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Related papers: Data-driven non-Markovian closure models

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Machine learning-based closure models for LES have shown promise in capturing complex turbulence dynamics but often suffer from instabilities and physical inconsistencies. In this work, we develop a novel skew-symmetric neural architecture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-04 Toby van Gastelen , Wouter Edeling , Benjamin Sanderse

Markov state models (MSMs) are a powerful tool to analyze and coarse-grain complex dynamical data into interpretable kinetic processes. This capability is particularly important in heterogeneous catalysis, where a medley of reactants and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-11 Caitlin A. McCandler , Chatipat Lorpaiboon , Timothy C. Berkelbach , Jutta Rogal

Many applications -- including power systems, robotics, and economics -- involve a dynamical system interacting with a stochastic and hard-to-model environment. We adopt a reinforcement learning approach to control such systems.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-26 Abed AlRahman Al Makdah , Oliver Kosut , Lalitha Sankar , Shaofeng Zou

Many nonlinear time series models have been proposed in the last decades. Among them, the models with regime switchings provide a class of versatile and interpretable models which have received a particular attention in the literature. In…

Applications · Statistics 2014-05-20 Pierre Ailliot , Francoise Pene

A wide class of non-Markovian completely positive master equations can be formulated on the basis of quantum collisional models. In this phenomenological approach the dynamics of an open quantum system is modeled through an ensemble of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2013-09-26 Adrian A. Budini

Derivation of reduced order representations of dynamical systems requires the modeling of the truncated dynamics on the retained dynamics. In its most general form, this so-called closure model has to account for memory effects. In this…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-06-12 Shaowu Pan , Karthik Duraisamy

We propose an extension of Markov-switching generalized additive models for location, scale, and shape (MS-GAMLSS) that allows covariates to influence not only the parameters of the state-dependent distributions but also the state…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-08 Katharina Ammann , Timo Adam , Jan-Ole Koslik

Polymer reference interaction site model (PRISM) theory, a descendent of Ornstein-Zernike liquid state theory, is a powerful tool to predict the structure and thermodynamics of equilibrium polymer systems, but its accuracy and applicability…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2025-11-19 Zhihao Feng , Christian T. Randolph , Tyler B. Martin , Thomas E. Gartner

We introduce the Mori-Zwanzig Mode Decomposition (MZMD), a novel data-driven technique for efficient modal analysis of and reduced-order modeling of large-scale spatio-temporal dynamical systems. MZMD represents an extension of Dynamic Mode…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-05-09 Michael Woodward , Yen Ting Lin , Yifeng Tian , Christoph Hader , Hermann Fasel , Daniel Livescu

We propose a novel and fully data driven control scheme which relies on machine learning (ML). Exploiting recently developed ML-based prediction capabilities of complex systems, we demonstrate that nonlinear systems can be forced to stay in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Alexander Haluszczynski , Christoph Räth

We study a novel large dimensional approximate factor model with regime changes in the loadings driven by a latent first order Markov process. By exploiting the equivalent linear representation of the model, we first recover the latent…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-04 Matteo Barigozzi , Daniele Massacci

A prominent tool to study the dynamics of open quantum systems is the reduced density matrix. Yet, approaching open quantum systems by means of state vectors has well known computational advantages. In this respect, the physical meaning of…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2020-01-08 Devashish Pandey , Enrique Colomés , Guillermo Albareda , Xavier Oriols

We present a new method to approximate the Mori-Zwanzig (MZ) memory integral in generalized Langevin equations (GLEs) describing the evolution of smooth observables in high-dimensional nonlinear systems with local interactions. Building…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-03-18 Yuanran Zhu , Daniele Venturi

Continuous-time state-space models (SSMs) are flexible tools for analysing irregularly sampled sequential observations that are driven by an underlying state process. Corresponding applications typically involve restrictive assumptions…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-29 Sina Mews , Roland Langrock , Marius Ötting , Houda Yaqine , Jost Reinecke

Simulations of condensed matter systems often focus on the dynamics of a few distinguished components but require integrating the dynamics of the full system. A prime example is a molecular dynamics simulation of a (macro)molecule in…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-03-12 Mauricio J. del Razo , Daan Crommelin , Peter G. Bolhuis

We present a novel data-driven model predictive control (MPC) approach to control unknown nonlinear systems using only measured input-output data with closed-loop stability guarantees. Our scheme relies on the data-driven system…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Julian Berberich , Johannes Köhler , Matthias A. Müller , Frank Allgöwer

A new theoretical model is developed to characterize spatio-temporal mode-locking (ML) in quadratic nonlinear media. The model is based on the two-dimensional nonlinear Schr\"odinger equation with coupling to a mean term (NLSM) and…

Optics · Physics 2020-08-19 Mahmut Bağcı , J. Nathan Kutz

We provide a comprehensive overview of latent Markov (LM) models for the analysis of longitudinal categorical data. The main assumption behind these models is that the response variables are conditionally independent given a latent process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-16 F. Bartolucci , A. Farcomeni , F. Pennoni

Nonequilibrium statistical models of point vortex systems are constructed using an optimal closure method, and these models are employed to approximate the relaxation toward equilibrium of systems governed by the two-dimensional Euler…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-12-26 Jonathan Maack , Bruce Turkington

Mixed linear regression (MLR) has attracted increasing attention because of its great theoretical and practical importance in capturing nonlinear relationships by utilizing a mixture of linear regression sub-models. Although considerable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-25 Yujing Liu , Zhixin Liu , Lei Guo