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The problem of reliability of a large distributed system is analyzed via a new mathematical model. A typical framework is a system where a set of files are duplicated on several data servers. When one of these servers breaks down, all…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-05 Reza Aghajani , Philippe Robert , Wen Sun

In this note we find a formula for the supremum distribution of spectrally positive or negative L\'evy processes with a broken linear drift. This gives formulas for ruin probabilities in the case when two insurance companies (or two…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-01 Zbigniew Michna

In this paper, we study a dual risk model with delays in the spirit of Dassios-Zhao. When a new innovation occurs, there is a delay before the innovation turns into a profit. We obtain large initial surplus asymptotics for the ruin…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-18 Lingjiong Zhu

This paper derives the asymptotic behavior of the following ruin probability $$P\{\exists t \in G(\delta):B_H(t)-c_1t>q_1u,B_H(t)-c_2t>q_2u\}, \ \ \ u \rightarrow \infty,$$ where $B_H$ is a standard fractional Brownian motion,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-13 Grigori Jasnovidov

The scope of financial systemic risk research encompasses a wide range of interbank channels and effects, including asset correlation shocks, default contagion, illiquidity contagion, and asset fire sales. This paper introduces a financial…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-23 Thomas R. Hurd , Davide Cellai , Sergey Melnik , Quentin Shao

We consider the classical optimal dividends problem under the Cram\'er-Lundberg model with exponential claim sizes subject to a constraint on the time of ruin. We introduce the dual problem and show that the complementary slackness…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-12-08 Camilo Hernandez , Mauricio Junca

Parisian ruin probability in the classical Brownian risk model, unlike the standard ruin probability can not be explicitly calculated even in one-dimensional setup. Resorting on asymptotic theory, we derive in this contribution an…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-28 Nikolai Kriukov

In this paper a stochastic model of a large distributed system where users' files are duplicated on unreliable data servers is investigated. Due to a server breakdown, a copy of a file can be lost, it can be retrieved if another copy of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-21 Wen Sun , Mathieu Feuillet , Philippe Robert

We formulate the insurance risk process in a general Levy process setting, and give general theorems for the ruin probability and the asymptotic distribution of the overshoot of the process above a high level, when the process drifts to…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Claudia Kluppelberg , Andreas E. Kyprianou , Ross A. Maller

We examine hitting probability problems for Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) processes and Geometric Brownian motions (GBM) with respect to exponential boundaries related to problems arising in risk theory and asset and liability models in pension…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-14 Efstathia Bougioukli , Michael A. Zazanis

In this paper, we set up the distribution function $$ \varphi(u)=\mathbb{P}\left(\sup_{n\geqslant 1}\sum_{i=1}^{n}\left(X_i-\kappa\right)<u\right), $$ and the generating function of $\varphi(u+1)$, where $u\in\mathbb{N}_0$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-22 Simonas Gervė , Andrius Grigutis

Let $(W_1(s), W_2(t)), s,t\ge 0$ be a bivariate Brownian motion with standard Brownian motion marginals and constant correlation $\rho \in (-1,1).$ In this contribution we derive precise approximations for cumulative Parisian ruin…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-28 Konrad Krystecki

This paper investigates the Parisian ruin probability for processes with power-asymmetric behavior of the variance near the unique optimal point. We derive the exact asymptotics as the ruin boundary tends to infinity and extend the previous…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-12 Pavel Ievlev

We study an optimal investment control problem for an insurance company. The surplus process follows the Cramer-Lundberg process with perturbation of a Brownian motion. The company can invest its surplus into a risk free asset and a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-10 Tatiana Belkina , Shangzhen Luo

One possible way of risk management for an insurance company is to develop an early and appropriate alarm system before the possible ruin. The ruin is defined through the status of the aggregate risk process, which in turn is determined by…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-06-30 Shubhabrata Das , Marie Kratz

We reveal an interesting convex duality relationship between two problems: (a) minimizing the probability of lifetime ruin when the rate of consumption is stochastic and when the individual can invest in a Black-Scholes financial market;…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-08-30 Erhan Bayraktar , Virginia R. Young

We reprove a result concerning certain ruin in the classical problem of the probability of ruin with risky investments and several of it's generalisations. We also provide the combined transition density of the risk and investment processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 David Maher

In this paper we investigate continuity properties for ruin probability in the classical risk model. Properties of contractive integral operators are used to derive continuity estimates for the deficit at ruin. These results are also…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Lazaros Kanellopoulos

Consider a sequence $\{(X_{i}, Y_{i})\}$ of independent and identically distributed random vectors, with joint distribution bivariate Sarmanov. This is a natural set-up for discrete time financial risk models with insurance risks. Of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-19 Krishanu Maulik , Moumanti Podder

We address the problem of distributed state estimation of a linear dynamical process in an attack-prone environment. Recent attempts to solve this problem impose stringent redundancy requirements on the measurement and communication…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-22 Aritra Mitra , Faiq Ghawash , Shreyas Sundaram , Waseem Abbas
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