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In this paper, we study the asymptotic of exit problem for controlled Markov diffusion processes with random jumps and vanishing diffusion terms, where the random jumps are introduced in order to modify the evolution of the controlled…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-02-08 Getachew K. Befekadu

We consider stochastic processes arising from dynamical systems simply by evaluating an observable function along the orbits of the system and study marked point processes associated to extremal observations of such time series…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-07-07 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mário Magalhães

A certain class of directed metric graphs is considered. Asymptotics for a number of possible endpoints of a random walk at large times is found.

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2021-12-22 Vsevolod Chernyshev , Anton Tolchennikov

Self-interacting jump processes (SIJPs) describe systems with non-Markovian stochastic dynamics in which transition rates depend on empirical observables of the process, which gives rise to long-range memory and feedback. We derive the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-23 Francesco Coghi , Juan P. Garrahan

An approach to analyse the properties of a particle system is to compare it with different processes to understand when one of them is larger than other ones. The main technique for that is coupling, which may not be easy to construct. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-22 Davide Borrello

We investigate large changes, bursts, of the continuous stochastic signals, when the exponent of multiplicativity is higher than one. Earlier we have proposed a general nonlinear stochastic model which can be transformed into Bessel process…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-06-18 Vygintas Gontis , Aleksejus Kononovicius , Stefan Reimann

The cooperative dynamics of a 1-D collection of Markov jump, interacting stochastic processes is studied via a mean-field approach. In the time-asymptotic regime, the resulting nonlinear master equation is analytically solved. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-29 Max-Olivier Hongler

Self-interacting diffusions are processes living on a compact Riemannian manifold defined by a stochastic differential equation with a drift term depending on the past empirical measure of the process. The asymptotics of this measure is…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-03 Michel Benaim , Olivier Raimond

We consider a dynamic version of the Neyman contagious point process that can be used for modelling the spacial dynamics of biological populations, including species invasion scenarios. Starting with an arbitrary finite initial…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-15 Konstantin Borovkov

We consider weakly interacting jump processes on time-varying random graphs with dynamically changing multi-color edges. The system consists of a large number of nodes in which the node dynamics depends on the joint empirical distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-19 Erhan Bayraktar , Ruoyu Wu

We present a numerical study of a two-lane version of the stochastic non-equilibrium model known as the totally asymmetric simple exclusion process. For such a system with open boundaries, and suitably chosen values of externally-imposed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-07-31 S. L. A. de Queiroz , R. B. Stinchcombe

We derive asymptotic properties for a stochastic dynamic network model in a stochastic dynamic population. In the model, nodes give birth to new nodes until they die, each node being equipped with a social index given at birth. During the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-10 Tom Britton , Mathias Lindholm , Tatyana Turova

We study the problem of system identification for stochastic continuous-time dynamics, based on a single finite-length state trajectory. We present a method for estimating the possibly unstable open-loop matrix by employing properly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Reza Sadeghi Hafshejani , Mohamad Kazem Shirani Fradonbeh

Motivated by the study of a parasite infection in a cell line, we introduce a general class of Markov processes for the modelling of population dynamics. The population process evolves as a diffusion with positive jumps whose rate is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Aline Marguet , Charline Smadi

Statistical properties of coupled dynamic-stochastic systems are studied within a combination of the maximum information principle and the superstatistical approach. The conditions at which the Shannon entropy functional leads to a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 E. V. Vakarin , J. P. Badiali

We examine a class of stochastic differential inclusions involving multiscale effects designed to solve a class of generalized variational inequalities. This class of problems contains constrained convex non-smooth optimization problems,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-23 D. Russell Luke , Johannes-Carl Schnebel , Mathias Staudigl , Juan Peypouquet , Siqi Qu

This work deals with systems of interacting reinforced stochastic processes, where each process $X^j=(X_{n,j})_n$ is located at a vertex $j$ of a finite weighted direct graph, and it can be interpreted as the sequence of "actions" adopted…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-26 Giacomo Aletti , Irene Crimaldi , Andrea Ghiglietti

In many real world chaotic systems, the interest is typically in determining when the system will behave in an extreme manner. Flooding and drought, extreme heatwaves, large earthquakes, and large drops in the stock market are examples of…

Applications · Statistics 2019-08-19 Michael LuValle

Cascades of events and extreme occurrences have garnered significant attention across diverse domains such as financial markets, seismology, and social physics. Such events can stem either from the internal dynamics inherent to the system…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-26 Cecilia Aubrun , Rudy Morel , Michael Benzaquen , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Learning is based on synaptic plasticity, which affects and is driven by neural activity. Because pre- and postsynaptic spiking activity is shaped by randomness, the synaptic weights follow a stochastic process, requiring a probabilistic…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-14 Jakob Stubenrauch , Naomi Auer , Richard Kempter , Benjamin Lindner