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We present a systematic analysis of stochastic processes conditioned on an empirical measure $Q_T$ defined in a time interval $[0,T]$ for large $T$. We build our analysis starting from a discrete time Markov chain. Results for a continuous…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-06-26 Bernard Derrida , Tridib Sadhu

We introduce the notion of a Young generating function for a probability measure on integer partitions. We use this object to characterize probability distributions over integer partitions satisfying a law of large numbers and those that…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-12 Gabriel Raposo

We consider the branching process in random environment $\{Z_n\}_{n\geq 0}$, which is a~population growth process where individuals reproduce independently of each other with the reproduction law randomly picked at each generation. We focus…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-14 Dariusz Buraczewski , Ewa Damek

We prove a Large Deviation Principle for the random spec- tral measure associated to the pair $(H_N; e)$ where $H_N$ is sampled in the GUE(N) and e is a fixed unit vector (and more generally in the $\beta$- extension of this model). The…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-07 Fabrice Gamboa , Alain Rouault

Consider a supercritical Crump--Mode--Jagers process $(\mathcal Z_t^{\varphi})_{t \geq 0}$ counted with a random characteristic $\varphi$. Nerman's celebrated law of large numbers [Z. Wahrsch. Verw. Gebiete 57, 365--395, 1981] states that,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-13 Alexander Iksanov , Konrad Kolesko , Matthias Meiners

Based on the recent works of Radziwill-Soundararajan and Roberts, we establish a rate of convergence in Bourgade's central limit theorem for shifted Dirichlet $L$-functions. Our results also indicate that the dependence structure in the…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-07 Po-Han Hsu , Peng-Jie Wong

We study the convergence in distribution norms in the Central Limit Theorem for non identical distributed random variables that is $$ \varepsilon_{n}(f):={\mathbb{E}}\Big(f\Big(\frac 1{\sqrt…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-16 Vlad Bally , Lucia Caramellino , Guillaume Poly

We establish a Law of Large Numbers and a Central Limit Theorem for a class of Crump Mode Jagers continuous time branching processes, where the birth rate is age dependent, and also random (different from one individual to the next), in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Ibrahima Dramé , Etienne Pardoux

Let $X=\{X_n: n\in\mathbb{N}\}$ be the linear process defined by $X_n=\sum^{\infty}_{j=1} a_j\varepsilon_{n-j}$, where the coefficients $a_j=j^{-\beta}\ell(j)$ are constants with $\beta>0$ and $\ell$ a slowly varying function, and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-03 Yudan Xiong , Fangjun Xu , Jinjiong Yu

A functional limit theorem is established for the partial-sum process of a class of stationary sequences which exhibit both heavy tails and long-range dependence. The stationary sequence is constructed using multiple stochastic integrals…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-09 Shuyang Bai , Takashi Owada , Yizao Wang

We prove pathwise large deviation principles of slow variables in slow-fast systems in the limit of time-scale separation tending to infinity. In the limit regime we consider, the convergence of the slow variable to its deterministic limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-25 Richard C. Kraaij , Mikola C. Schlottke

The theory of large deviations is concerned with the exponential decay of probabilities of large fluctuations in random systems. These probabilities are important in many fields of study, including statistics, finance, and engineering, as…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-08-20 Hugo Touchette

Let (Z n) n$\ge$0 with Z n = (Z n (i, j)) 1$\le$i,j$\le$p be a p multi-type critical branching process in random environment, and let M n be the expectation of Z n given a fixed environment. We prove theorems on convergence in distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-27 E. Le Page , M. Peigné , C. Pham

We study the linear eigenvalue statistics of large random graphs in the regimes when the mean number of edges for each vertex tends to infinity. We prove that for a rather wide class of test functions the fluctuations of linear eigenvalue…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-03 Maria Shcherbina , Brunello Tirozzi

We calculate the large deviations for the length of the longest alternating subsequence and for the length of the longest increasing subsequence in a uniformly random permutation that avoids a pattern of length three. We treat all six…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-04 Ross G. Pinsky

In a vast area of probabilistic limit theorems for dynamical systems with chaotic behaviors always only functional form (exponential, power, etc) of the asymptotic laws and of convergence rates were studied. However, for basically all…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-06-28 Leonid A. Bunimovich , Yaofeng Su

Let $G$ be an $N \times N$ real matrix whose entries are independent identically distributed standard normal random variables $G_{ij} \sim \mathcal{N}(0,1)$. The eigenvalues of such matrices are known to form a two-component system…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-07 N. J. Simm

This paper provides refined versions of some known functional central limit theorems for conditional Poisson sampling which are more suitable for applications. The theorems presented in this paper are generalizations of some results that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-18 Leo Pasquazzi

A functional central limit theorem is established for weighted occupancy processes of the Karlin model. The weighted occupancy processes take the form of, with $D_{n,j}$ denoting the number of urns with $j$-balls after the first $n$…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-22 Jaime Garza , Yizao Wang

The study of chaotic systems, where rare events play a pivotal role, is essential for understanding complex dynamics due to their sensitivity to initial conditions. Recently, tools from large deviation theory, typically applied in the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-05-06 Lucianno Defaveri , Naftali R. Smith