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This study considers the multivariate segmentation procedure under the assumption of the multivariate Gaussian mixture. Jensen-Shannon divergence between two multivariate Gaussian distributions is employed as a discriminator and a recursive…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-03 Aki-Hiro Sato

Pair trading is one of the most effective statistical arbitrage strategies which seeks a neutral profit by hedging a pair of selected assets. Existing methods generally decompose the task into two separate steps: pair selection and trading.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-26 Weiguang Han , Boyi Zhang , Qianqian Xie , Min Peng , Yanzhao Lai , Jimin Huang

We propose a prediction model based on the minority game in which traders continuously evaluate a complete set of trading strategies with different memory lengths using the strategies' past performance. Based on the chosen trading strategy…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-01-06 Andreas Krause

Traditional technical analysis indicators, although widely used by market participants, are often not sufficiently effective. We propose the Visibility Graphs Relative Strength Index (VGRSI), based on backward visibility relations in the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Rafał Rak

This paper proposes non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm-II (NSGA-II ) in the context of technical indicator-based stock trading, by finding optimal combinations of technical indicators to generate buy and sell strategies such that the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-01-26 P. Shanmukh Kali Prasad , Vadlamani Madhav , Ramanuj Lal , Vadlamani Ravi

The prediction of stock and foreign exchange (Forex) had always been a hot and profitable area of study. Deep learning application had proven to yields better accuracy and return in the field of financial prediction and forecasting. In this…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-18 Zexin Hu , Yiqi Zhao , Matloob Khushi

The multifractal behavior for tick data of prices is investigated in Korean financial market. Using the rescaled range analysis(R/S analysis), we show the multifractal nature of returns for the won-dollar exchange rate and the KOSPI. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Kyungsik Kim , Seong-Min Yoon

Multi-model inference covers a wide range of modern statistical applications such as variable selection, model confidence set, model averaging and variable importance. The performance of multi-model inference depends on the availability of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-07 Ching-Wei Cheng , Guang Cheng

Consistent alpha generation, i.e., maintaining an edge over the market, underpins the ability of asset traders to reliably generate profits. Technical indicators and trading strategies are commonly used tools to determine when to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Yapeng Jasper Hu , Ralph van Gurp , Ashay Somai , Hugo Kooijman , Jan S. Rellermeyer

The article investigates the usage of Informer architecture for building automated trading strategies for high frequency Bitcoin data. Three strategies using Informer model with different loss functions: Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE),…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-25 Filip Stefaniuk , Robert Ślepaczuk

Modern machine learning models (such as deep neural networks and boosting decision tree models) have become increasingly popular in financial market prediction, due to their superior capacity to extract complex non-linear patterns. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Chuheng Zhang , Yuanqi Li , Xi Chen , Yifei Jin , Pingzhong Tang , Jian Li

This paper investigates the problem of ensembling multiple strategies for sequential portfolios to outperform individual strategies in terms of long-term wealth. Due to the uncertainty of strategies' performances in the future market, which…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-07 Duy Khanh Lam

A population of committees of agents that learn by using neural networks is implemented to simulate the stock market. Each committee of agents, which is regarded as a player in a game, is optimised by continually adapting the architecture…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2007-05-23 T. Marwala , P. De Wilde , L. Correia , P. Mariano , R. Ribeiro , V. Abramov , N. Szirbik , J. Goossenaerts

This research paper aims to investigate the efficacy of decision trees in constructing intraday trading strategies using existing technical indicators for individual equities in the NIFTY50 index. Unlike conventional methods that rely on a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-24 Prajwal Naga , Dinesh Balivada , Sharath Chandra Nirmala , Poornoday Tiruveedi

Pairs trading is a market-neutral strategy that exploits historical correlation between stocks to achieve statistical arbitrage. Existing pairs-trading algorithms in the literature require rather restrictive assumptions on the underlying…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-15 Atul Deshpande , B. Ross Barmish

We propose a framework to study optimal trading policies in a one-tick pro-rata limit order book, as typically arises in short-term interest rate futures contracts. The high-frequency trader has the choice to trade via market orders or…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-15 Fabien Guilbaud , Huyên Pham

Multiple Kernel Learning (MKL) is used to replicate the signal combination process that trading rules embody when they aggregate multiple sources of financial information when predicting an asset's price movements. A set of financially…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-30 Tristan Fletcher , Zakria Hussain , John Shawe-Taylor

We present a deep long short-term memory (LSTM)-based neural network for predicting asset prices, together with a successful trading strategy for generating profits based on the model's predictions. Our work is motivated by the fact that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-09 Chariton Chalvatzis , Dimitrios Hristu-Varsakelis

In general frequent itemsets are generated from large data sets by applying association rule mining algorithms like Apriori, Partition, Pincer-Search, Incremental, Border algorithm etc., which take too much computer time to compute all the…

Databases · Computer Science 2010-11-02 Soumadip Ghosh , Sushanta Biswas , Debasree Sarkar , Partha Pratim Sarkar

Given the return series for a set of instruments, a \emph{trading strategy} is a switching function that transfers wealth from one instrument to another at specified times. We present efficient algorithms for constructing (ex-post) trading…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2010-09-24 Victor Boyarshinov , Malik Magdon-Ismail