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Related papers: Bus Travel Time Predictions Using Additive Models

200 papers

Public special events, like sports games, concerts and festivals are well known to create disruptions in transportation systems, often catching the operators by surprise. Although these are usually planned well in advance, their impact is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-21 Filipe Rodrigues , Stanislav S. Borysov , Bernardete Ribeiro , Francisco C. Pereira

For all line-based transit systems like bus, metro and tram, the routes of the lines and the frequencies at which they are operated are determining for the operational performance of the system. However, as transit line planning happens…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-17 Marie Schmidt , Anita Schöbel

Bus transit plays a vital role in urban public transportation but often struggles to provide accurate and reliable departure times. This leads to delays, passenger dissatisfaction, and decreased ridership, particularly in transit-dependent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Narges Rashvand , Sanaz Sadat Hosseini , Mona Azarbayjani , Hamed Tabkhi

A multi-modal transport system is acknowledged to have robust failure tolerance and can effectively relieve urban congestion issues. However, estimating the impact of disruptions across multi-transport modes is a challenging problem due to…

In urban settings, bus transit stands as a significant mode of public transportation, yet faces hurdles in delivering accurate and reliable arrival times. This discrepancy often culminates in delays and a decline in ridership, particularly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Narges Rashvand , Sanaz Sadat Hosseini , Mona Azarbayjani , Hamed Tabkhi

Several authors have noted that in a non-regulated environment the development of public transport service is self-adjusting: Faced with a decreasing demand, operators will tend to reduce service to cut costs, resulting in a decrease in the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-11-27 Asaf Bar-Yosef , Karel Martens , Itzhak Benenson

This paper aims to predict the traffic flow at one road segment based on nearby traffic volume and weather conditions. Our team also discover the impact of weather conditions and nearby traffic volume on the traffic flow at a target point.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-15 Anh Thi-Hoang Nguyen , Dung Ha Nguyen , Trong-Hop Do

Modal split prediction in transportation networks has the potential to support network operators in managing traffic congestion and improving transit service reliability. We focus on the problem of hourly prediction of the fraction of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-17 Aron Brenner , Manxi Wu , Saurabh Amin

Transportability provides a principled framework to address the problem of applying study results to new populations. Here, we consider the problem of selecting variables to include in transport estimators. We provide a brief overview of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-11 Megha L. Mehrotra , M. Maria Glymour , Elvin Geng , Daniel Westreich , David V. Glidden

Spatio-temporal forecasting is an open research field whose interest is growing exponentially. In this work we focus on creating a complex deep neural framework for spatio-temporal traffic forecasting with comparatively very good…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-22 Rodrigo de Medrano , José L. Aznarte

We have developed a new framework using time-series analysis for dynamically assigning mobile network traffic prediction models in previously unseen wireless environments. Our framework selectively employs learned behaviors, outperforming…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Alexander Downey , Evren Tuna , Alkan Soysal

With people constantly migrating to different urban areas, our mobility needs for work, services and leisure are transforming rapidly. The changing urban demographics pose several challenges for the efficient management of transit services.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-08 Trivik Verma , Mikhail Sirenko , Itto Kornecki , Scott Cunningham , Nuno AM Araújo

Because of the complexity of urban transportation networks and the temporal changes in traffic conditions, it is difficult to assess real-time traffic situations. However, the development of information terminals has made it easier to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Tatsuro Mukai , Yuichi Ikeda

Travel behaviour modellers have an increasingly diverse set of models at their disposal, ranging from traditional econometric structures to models from mathematical psychology and data-driven approaches from machine learning. A key question…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-15 Stephane Hess , Sander van Cranenburgh

The widespread adoption of smartphones in recent years has made it possible for us to collect large amounts of traffic data. Special software installed on the phones of drivers allow us to gather GPS trajectories of their vehicles on the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-09-09 John Boaz Lee , Kardi Teknomo

In route selection problems, the driver's personal preferences will determine whether she prefers a route with a travel time that has a relatively low mean and high variance over one that has relatively high mean and low variance. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-05 Rens Kamphuis , Michel Mandjes , Paulo Serra

A key measure of performance and comfort in a road traffic network is the travel time that the users of the network experience to complete their journeys. Travel times on road traffic networks are stochastic, highly variable, and dependent…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-08-18 Nadir Farhi , Habib Haj-Salem , Jean-Patrick Lebacque

Predicting human displacements is crucial for addressing various societal challenges, including urban design, traffic congestion, epidemic management, and migration dynamics. While predictive models like deep learning and Markov models…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-08-07 Sebastiano Bontorin , Simone Centellegher , Riccardo Gallotti , Luca Pappalardo , Bruno Lepri , Massimiliano Luca

Accurate prediction of travel time is an essential feature to support Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS). The non-linearity of traffic states, however, makes this prediction a challenging task. Here we propose to use dynamic linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-03 Semin Kwak , Nikolas Geroliminis

Predicting human mobility patterns has many practical applications in urban planning, traffic engineering, infectious disease epidemiology, emergency management and location-based services. Developing a universal model capable of accurately…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-04-22 Erjian Liu , Xiao-Yong Yan