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Related papers: Bus Travel Time Predictions Using Additive Models

200 papers

Vehicle mobility has a significant impact on wireless communication between vehicles (buses) in Public Transportation Systems (PTS). Nevertheless, the transportation literature does not provide satisfactory models for bus movements because…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Eduardo R. Manika , Emilio C. G. Wille , Joilson Alves

Deciphering travel behavior and mode choices is a critical aspect of effective urban transportation system management, particularly in developing countries where unique socio-economic and cultural conditions complicate decision-making.…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2024-05-01 Kathleen Salazar-Serna , Lorena Cadavid , Carlos Franco

A need to understand and predict vehicles' behavior underlies both public and private goals in the transportation domain, including urban planning and management, ride-sharing services, and intelligent transportation systems. Individuals'…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-30 Mark Tenzer , Zeeshan Rasheed , Khurram Shafique , Nuno Vasconcelos

Mitigating traffic congestion on urban roads, with paramount importance in urban development and reduction of energy consumption and air pollution, depends on our ability to foresee road usage and traffic conditions pertaining to the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-27 Jingyuan Wang , Yu Mao , Jing Li , Chao Li , Zhang Xiong , Wen-Xu Wang

Agent-based simulations have been used in modeling transportation systems for traffic management and passenger flows. In this work, we hope to shed light on the complex factors that influence transportation mode decisions within developing…

We present BusTr, a machine-learned model for translating road traffic forecasts into predictions of bus delays, used by Google Maps to serve the majority of the world's public transit systems where no official real-time bus tracking is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-03 Richard Barnes , Senaka Buthpitiya , James Cook , Alex Fabrikant , Andrew Tomkins , Fangzhou Xu

Estimation of link travel time correlation of a bus route is essential to many bus operation applications, such as timetable scheduling, travel time forecasting and transit service assessment/improvement. Most previous studies rely on…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-24 Xiaoxu Chen , Zhanhong Cheng , Lijun Sun

Transportation planning depends on predictions of the travel times between loading and unloading locations. While accurate techniques exist for making deterministic predictions of travel times based on real-world data, making stochastic…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-22 Rodrigo Goncalves , Rui J. de Almeida , Remco M. Dijkman

Previous methods that predict system-wide travel time, predominantly grounded in graph neural networks, remain limited to typical and recurring demand patterns. While they successfully predict future congestion following daily commute, they…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Łukasz Gorczyca , Kacper Drozd , Michał Bujak , Rafał Kucharski

Urban traffic congestion remains a persistent issue for cities worldwide. Recent macroscopic models have adopted a mathematically well-defined relation between network flow and density to characterize traffic states over an urban region.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-09 Mostafa Ameli , Jean-Patrick Lebacque , Negin Alisoltani , Ludovic Leclercq

Despite a tremendous amount of work in the literature and in the commercial sectors, current approaches to multi-modal trip planning still fail to consistently generate plans that users deem optimal in practice. We believe that this is due…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-09-26 Xudong Liu , Christian Fritz , Matthew Klenk

It is necessary and important to operate buses and trams on time. The bus schedule is closely related to the dynamic motion of buses. In this part, we introduce the nonlinear maps for describing the dynamics of shuttle buses in the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-11-17 Takashi Nagatani

An important aspect of the quality of a public transport service is its reliability, which is defined as the invariability of the service attributes. Preventive measures taken during planning can reduce risks of unreliability throughout…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-05 Léa Ricard , Guy Desaulniers , Andrea Lodi , Louis-Martin Rousseau

In this paper we describe a simulation platform that supports studies on the impact of crime on urban mobility. We present an example of how this can be achieved by seeking to understand the effect, on the transport system, if users of this…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2017-05-11 Daniel Sullivan , Carlos Caminha , Hygor Melo , Vasco Furtado

Recent statistical methods fitted on large-scale GPS data can provide accurate estimations of the expected travel time between two points. However, little is known about the distribution of travel time, which is key to decision-making…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-21 Mohamad Elmasri , Aurelie Labbe , Denis Larocque , Laurent Charlin

Real-time navigation services, such as Google Maps and Waze, are widely used in daily life. These services provide rich data resources in real-time traffic conditions and travel time predictions; however, they have not been fully applied in…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-11-06 Xilei Zhao , James C. Spall

Understanding the behavior of road users is of vital importance for the development of trajectory prediction systems. In this context, the latest advances have focused on recurrent structures, establishing the social interaction between the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-06-09 A. Quintanar , D. Fernández-Llorca , I. Parra , R. Izquierdo , M. A. Sotelo

Contextual features are important data sources for building citywide crowd mobility prediction models. However, the difficulty of applying context lies in the unknown generalizability of contextual features (e.g., weather, holiday, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-19 Liyue Chen , Xiaoxiang Wang , Leye Wang

Despite the long history of modelling human mobility, we continue to lack a highly accurate approach with low data requirements for predicting mobility patterns in cities. Here, we present a population-weighted opportunities model without…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-10-03 Xiao-Yong Yan , Chen Zhao , Ying Fan , Zengru Di , Wen-Xu Wang

Travel time prediction is central to transport geography and planning's accessibility analyses, sustainable transportation infrastructure provision, and active transportation interventions. However, calculating accurate travel times,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-18 Geoff Boeing , Yuquan Zhou