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For many survey-based spatial modelling problems, responses are observed as spatially aggregated over survey regions due to limited resources. Covariates, from weather models and satellite imageries, can be observed at many different…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-04 Harrison Zhu , Adam Howes , Owen van Eer , Maxime Rischard , Yingzhen Li , Dino Sejdinovic , Seth Flaxman

This paper introduces a novel kernel density estimator (KDE) based on the generalised exponential (GE) distribution, designed specifically for positive continuous data. The proposed GE KDE offers a mathematically tractable form that avoids…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-18 Laura M. Craig , Wagner Barreto-Souza

In this contribution we describe an approach to evolve composite covariance functions for Gaussian processes using genetic programming. A critical aspect of Gaussian processes and similar kernel-based models such as SVM is, that the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2013-05-23 Gabriel Kronberger , Michael Kommenda

We study a family of free stochastic processes whose covariance kernels $K$ may be derived as a transform of a tempered measure $\sigma$. These processes arise, for example, in consideration non-commutative analysis involving free…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2013-11-14 Daniel Alpay , Palle Jorgensen , Guy Salomon

This paper investigates the Gaussian quasi-likelihood estimation of an exponentially ergodic multidimensional Markov process, which is expressed as a solution to a L\'{e}vy driven stochastic differential equation whose coefficients are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-14 Hiroki Masuda

In this paper, we present a comprehensive analysis of the posterior covariance field in Gaussian processes, with applications to the posterior covariance matrix. The analysis is based on the Gaussian prior covariance but the approach also…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-03 Difeng Cai , Edmond Chow , Yuanzhe Xi

Bayesian model updating based on Gaussian Process (GP) models has received attention in recent years, which incorporates kernel-based GPs to provide enhanced fidelity response predictions. Although most kernel functions provide high fitting…

Gaussian process hyperparameter optimization requires linear solves with, and log-determinants of, large kernel matrices. Iterative numerical techniques are becoming popular to scale to larger datasets, relying on the conjugate gradient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Jonathan Wenger , Geoff Pleiss , Philipp Hennig , John P. Cunningham , Jacob R. Gardner

Gaussian processes have become a popular tool for nonparametric regression because of their flexibility and uncertainty quantification. However, they often use stationary kernels, which limit the expressiveness of the model and may be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-17 Zachary James , Joseph Guinness

Gaussian process regression generally does not scale to beyond a few thousands data points without applying some sort of kernel approximation method. Most approximations focus on the high eigenvalue part of the spectrum of the kernel…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-31 Yi Ding , Risi Kondor , Jonathan Eskreis-Winkler

The Gaussian kernel is a very popular kernel function used in many machine learning algorithms, especially in support vector machines (SVMs). It is more often used than polynomial kernels when learning from nonlinear datasets, and is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-27 Arit Kumar Bishwas , Ashish Mani , Vasile Palade

Many techniques for data science and uncertainty quantification demand efficient tools to handle Gaussian random fields, which are defined in terms of their mean functions and covariance operators. Recently, parameterized Gaussian random…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-11 Daniel Kressner , Jonas Latz , Stefano Massei , Elisabeth Ullmann

The application of Gaussian processes (GPs) to large data sets is limited due to heavy memory and computational requirements. A variety of methods has been proposed to enable scalability, one of which is to exploit structure in the kernel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-30 Jan Graßhoff , Alexandra Jankowski , Philipp Rostalski

Interest in multioutput kernel methods is increasing, whether under the guise of multitask learning, multisensor networks or structured output data. From the Gaussian process perspective a multioutput Mercer kernel is a covariance function…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2009-12-18 Mauricio A. Álvarez , David Luengo , Michalis K. Titsias , Neil D. Lawrence

Gaussian process is a theoretically appealing model for nonparametric analysis, but its computational cumbersomeness hinders its use in large scale and the existing reduced-rank solutions are usually heuristic. In this work, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-25 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

This paper presents a parametric family of compactly-supported positive semidefinite kernels aimed to model the covariance structure of second-order stationary isotropic random fields defined in the $d$-dimensional Euclidean space. Both the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-26 Xavier Emery , Alfredo Alegría

Conditional kernel mean embeddings form an attractive nonparametric framework for representing conditional means of functions, describing the observation processes for many complex models. However, the recovery of the original underlying…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-04 Kelvin Hsu , Fabio Ramos

We consider the problem of positive-semidefinite continuation: extending a partially specified covariance kernel from a subdomain $\Omega$ of a rectangular domain $I\times I$ to a covariance kernel on the entire domain $I\times I$. For a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-13 Kartik G. Waghmare , Victor M. Panaretos

Gaussian processes are a natural way of defining prior distributions over functions of one or more input variables. In a simple nonparametric regression problem, where such a function gives the mean of a Gaussian distribution for an…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-02-03 Radford M. Neal

In this paper we introduce a novel online time series forecasting model we refer to as the pM-GP filter. We show that our model is equivalent to Gaussian process regression, with the advantage that both online forecasting and online…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-10-13 Yves-Laurent Kom Samo , Stephen J. Roberts