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Starting from one-point tail bounds, we establish an upper tail large deviation principle for the directed landscape at the metric level. Metrics of finite rate are in one-to-one correspondence with measures supported on a set of countably…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-27 Sayan Das , Duncan Dauvergne , Bálint Virág

The multivariate version of the Mixed Tempered Stable is proposed. It is a generalization of the Normal Variance Mean Mixtures. Characteristics of this new distribution and its capacity in fitting tails and capturing dependence structure…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-04 Asmerilda Hitaj , Friedrich Hubalek , Lorenzo Mercuri , Edit Rroji

In this short note, we consider posterior simulation for a linear regression model when the error distribution is given by a scale mixture of multivariate normals. We first show that the sampler of Backlund and Hobert (2020) for the case of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-23 Yasuyuki Hamura

It is shown that the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator of a univariate log-concave probability density satisfies desirable consistency properties in the tail regions. Specifically, let $P$ and $f$ denote the true underlying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Didier B. Ryter , Lutz Duembgen

We derive in this article the asymptotic behavior as well as non-asymptotical estimates of tail of distribution for self-normalized sums of random variables (r.v.) under natural classical norming. We investigate also the case of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-10 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We study the empirical version of halfspace depths with the objective of establishing a connection between the rates of convergence and the tail behaviour of the corresponding underlying distributions. The intricate interplay between the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-03 Sibsankar Singha , Marie Kratz , Sreekar Vadlamani

The classical tail dependence coefficient (TDC) may fail to capture non-exchangeable features of tail dependence due to its restrictive focus on the diagonal of the underlying copula. To address this limitation, the framework of path-based…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-08 Takaaki Koike , Marius Hofert , Haruki Tsunekawa

The aim of this note is to estimate the tail of the distribution of the number of particles in an interval under determinantal and Pfaffian point processes. The main result of the note is that the square of the number of particles under the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Alexander I. Bufetov

Let $\eta_1$, $\eta_2,\ldots$ be independent copies of a random variable $\eta$ with zero mean and finite variance which is bounded from the right, that is, $\eta\leq b$ almost surely for some $b>0$. Considering different types of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-17 Alexander Iksanov , Vitali Wachtel

We establish sharp estimates for the convergence rate of the Kranosel'ski\v{\i}-Mann fixed point iteration in general normed spaces, and we use them to show that the asymptotic regularity bound recently proved in [11] (Israel Journal of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-01-31 Mario Bravo , Roberto Cominetti

In this paper we propagate a large deviations approach for proving limit theory for (generally) multivariate time series with heavy tails. We make this notion precise by introducing regularly varying time series. We provide general large…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-02 T. Mikosch , O. Wintenberger

Using an intrinsic approach, we study some properties of random fields which appear as tail fields of regularly varying stationary random fields. The index set is allowed to be a general locally compact Hausdorff Abelian group $\mathbb{G}$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-11 Günter Last

The paper presents an efficient method for simulating the tails of a target variable Z=h(X) which depends on a set of basic variables X=(X_1, ..., X_n). To this aim, variables X_i, i=1, ..., n are sequentially simulated in such a manner…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 Enrique F. Castillo , Cristina Solares , Patricia Gomez

The purpose of this short article is to prove some potential estimates that naturally arise in the study of subelliptic Sobolev inequalites for functions. This will allow us to prove a local subelliptic Sobolev inequality with the optimal…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2015-07-14 Po-Lam Yung

For the basic case of $L_2$ optimal transport between two probability measures on a Euclidean space, the regularity of the coupling measure and the transport map in the tail regions of these measures is studied. For this purpose, Robert…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-06 Cees de Valk , Johan Segers

We prove a new sample complexity result for divergence regularized optimal transport. Our bound holds for probability measures on~$\mathbb{R}^d$ with exponential tail decay and for radial cost functions that satisfy a local Lipschitz…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-23 Ruiyu Han , Johannes Wiesel

The concept of univariate Range Value-at-Risk, presented by Cont et al. (2010), is extended in the multidimensional setting. Traditional risk measures are not well suited when dealing with heavy-tail distributions and infinite tail…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-27 Roba Bairakdar , Lu Cao , Melina Mailhot

The extremal tail probabilities of moving sums in a marked Poisson random field is examined here. These sums are computed by adding up the weighted occurrences of events lying within a scanning set of fixed shape and size. Change of measure…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Hock Peng Chan

In this paper, we compare two numerical methods for approximating the probability that the sum of dependent regularly varying random variables exceeds a high threshold under Archimedean copula models. The first method is based on…

Computation · Statistics 2017-08-31 Hélène Cossette , Etienne Marceau , Quang Huy Nguyen , Christian Robert

We discuss $p$-variation regularity of real-valued functions defined on $[0,T]^2$, based on rectangular increments. When $p>1$, there are two slightly different notions of $p$-variation; both of which are useful in the context of Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-23 Peter Friz , Nicolas Victoir