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Related papers: Markov-modulated Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes

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In the context of non-equilibrium statistical physics, the entropy production rate is an important concept to describe how far a specific state of a system is from its equilibrium state. In this paper, we establish a central limit theorem…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-02 Ran Wang , Lihu Xu

In the present paper we study the asymptotic behavior of the auto-covariance function for Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) processes driven by Gaussian noises with stationary and non-stationary increments and for Hermite OU processes. Our results…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Khalifa Es-Sebaiy

Modeling the trajectories of animals is challenging due to the complexity of their behaviors, the influence of unpredictable environmental factors, individual variability, and the lack of detailed data on their movements. Additionally,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-14 J. H. Ramirez-Gonzalez , Ying Sun

We investigate the properties of multifractal products of geometric Gaussian processes with possible long-range dependence and geometric Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes driven by L\'{e}vy motion and their finite and infinite superpositions. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-12 Denis Denisov , Nikolai Leonenko

In many engineering systems, proper predictive maintenance and operational control are essential to increase efficiency and reliability while reducing maintenance costs. However, one of the major challenges is that many sensors are used for…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-09 Boyang Xu , Yunyi Kang , Xinyu Zhao , Hao Yan , Feng Ju

In stochastic population dynamics, stochastic wandering can produce transition to an absorbing state. In particular, under Allee effects, low densities amplify the possibility of population collapse. We investigate this in an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-13 Luis F. Gordillo , Priscilla E. Greenwood

The $L^p$ maximal inequalities for martingales are one of the classical results in the theory of stochastic processes. Here we establish the sharp moderate maximal inequalities for one-dimensional diffusion processes, which include the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-05 Xian Chen , Yong Chen , Mumien Cheng , Chen Jia

We characterize the domain of the realization of the linear parabolic operator Gu := u_t + L(t)u (where, for each real t, L(t) is an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck operator), in L^2 spaces with respect to a suitable measure, that is invariant for the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-02-26 Matthias Geissert , Alessandra Lunardi

We investigate partially observed Markov decision processes (POMDPs) with cost functions regularized by entropy terms describing state, observation, and control uncertainty. Standard POMDP techniques are shown to offer bounded-error…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-10 Timothy L. Molloy , Girish N. Nair

Let $(X_t, Y_t)_{t\in T}$ be a discrete or continuous-time Markov process with state space $X \times R^d$ where $X$ is an arbitrary measurable set. Its transition semigroup is assumed to be additive with respect to the second component,…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-27 Deborah Ferre , Loïc Hervé , James Ledoux

The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process, a mean-reverting stochastic process, has been widely applied as a time series model in various domains. This paper describes the design and implementation of a model-based synthetic time series model…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Haibei Zhu , Svitlana Vyetrenko , Tucker Balch

Motivated by empirical evidence from the joint behavior of realized volatility time series, we propose to model the joint dynamics of log-volatilities using a multivariate fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. This model is a multivariate…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-19 Ranieri Dugo , Giacomo Giorgio , Paolo Pigato

We have shown recently that a Markov process conditioned on rare events involving time-integrated random variables can be described in the long-time limit by an effective Markov process, called the driven process, which is given…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-12-17 Raphael Chetrite , Hugo Touchette

We show that the multiplication operator associated to a fractional power of a Gamma random variable, with parameter q>0, maps the convex cone of the 1-invariant functions for a self-similar semigroup into the convex cone of the q-invariant…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-15 P. Patie

We consider a one-dimensional stationary stochastic process $x(\tau)$ of duration $T$. We study the probability density function (PDF) $P(t_{\rm m}|T)$ of the time $t_{\rm m}$ at which $x(\tau)$ reaches its global maximum. By using a path…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-10-15 Francesco Mori , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr

We provide a probabilistic description of the stationary measures for the open KPZ on the spatial interval $[0,1]$ in terms of a Markov process $Y$, which is a Doob's $h$ transform of the Brownian motion killed at an exponential rate. Our…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-04 Wlodek Bryc , Alexey Kuznetsov , Yizao Wang , Jacek Wesolowski

In this brief note we give an upper bound for $P(\tau_u < T)$ with $T>0$, where $\tau_u$ is the exit time defined as $\tau_u:=\inf \{ t\geq 0 \, : \, X_t\geq u \}$ and $(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ is the fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes which…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-16 Wilson Cabanillas B

Generative modeling via stochastic processes has led to remarkable empirical results as well as to recent advances in their theoretical understanding. In principle, both space and time of the processes can be discrete or continuous. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-07 Ludwig Winkler , Lorenz Richter , Manfred Opper

Let the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process $(X_t)_{t\ge0}$ driven by a fractional Brownian motion $B^{H }$, described by $dX_t = -\theta X_t dt + \sigma dB_t^{H }$ be observed at discrete time instants $t_k=kh$, $k=0, 1, 2, \cdots, 2n+2 $. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-13 El Mehdi Haress , Yaozhong Hu

In this paper, we consider the problem of statistical inference for generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes of the type \[ X_{t} = e^{-\xi_{t}} \left( X_{0} + \int_{0}^{t} e^{\xi_{u-}} d u \right), \] where \(\xi_s\) is a L{\'e}vy process.…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-12 Denis Belomestny , Vladimir Panov