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Related papers: Markov-modulated Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes

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In this work, we consider, in a general setting, multiparameter multidimensional Markov processes that are time-changed by an independent additive subordinator. By extending Phillips theorem, we show that the resulting process is a Feller…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-12 Giuseppe D'Onofrio , Alessandro Mutti , Patrizia Semeraro

In this project, we propose to explore the Kalman filter's performance for estimating asset prices. We begin by introducing a stochastic mean-reverting processes, the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) model. After this we discuss the Kalman filter in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-10 Michael Sekatchev , Zhengxiang Zhou

The small noise cut-off phenomenon in continuous time and space has been studied in the recent literature for the linear and non-linear stable Langevin dynamics with additive L\'evy drivers - understood as abrupt thermalization of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-13 Gerardo Barrera , Michael A. Högele , Pauliina Ilmonen , Lauri Viitasaari

Given the observation of a high-dimensional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process in continuous time, we proceed to the inference of the drift parameter under a row-sparsity assumption. Towards that aim, we consider the negative log-likelihood of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-12 Stéphane Gaïffas , Gustaw Matulewicz

The $d$-dimensional Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process (OUP) describes the trajectory of a particle in a $d$-dimensional, spherically symmetric, quadratic potential. The OUP is composed of a drift term weighted by a constant $\theta \geq 0$ and a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-10 Hans Kersting , Antonio Orvieto , Frank Proske , Aurelien Lucchi

We study the stationary fluctuations of independent run-and-tumble particles. We prove that the joint densities of particles with given internal state converges to an infinite dimensional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. We also consider an…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-13 Frank Redig , Hidde van Wiechen

The first-passage problem of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process to a boundary is a long-standing problem with no known closed-form solution except in specific cases. Taking this as a starting-point, and extending to a general mean-reverting…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2020-02-27 R. J. Martin , M. J. Kearney , R. V. Craster

We develop a mechanistic model to analyze the impact of sulfur dioxide emissions from coal-fired power plants on average sulfate concentrations in the central United States. A multivariate Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process is used to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-12 Nathan B. Wikle , Ephraim M. Hanks , Lucas R. F. Henneman , Corwin M. Zigler

We consider a branching particle system consisting of particles moving according to the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process in $\Rd$ and undergoing a binary, supercritical branching with a constant rate $\lambda>0$. This system is known to fulfil a…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-23 Radosław Adamczak , Piotr Miłoś

We study the Cauchy problem involving non-local Ornstein-Uhlenbeck operators in finite and infinite dimensions. We prove classical solvability without requiring that the L\'evy measure corresponding to the large jumps part has a first…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-05-07 Enrico Priola , Stefano Tracà

We conduct a preliminary analysis of a pairs trading strategy using the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process to model stock price spreads. We compare this approach to a naive pairs trading strategy that uses a rolling window to calculate mean…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-18 Jirat Suchato , Sean Wiryadi , Danran Chen , Ava Zhao , Michael Yue

We introduce a random matrix model for the stationary covariance of multivariate Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes with heterogeneous temperatures, where the covariance is constrained by the Sylvester-Lyapunov equation. Using the replica method,…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-01-30 Leonardo Ferreira , Fernando Metz , Paolo Barucca

The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process may be used to generate a noise signal with a finite correlation time. If a one-dimensional stochastic process is driven by such a noise source, it may be analysed by solving a Fokker-Planck equation in two…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-14 Michael Wilkinson

In this paper we develop a framework for estimating Probability of Default (PD) based on stochastic models governing an appropriate asset value processes. In particular, we build upon a L\'evy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and consider…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-25 Kyriakos Georgiou , Athanasios N. Yannacopoulos

Consider the linear stochastic differential equation (SDE) on $\mathbb{R}^n$: \[\mathrm {d}{X}_t=AX_t\,\mathrm{d}t+B\,\mathrm{d}L_t,\] where $A$ is a real $n\times n$ matrix, $B$ is a real $n\times d$ real matrix and $L_t$ is a L\'{e}vy…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-06 Feng-Yu Wang

Generalisations of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process defined through Langevin equation $dU_t = - \Theta U_t dt + dG_t,$ such as fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes, have recently received a lot of attention in the literature. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-20 Marko Voutilainen , Lauri Viitasaari , Pauliina Ilmonen , Soledad Torres , Ciprian Tudor

This paper proposes a simple mathematical model of non-stationary and non-linear stochastic dynamics, which approximates a (globally) non-stationary and non-linear stochastic process by its locally (or \emph{"piecewise"}) stationary…

In this paper, we investigate the parameter estimation for threshold Ornstein$\mathit{-}$Uhlenbeck processes. Least squares method is used to obtain continuous-type and discrete-type estimators for the drift parameters based on continuous…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-28 Yuecai Han , Dingwen Zhang

We consider a class of sequential decision-making problems under uncertainty that can encompass various types of supervised learning concepts. These problems have a completely observed state process and a partially observed modulation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-24 R. Reid Bishop , Chelsea C. White

Several important properties of positive semidefinite processes of Ornstein--Uhlenbeck type are analysed. It is shown that linear operators of the form $X\mapsto AX+XA^{\mathrm{T}}$ with $A\in M_d(\mathbb{R})$ are the only ones that can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-07 Christian Pigorsch , Robert Stelzer
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