- an approach that (sometimes) deepens understanding of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-04 James Allen Fill , Vince Lyzinski

This chapter surveys progress on three related topics in perturbations of Markov chains: the motivating question of when and how "perturbed" MCMC chains are developed, the theoretical problem of how perturbation theory can be used to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-17 Daniel Rudolf , Aaron Smith , Matias Quiroz

We present a short introduction into the framework of piecewise deterministic Markov processes. We illustrate the abstract mathematical setting with a series of examples related to dispersal of biological systems, cell cycle models, gene…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-08 Ryszard Rudnicki , Marta Tyran-Kaminska

Understanding and predicting how complex systems respond to external perturbations is a central challenge in nonequilibrium statistical physics. Here we consider continuous-time Markov networks, which we subject to perturbations along a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-25 Robin Bebon , Thomas Speck

In this research paper, weighted / unweighted, directed / undirected graphs are associated with interesting Discrete Time Markov Chains (DTMCs) as well as Continuous Time Markov Chains (CTMCs). The equilibrium / transient behaviour of such…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2012-09-18 Garimella Rama Murthy

It has been well known for some time that for strictly stationary Markov chains that are ``reversible'', that special symmetry provides special extra features in the mathematical theory. This paper here is primarily a purely expository…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-04 Richard C. Bradley
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