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Related papers: Data-driven non-Markovian closure models

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This paper presents some results on the maximum likelihood (ML) estimation from incomplete data. Finite sample properties of conditional observed information matrices are established. They possess positive definiteness and the same Loewner…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-26 Budhi Arta Surya

Modeling and interpreting spike train data is a task of central importance in computational neuroscience, with significant translational implications. Two popular classes of data-driven models for this task are autoregressive Point Process…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-30 M. E. Rule , G. Sanguinetti

Mobile technology (e.g., mobile phones and wearable devices) provides scalable methods for collecting physiological and behavioral biomarkers in patients' naturalistic settings, as well as opportunities for therapeutic advancements and…

Manifestly Markovian closures for the interaction of two-dimensional inhomogeneous turbulent flows with Rossby waves and topography are formulated and compared with large ensembles of direct numerical simulations (DNS) on a generalized beta…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-11-14 Jorgen S. Frederiksen , Terence J. O Kane

We revisit closed-loop performance guarantees for Model Predictive Control in the deterministic and stochastic cases, which extend to novel performance results applicable to receding horizon control of Partially Observable Markov Decision…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-01 Martin A. Sehr , Robert R. Bitmead

The perceived advantage of machine learning (ML) models is that they are flexible and can incorporate a large number of features. However, many of these are typically correlated or dependent, and incorporating all of them can hinder model…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-11 Anwesha Bhattacharyya , Yaqun Wang , Joel Vaughan , Vijayan N. Nair

This paper surveys various results about Markov chains on general (non-countable) state spaces. It begins with an introduction to Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, which provide the motivation and context for the theory which…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Gareth O. Roberts , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

Many, if not most, systems of interest in science are naturally described as nonlinear dynamical systems. Empirically, we commonly access these systems through time series measurements. Often such time series may consist of discrete random…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Manuel Brenner , Florian Hess , Georgia Koppe , Daniel Durstewitz

The three state illness death model has been established as a general approach for regression analysis of semi competing risks data. For observational data the marginal structural models (MSM) are a useful tool, under the potential outcomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-20 Yiran Zhang , Andrew Ying , Steve Edland , Lon White , Ronghui Xu

Classical queuing network control strategies typically rely on accurate knowledge of model data, i.e., arrival and service rates. However, such data are not always available and may be time-variant. To address this challenge, we consider a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-09 Qian Xie , Li Jin

Spatio-temporal prediction of levels of an environmental exposure is an important problem in environmental epidemiology. Our work is motivated by multiple studies on the spatio-temporal distribution of mobile source, or traffic related,…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-14 Nikolay Bliznyuk , Christopher J. Paciorek , Joel Schwartz , Brent Coull

The recently developed formalism of Markovian master equations for quantum open systems with external periodic driving is applied to the theory of dynamical decoupling by periodic control. This new approach provides a more detailed…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-09-01 Krzysztof Szczygielski , Robert Alicki

A data-driven closure modeling based on proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) temporal modes is used to obtain stable and accurate reduced order models (ROMs) of unsteady compressible flows. Model reduction is obtained via Galerkin and…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-09-22 Victor Zucatti , William Wolf

Molecular Dynamics (MD) is a powerful computational microscope for probing protein functions. However, the need for fine-grained integration and the long timescales of biomolecular events make MD computationally expensive. To address this,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-30 Kacper Kapuśniak , Cristian Gabellini , Michael Bronstein , Prudencio Tossou , Francesco Di Giovanni

This paper presents a novel framework for stabilizing nonlinear systems represented in state-dependent form. We first reformulate the nonlinear dynamics as a state-dependent parameter-varying model and synthesize a stabilizing controller…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-21 Lidong Li , Rui Huang , Lin Zhao

We introduce two models of consensus following a majority rule on time-evolving stochastic block models (SBM), in which the network evolution is Markovian or non-Markovian. Under the majority rule, in each round, each agent simultaneously…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-12 Haoyu Wang , Jiaheng Wei , Zhenyuan Zhang

Modern time series data often display complex nonlinear dependencies along with irregular regime-switching behaviors. These features present technical challenges in modeling, inference, and in offering insightful understanding into the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-13 Xiuqin Xu , Hanqiu Peng , Ying Chen

Neural operators have demonstrated promise in modeling and controlling systems governed by Partial Differential Equations (PDEs). Beyond PDEs, Stochastic Partial Differential Equations (SPDEs) play a critical role in modeling systems…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-16 Peiyan Hu , Haodong Feng , Yue Wang , Zhiming Ma

Computational modeling of assembly is challenging for many systems because their timescales vastly exceed those accessible to simulations. This article describes the MultiMSM, which is a general framework that uses Markov state models…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2024-05-07 Anthony Trubiano , Michael F. Hagan

Normal mean-variance mixture distributions are widely applied to simplify a model's implementation and improve their computational efficiency under the Maximum Likelihood (ML) approach. Especially for distributions with normal mean-variance…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-18 Thanakorn Nitithumbundit , Jennifer S. K. Chan
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