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Related papers: Tail estimates for Markovian rough paths

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In this paper non-asymptotic exponential estimates are derived for the tail distribution of polynomial martingale differences in terms unconditional tails distributions of summands. Applications are considered in the theory of polynomials…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Eugene Ostrovsky

Copulas provide an attractive approach for constructing multivariate distributions with flexible marginal distributions and different forms of dependences. Of particular importance in many areas is the possibility of explicitly forecasting…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-22 Feng Li , Yanfei Kang

We study the tail behavior of Markov-modulated generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes -- that is, solutions to Langevin-type stochastic differential equations driven by a background continuous-time Markov chain. To this end, we consider a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-15 Gerold Alsmeyer , Anita Behme

We study differential $p$-forms on non-smooth and possibly fractal metric measure spaces, endowed with a local Dirichlet form. Using this local Dirichlet form, we prove a result on the localization of antisymmetric functions of $p+1$…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2024-07-11 Michael Hinz , Jörn Kommer

Vine copulas are a type of multivariate dependence model, composed of a collection of bivariate copulas that are combined according to a specific underlying graphical structure. Their flexibility and practicality in moderate and high…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-19 Emma S. Simpson , Jennifer L. Wadsworth , Jonathan A. Tawn

We discuss the quenched tail estimates for the random walk in random scenery. The random walk is the symmetric nearest neighbor walk and the random scenery is assumed to be independent and identically distributed, non-negative, and has a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-27 Jean-Dominique Deuschel , Ryoki Fukushima

Multi-dimensional continuous local martingales, enhanced with their stochastic area process, give rise to geometric rough paths with a.s. finite homogenous p-variation, p>2. Here we go one step further and establish quantitative bounds of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Peter Friz , Nicolas Victoir

We obtain some optimal inequalities on tail probabilities for sums of independent bounded random variables. Our main result completes an upper bound on tail probabilities due to Talagrand by giving a one-term asymptotic expansion for large…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-03 Xiequan Fan , Ion Grama , Quansheng Liu

Estimation of the tail index of heavy-tailed distributions and its applications are essential in many research areas. We propose a class of weighted least squares (WLS) estimators for the Parzen tail index. Our approach is based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-02 Amenah AL-Najafi , László Viharos

The problem of the steady-state velocity distribution in a driven inelastic Maxwell model of shaken granular material is revisited. Numerical solution of the master equation and analytical arguments show that the model has bilateral…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Tibor Antal , Michel Droz , Adam Lipowski

This note contains some estimates for tail spaces on Hamming cube. We use analytic paraproduct operator for that purpose. We also show several types of Bernstein--Markov inequalities for Banach space valued functions on Hamming cube. Here…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2022-08-26 Alexander Volberg

Significant correlations between arrivals of load-generating events make the numerical evaluation of the workload of a system a challenging problem. In this paper, we construct highly accurate approximations of the workload distribution of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-02 Eleni Vatamidou , Ivo J. B. F. Adan , Maria Vlasiou , Bert Zwart

This paper presents a new, short proof of the computation of the upper tail large deviation rate function for the Brownian directed percolation model. Through a distributional equivalence between the last passage time in this model and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-08 Christopher Janjigian

We use the properties of the Matuszewska indices to show asymptotic inequalities for hazard rates. We discuss the relation between membership in the classes of dominatedly or extended rapidly varying tail distributions and corresponding…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-26 Anastasios G. Bardoutsos , Dimitrios G. Konstantinides

We consider a Markov chain on $R^+$ with asymptotically zero drift and finite second moments of jumps which is positive recurrent. A power-like asymptotic behaviour of the invariant tail distribution is proven; such a heavy-tailed invariant…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-16 Denis Denisov , Dmitry Korshunov , Vitali Wachtel

A geometric p-rough path can be seen to be a genuine path of finite p-variation with values in a Lie group equipped with a natural distance. The group and its distance lift (R^{d},+,0) and its Euclidean distance. This approach allows us to…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Peter Friz , Nicolas Victoir

We consider a Markov modulated fluid network with a finite number of stations. We are interested in the tail asymptotics behavior of the stationary distribution of its buffer content process. Using two different approaches, we derive upper…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-29 Masakiyo Miyazawa

We consider the probability that a weighted sum of $n$ i.i.d. random variables $X_j$, $j = 1, . . ., n$, with stretched exponential tails is larger than its expectation and determine the rate of its decay, under suitable conditions on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-30 Nina Gantert , Kavita Ramanan , Franz Rembart

We study large deviation properties of probability distributions with either a compact support or a fat tail by comparing them with q-deformed exponential distributions. Our main result is a large deviation property for probability…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-02 Jan Naudts , Hiroki Suyari

Based on the methods provided in Caeiro and Gomes (2002) and Fraga Alves (2001), a new class of location invariant Hill-type estimators is derived in this paper. Its asymptotic distributional representation and asymptotic normality are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-09-24 Jiaona Li , Zuoxiang Peng , Saralees Nadarajah