Related papers: Predictive Cyber-security Analytics Framework: A n…
Risk assessment is an inevitable step in implementation of a cyber-defense strategy. An important part of this assessment is to reason about the impact of possible attacks. In this paper, we propose a framework for estimating the impact of…
The accelerated development of social media websites has posed intricate security issues in cyberspace, where these sites have increasingly become victims of criminal activities including attempts to intrude into them, abnormal traffic…
The lack of high-quality public cyber incident data limits empirical research and predictive modeling for cyber risk assessment. This challenge persists due to the reluctance of companies to disclose incidents that could damage their…
Temporal network analysis and time evolution of network characteristics are powerful tools in describing the changing topology of dynamic networks. This paper uses such approaches to better visualize and provide analytical measures for the…
The exponential growth of Common Vulnerabilities and Exposures (CVE) disclosures poses significant challenges for enterprise security management, necessitating automated and quantitative risk assessment methodologies. Existing vulnerability…
Attack graphs are one of the main techniques used to automate the risk assessment process. In order to derive a relevant attack graph, up-to-date information on known attack techniques should be represented as interaction rules. Designing…
In this paper, we study the problem of assessing the effectiveness of a proactive defense-by-detection policy with a network-based moving target defense. We model the network system using a probabilistic attack graph--a graphical security…
Advanced Persistent Threats (APTs) are a main impendence in cyber security of computer networks. In 2015, a successful breach remains undetected 146 days on average, reported by [Fi16].With our work we demonstrate a feasible and fast way to…
We propose a novel framework for modelling attack scenarios in cyber-physical control systems: we represent a cyber-physical system as a constrained switching system, where a single model embeds the dynamics of the physical process, the…
We develop a queueing-theoretic framework to model the temporal evolution of cyber-attack surfaces, where the number of active vulnerabilities is represented as the backlog of a queue. Vulnerabilities arrive as they are discovered or…
Signed graphs are widely used to analyze complex systems such as social, political, and biological networks. The notion of balance, a key concept of signed graphs, reflects the stability of relationships. While it has been extensively…
Modern cyber attackers use advanced zero-day exploits, highly targeted spear phishing, and other social engineering techniques to gain access and also use evasion techniques to maintain a prolonged presence within the victim network while…
As cybersecurity threats continue to evolve, the need for advanced tools to analyze and understand complex cyber environments has become increasingly critical. Graph theory offers a powerful framework for modeling relationships within cyber…
In this paper we develop a novel hidden Markov graphical model to investigate time-varying interconnectedness between different financial markets. To identify conditional correlation structures under varying market conditions and…
We live in a world increasingly dominated by networks -- communications, social, information, biological etc. A central attribute of many of these networks is that they are dynamic, that is, they exhibit structural changes over time. While…
The rapid advancement of quantum computing poses a significant threat to many current security algorithms used for secure communication, digital authentication, and information encryption. A sufficiently powerful quantum computer could…
Anomaly-based cyber threat detection using deep learning is on a constant growth in popularity for novel cyber-attack detection and forensics. A robust, efficient, and real-time threat detector in a large-scale operational enterprise…
We introduce weighted Markovian graphs, a random walk model that decouples the transition dynamics of a Markov chain from (random) edge weights representing the cost of traversing each edge. This decoupling allows us to study the…
Nowadays, companies are highly exposed to cyber security threats. In many industrial domains, protective measures are being deployed and actively supported by standards. However the global process remains largely dependent on document…
Most current studies estimate the invulnerability of complex networks using a qualitative method that analyzes the inaccurate decay rate of network efficiency. This method results in confusion over the invulnerability of various types of…