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Vector autoregression (VAR) is a fundamental tool for modeling multivariate time series. However, as the number of component series is increased, the VAR model becomes overparameterized. Several authors have addressed this issue by…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-09 William B. Nicholson , Ines Wilms , Jacob Bien , David S. Matteson

We study spectral densities for systems on lattices, which, at a phase transition display, power-law spatial correlations. Constructing the spatial correlation matrix we prove that its eigenvalue density shows a power law that can be…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2014-11-24 Vinayak , T. Prosen , B. Buca , T. H. Seligman

Rank-deficient stationary stochastic vector processes are present in many problems in network theory and dynamic factor analysis. In this paper we study hidden dynamical relations between the components of a discrete-time stochastic vector…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-14 Wenqi Cao , Anders Lindquist , Giorgio Picci

We investigate a model of high-dimensional dynamical variables with all-to-all interactions that are random and non-reciprocal. We characterize its phase diagram and show that the model can exhibit chaotic dynamics. We show that the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-12-15 Samantha J. Fournier , Alessandro Pacco , Valentina Ros , Pierfrancesco Urbani

This chapter first presents a rather personal view of some different aspects of predictability, going in crescendo from simple linear systems to high-dimensional nonlinear systems with stochastic forcing, which exhibit emergent properties…

Geophysics · Physics 2014-08-26 Didier Sornette , Ivan Osorio

Many real-world datasets contain hidden structure that cannot be detected by simple linear correlations between input features. For example, latent factors may influence the data in a coordinated way, even though their effect is invisible…

Event-driven systems in fields such as neuroscience, social networks, and finance often exhibit dynamics influenced by continuously evolving external covariates. Motivated by these applications, we introduce a new class of multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Maya Sadeler Perrin , Anna Bonnet , Charlotte Dion-Blanc , Adeline Samson

The reduced-rank vector autoregressive (VAR) model can be interpreted as a supervised factor model, where two factor modelings are simultaneously applied to response and predictor spaces. This article introduces a new model, called vector…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-16 Di Wang , Xiaoyu Zhang , Guodong Li , Ruey Tsay

The vector autoregressive (VAR) model has been widely used for modeling temporal dependence in a multivariate time series. For large (and even moderate) dimensions, the number of AR coefficients can be prohibitively large, resulting in…

Applications · Statistics 2013-10-21 Richard A. Davis , Pengfei Zang , Tian Zheng

We study the one-dimensional discrete $\Phi^4$ model. We compare two equilibrium properties by use of molecular dynamics simulations: the Lyapunov spectrum and the time dependence of local correlation functions. Both properties imply the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-22 S. Flach , G. Mutschke

This thesis investigates critical phenomena and equilibrium states in various stochastic models through three interconnected studies. In the first chapter, we analyze the Activated Random Walk model on a one-dimensional ring in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-24 Célio Terra

High-dimensional time series datasets are becoming increasingly common in many areas of biological and social sciences. Some important applications include gene regulatory network reconstruction using time course gene expression data, brain…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-02 Sumanta Basu , David S. Matteson

Many modern time series arise on networks, where each component is attached to a node and interactions follow observed edges. Classical time-varying parameter VARs (TVP-VARs) treat all series symmetrically and ignore this structure, while…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Marios Papamichalis , Regina Ruane , Theofanis Papamichalis

We consider a multidimensional time-homogeneous dynamical system and add a randomly perturbed time-dependent deterministic signal to some of its components, giving rise to a high-dimensional system of stochastic differential equations,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-02 Simon Holbach

This paper considers the problem of learning, from samples, the dependency structure of a system of linear stochastic differential equations, when some of the variables are latent. In particular, we observe the time evolution of some…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-05-02 Ali Jalali , Sujay Sanghavi

This paper studies a class of complex-valued linear systems whose state evolution dependents on both the state vector and its conjugate. The complex-valued linear system comes from linear dynamical quantum control theory and is also…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-08-09 Bin Zhou

We develop a Bayesian framework for variable selection in linear regression with autocorrelated errors, accommodating lagged covariates and autoregressive structures. This setting occurs in time series applications where responses depend on…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-18 Alokesh Manna , Sujit K. Ghosh

We consider a class of vector autoregressive models with banded coefficient matrices. The setting represents a type of sparse structure for high-dimensional time series, though the implied autocovariance matrices are not banded. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-31 Shaojun Guo , Yazhen Wang , Qiwei Yao

We introduce a multivariate Hawkes process with constraints on its conditional density. It is a multivariate point process with conditional intensity similar to that of a multivariate Hawkes process but certain events are forbidden with…

Applications · Statistics 2014-02-14 Ban Zheng , François Roueff , Frédéric Abergel

The diversity of neuron models used in contemporary theoretical neuroscience to investigate specific properties of covariances raises the question how these models relate to each other. In particular it is hard to distinguish between…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-17 Dmytro Grytskyy , Tom Tetzlaff , Markus Diesmann , Moritz Helias