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Related papers: Asymptotics for a Class of Self-Exciting Point Pro…

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We introduce a new interacting particle system on $\mathbb{Z}$, \emph{slowed $t$-TASEP}. It may be viewed as a $q$-TASEP with additional position-dependent slowing of jump rates depending on a parameter $t$, which leads to discrete and…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-08 Roger Van Peski

We consider the task of learning individual-specific intensities of counting processes from a set of static variables and irregularly sampled time series. We introduce a novel modelization approach in which the intensity is the solution to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-05 Linus Bleistein , Van-Tuan Nguyen , Adeline Fermanian , Agathe Guilloux

This paper investigates the asymptotic behavior of higher-order conditional tail moments, which quantify the contribution of individual losses in the event of systemic collapse. The study is conducted within a framework comprising two…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Zhangting Chen , Bingjie Wang , Dongya Cheng

We consider the stochastic ranking process with space-time dependent unbounded jump rates for the particles. We prove that the joint empirical distribution of jump rate and scaled position converges almost surely to a deterministic…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-02 Tetsuya Hattori

The activity patterns of highly developed cognitive systems like the human brain are dominated by autonomous dynamical processes, that is by a self-sustained activity which would be present even in the absence of external sensory stimuli.…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2008-04-14 Claudius Gros , Gregor Kaczor

We analyzed the stochastic behavior of systems controlled by autocatalytic reaction A+X -> X+X. Assuming the distribution of reacting particles in the system volume to be uniform, we introduced the notion of the point model of reaction…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 L. Pal

Point processes are becoming very popular in modeling asynchronous sequential data due to their sound mathematical foundation and strength in modeling a variety of real-world phenomena. Currently, they are often characterized via intensity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-24 Shuai Xiao , Mehrdad Farajtabar , Xiaojing Ye , Junchi Yan , Le Song , Hongyuan Zha

Affine point processes are a class of simple point processes with self- and mutually-exciting properties, and they have found useful applications in several areas. In this paper, we obtain large-time asymptotic expansions in large…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-26 Xuefeng Gao , Lingjiong Zhu

Consider a branching Markov process, $X = (X(t), t \ge 0)$, with non-local branching mechanism. Studying the asymptotic behaviour of the moments of X has recently received attention in the literature [6, 7] due to the importance of these…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-03 Christopher B. C. Dean , Emma Horton

We introduce and show the existence of a Hawkes self-exciting point process with exponentially-decreasing kernel and where parameters are time-varying. The quantity of interest is defined as the integrated parameter…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-28 Simon Clinet , Yoann Potiron

Asymptotic equivalence in Le Cam's sense for nonparametric regression experiments is extended to the case of non-regular error densities, which have jump discontinuities at their endpoints. We prove asymptotic equivalence of such regression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-01-28 Alexander Meister , Markus Reiß

Extropy, a complementary dual of entropy, (proposed by Lad et al. \cite{lad2015extropy} in 2015) has attracted considerable interest from the research community. In this study, we focus on discrete random variables and define conditional…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-07-16 Naveen Kumar , Vivek Vijay

Hawkes processes are a particularly interesting class of stochastic process that have been applied in diverse areas, from earthquake modelling to financial analysis. They are point processes whose defining characteristic is that they…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-13 Patrick J. Laub , Thomas Taimre , Philip K. Pollett

Hawkes point processes are first-order non-Markovian stochastic models of intermittent bursty dynamics with applications to physical, seismic, epidemic, biological, financial, and social systems. While accounting for positive feedback loops…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-02-02 Kiyoshi Kanazawa , Didier Sornette

We consider a fully stochastic excitatory neuronal network with a number of subpopulations with different firing rates. We show that as network size goes to infinity, this limits on a deterministic hybrid model whose trajectories are…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-11-01 Lee DeVille , Yi Zeng

Intermittent large amplitude events are seen in the temporal evolution of a state variable of many dynamical systems. Such intermittent large events suddenly start appearing in dynamical systems at a critical value of a system parameter and…

We study the asymptotic law of a network of interacting neurons when the number of neurons becomes infinite. The dynamics of the neurons is described by a set of stochastic differential equations in discrete time. The neurons interact…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-10 Olivier Faugeras , James MacLaurin

We consider two independent random variables with the given tail asymptotic (e.g. power or exponential). We find tail asymptotic for their sum and product. This is done by some cumbersome but purely technical computations and requires the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-09 Andrey Sarantsev

The paper analyses stochastic systems describing reacting molecular systems with a combination of two types of state spaces, a finite-dimensional, and an infinite dimenional part. As a typical situation consider the interaction of larger…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2009-09-29 L. Sbano , M. Kirkilionis

The study of density-dependent stochastic population processes is important from a historical perspective as well as from the perspective of a number of existing and emerging applications today. In more recent applications of these…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-09-26 Yingdong Lu , Mark Squillante , Chai Wah Wu
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