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State-space models have been successfully used for more than fifty years in different areas of science and engineering. We present a procedure for efficient variational Bayesian learning of nonlinear state-space models based on sparse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-11-04 Roger Frigola , Yutian Chen , Carl E. Rasmussen

We identify the fluctuations of the partition function of the continuous random energy model on a Galton-Watson tree in the so-called weak correlation regime. Namely, when the ``speed functions'', that describe the time-inhomogeneous…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-10 Maximilian Fels , Lisa Hartung , Anton Klimovsky

The first motivation of this paper is to study stationarity and ergodic properties for a general class of time series models defined conditional on an exogenous covariates process. The dynamic of these models is given by an autoregressive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-16 Paul Doukhan , Michael H. Neumann , Lionel Truquet

Stochastic Spatio-Temporal processes are prevalent across domains ranging from modeling of plasma to the turbulence in fluids to the wave function of quantum systems. This letter studies a measure-theoretic description of such systems by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-25 George I. Boutselis , Ethan N. Evans , Marcus A. Pereira , Evangelos A. Theodorou

We study the problem of learning the support of transition matrix between random processes in a Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model from samples when a subset of the processes are latent. It is well known that ignoring the effect of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-13 Saber Salehkaleybar , Jalal Etesami , Negar Kiyavash , Kun Zhang

Nearly-elastic model systems with one or two degrees of freedom are considered: the system is undergoing a small loss of energy in each collision with the "wall". We show that instabilities in this purely deterministic system lead to…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-31 Mark Freidlin , Wenqing Hu

Many biological processes are supported by special molecules, called motor proteins or molecular motors, that transport cellular cargoes along linear protein filaments and can reversibly associate to their tracks. Stimulated by these…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-11-17 Akriti Jindal , Anatoly B. Kolomeisky , Arvind Kumar Gupta

For high dimensional particle systems, governed by smooth nonlinearities depending on mutual distances between particles, one can construct low-dimensional representations of the dynamical system, which allow the learning of nearly optimal…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-08-28 Mattia Bongini , Massimo Fornasier , Oliver Junge , Benjamin Scharf

Motivated by a variety of applications, high-dimensional time series have become an active topic of research. In particular, several methods and finite-sample theories for individual stable autoregressive processes with known lag have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-06 Somnath Chakraborty , Johannes Lederer , Rainer von Sachs

Given an autonomous system of ordinary differential equations (ODE), we consider developing practical models for the deterministic, slow/coarse behavior of the ODE system. Two types of coarse variables are considered. The first type…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-05 Likun Tan , Amit Acharya , Kaushik Dayal

Scaling laws describe how learning performance improves with data, compute, or training time, and have become a central theme in modern deep learning. We study this phenomenon in a canonical nonlinear model: phase retrieval with anisotropic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-25 Guillaume Braun , Bruno Loureiro , Ha Quang Minh , Masaaki Imaizumi

We study long-range interacting systems driven by external stochastic forces that act collectively on all the particles constituting the system. Such a scenario is frequently encountered in the context of plasmas, self-gravitating systems,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-12-03 Cesare Nardini , Shamik Gupta , Stefano Ruffo , Thierry Dauxois , Freddy Bouchet

High dimensional Vector Autoregressions (VAR) have received a lot of interest recently due to novel applications in health, engineering, finance and the social sciences. Three issues arise when analyzing VAR's: (a) The high dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Sagnik Halder , George Michailidis

We consider the problem of adaptive stabilization for discrete-time, multi-dimensional linear systems with bounded control input constraints and unbounded stochastic disturbances, where the parameters of the true system are unknown. To…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-04 Seth Siriya , Jingge Zhu , Dragan Nešić , Ye Pu

A wide variety of complex systems exhibit large fluctuations both in space and time that often can be attributed to the presence of some kind of critical phenomena. Under such critical scenario it is well known that the properties of the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2019-05-29 Dante R. Chialvo , Sergio A. Cannas , Dietmar Plenz , Tomas S. Grigera

The resolution of linear system with positive integer variables is a basic yet difficult computational problem with many applications. We consider sparse uncorrelated random systems parametrised by the density $c$ and the ratio $\alpha=N/M$…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-10-11 S. Colabrese , D. De Martino , L. Leuzzi , E. Marinari

Topological phases support edge states that can be robust to material deformations and other perturbations. While well-studied in quantum systems, topological phases have also been observed in stochastic and biochemical systems, yet it…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-06 Ziyin Xiong , Aleksandra Nelson , Evelyn Tang

Time-varying covariates in longitudinal studies frequently evolve through reciprocal feedback, undergo role reversal, and reflect unobserved individual heterogeneity. Standard statistical frameworks often assume fixed covariate roles and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-27 Niloofar Ramezani , Pascal Nitiema , Jeffrey R. Wilson

We investigate the large population dynamics of a family of stochastic particle systems with three-state cyclic individual behaviour and parameter-dependent transition rates. On short time scales, the dynamics turns out to be approximated…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-10 Julien Barré , Bastien Fernandez , Grégoire Panel

Motivated by applications to mathematical biology, we study the averaging problem for slow-fast systems, {\em in the case in which the fast dynamics is a stochastic process with multiple invariant measures}. We consider both the case in…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-17 B. D. Goddard , M. Ottobre , K. J. Painter , I. Souttar
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